Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q1’23 revenues of NT$18.6 billion, up 14.2% YoY and up ~1% QoQ.</li>
<li>No specific Q2'23 forecast provided but we fully expect a sequential decline and the end of a 13 quarter growth streak </li>
<li>YTD silicon carbide revenues have already exceeded full year 2022 revenues, albeit coming from a low base.</li>
</ul>


Q1’23 revenues of NT$18.6 billion, up 14.2% YoY and up ~1% QoQ.
No specific Q2'23 forecast provided but we fully expect a sequential decline and the end of a 13 quarter growth streak 
YTD silicon carbide revenues have already exceeded full year 2022 revenues, albeit coming from a low base.


Globalwafers Q1'23 Revenues up 1% QoQ, 14.2% YoY

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Last week saw a wave of major tech companies report earnings with significance toward the semiconductor and technology space in Taiwan.</li>
<li>Memory chip takeaways - SK Hynix, Samsung see better supply/demand in 2023E. PC market -- Recent results discuss slight decline, potential stabilization in 2023E.</li>
<li>Mobile phones -- Relative strength in high-end vs. low-end. Auto &amp; Industrial -- Relative strength seen continuing. AMD, Qualcom, Elan, CHIPMos, Acer, Globalwafers results ahead.</li>
</ul>


Last week saw a wave of major tech companies report earnings with significance toward the semiconductor and technology space in Taiwan.
Memory chip takeaways - SK Hynix, Samsung see better supply/demand in 2023E. PC market -- Recent results discuss slight decline, potential stabilization in 2023E.
Mobile phones -- Relative strength in high-end vs. low-end. Auto &amp; Industrial -- Relative strength seen continuing. AMD, Qualcom, Elan, CHIPMos, Acer, Globalwafers results ahead.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Earnings Insights Emerging for Memory, Mobiles, PCs, and Autos

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

<ul>
<li>Taiwan’s tech space fell hard last week, with the tech sector down 5.4%, compared to a 4.9% drop for the overall market. Semiconductors performed the worst, down 6.2%.</li>
<li>Hon Hai, Delta, Lite-On -- EV a major theme for the first-ever Taiwan Expo USA coming October 12th.</li>
<li>Taiwan wafer exports were at an all-time high in August. We note that wafer names have underperformed TSMC.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan’s tech space fell hard last week, with the tech sector down 5.4%, compared to a 4.9% drop for the overall market. Semiconductors performed the worst, down 6.2%.
Hon Hai, Delta, Lite-On -- EV a major theme for the first-ever Taiwan Expo USA coming October 12th.
Taiwan wafer exports were at an all-time high in August. We note that wafer names have underperformed TSMC.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Trying to Recover After a Week of Deep Declines

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>Its revenue, GM and NM were NT$16.3bn, 42.6% and 36.1% in 1Q22. </li>
<li>GlobalWafer experienced their China Suzhou subsidiary, SST, suspended production during April 2~27 by local government's COVID-19 control measure, but it had resumed production.</li>
<li>The stock dividend is NT$16 in 2022, which is 58.7% payout ratio from 2021 earnings. The payment date is to be 2022/08/05.</li>
</ul>


Its revenue, GM and NM were NT$16.3bn, 42.6% and 36.1% in 1Q22. 
GlobalWafer experienced their China Suzhou subsidiary, SST, suspended production during April 2~27 by local government's COVID-19 control measure, but it had resumed production.
The stock dividend is NT$16 in 2022, which is 58.7% payout ratio from 2021 earnings. The payment date is to be 2022/08/05.


GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Not Settling Disturbing Reasons, but We Presume Stock Price Could Rebound.

<ul>
<li>Under current Ukraine crisis, we have to admit the volatility is very high. Not only the GlobalWafers, but the other semiconductor names are stumbled as well.</li>
<li>Although 4Q21 revenue is NT$15.8bn, the highest record in GlobalWafers’ history, but the termination fee on Siltronic deal was €15mn, which was consuming NT$3.5 for GlobalWafers’ net EPS.</li>
<li>GlobalWafers keeps NT$100bn, ~US$3.6bn, for the expansion in next couple of years, which covers investments across Asia, Europe and the United States spanning both brownfield and greenfield projects.</li>
</ul>


Under current Ukraine crisis, we have to admit the volatility is very high. Not only the GlobalWafers, but the other semiconductor names are stumbled as well.
Although 4Q21 revenue is NT$15.8bn, the highest record in GlobalWafers’ history, but the termination fee on Siltronic deal was €15mn, which was consuming NT$3.5 for GlobalWafers’ net EPS.
GlobalWafers keeps NT$100bn, ~US$3.6bn, for the expansion in next couple of years, which covers investments across Asia, Europe and the United States spanning both brownfield and greenfield projects.


GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Under Current Ukraine Crisis, We Have to Admit the Volatility Is Very High.

Taiwan

Globalwafers Co., Ltd. specializes in silicon wafer manufacturing and also provides solar wafers and crystal rods. The Company possesses a complete production line from ingot growth, slicing, etching, diffusion, polishing to epitaxy. Their products include Epi wafers, polished wafers, etched wafers, ultra thin wafers and deep diffusion wafers.

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Globalwafers (6488 TT)

Globalwafers Q1'23 Revenues up 1% QoQ, 14.2% YoY

Q1’23 revenues of NT$18.6 billion, up 14.2% YoY and up ~1% QoQ. No specific Q2'23 forecast provided but we fully expect a sequential decline and...

William Keating

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Earnings Insights Emerging for Memory, Mobiles, PCs, and Autos

Last week saw a wave of major tech companies report earnings with significance toward the semiconductor and technology space in Taiwan.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Trying to Recover After a Week of Deep Declines

AU Optronics stock suspended, Intel's Mobileye IPO is back, Samsung takes share from TSMC, Taiwan wafer exports are at an all-time high.

Vincent Fernando, CFA