Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Alphabet announces massive capex plans well ahead of ests as a bright spot, but sentiment is down.</li>
<li>ARM and Qualcomm miss after hours as memory shortage concerns increase.</li>
<li>Home Builders rise on plans for low cost "Trump Homes" which may free up access to federal funding.</li>
</ul>


Alphabet announces massive capex plans well ahead of ests as a bright spot, but sentiment is down.
ARM and Qualcomm miss after hours as memory shortage concerns increase.
Home Builders rise on plans for low cost "Trump Homes" which may free up access to federal funding.


Japan Morning Connection: AMD Weakness Sparks Wide Spread Sell-Off Likely to Continue in US Tmrw

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of NIKKEI 225 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Advantest, Kioxia, Fujikura, Tokyo Electron, TDK, ARCHION, Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, Mitsubishi Materials.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of NIKKEI 225 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Advantest, Kioxia, Fujikura, Tokyo Electron, TDK, ARCHION, Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, Mitsubishi Materials.


NIKKEI 225 Index Earning Revision (Sep): Advantest, Kioxia, Fujikura, Tokyo Electron, TDK, ARCHION

<ul>
<li>Meta, Tesla and Microsoft all post big capex guidance beats which sets strong tone for JP SPE.</li>
<li>Lam Research numbers beat, while Advantest AH yesterday knocked it out of the park.</li>
<li>Seagate +19% will add fuel to the fire for HDD components and memory names.</li>
</ul>


Meta, Tesla and Microsoft all post big capex guidance beats which sets strong tone for JP SPE.
Lam Research numbers beat, while Advantest AH yesterday knocked it out of the park.
Seagate +19% will add fuel to the fire for HDD components and memory names.


Japan Morning Connection: Huge Earnings After Hours All Point to Increased AI Capex Spending

<ul>
<li>Decent Onsemi numbers point to a more broad-based recovery, but the end of the Nexperia disruption may be seen as negative for  Rohm and Renesas</li>
<li>Socionext +17% on Fri on Google's Willow news but likely to give it all back on poor guidance</li>
<li>SEI, TDK, Lasertec and TEL all pointing up, Screen down on timing issue</li>
</ul>


Decent Onsemi numbers point to a more broad-based recovery, but the end of the Nexperia disruption may be seen as negative for  Rohm and Renesas
Socionext +17% on Fri on Google's Willow news but likely to give it all back on poor guidance
SEI, TDK, Lasertec and TEL all pointing up, Screen down on timing issue


Japan Morning Connection: AI Related Earnings from Fri and a Strong Tape Set to Send JP Higher

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>In our prior Int'l Compass (Oct. 16) we discussed how the pullback was testing the uptrend, and we were buyers; this worked out well with indexes back at all-time highs.</li>
<li>Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S. remain our only overweights, but India is becoming more attractive as well -- add selective exposure. Many buy ideas highlighted in these countries.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
In our prior Int'l Compass (Oct. 16) we discussed how the pullback was testing the uptrend, and we were buyers; this worked out well with indexes back at all-time highs.
Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S. remain our only overweights, but India is becoming more attractive as well -- add selective exposure. Many buy ideas highlighted in these countries.


India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

Japan

TDK CORPORATION manufactures electronics components such as magnetic tapes and ferrite cores.  The Company also sells power supplies, inductors, transformers, ceramic capacitors, magnets, LAN (Local Area Network) components, sensors, and semiconductors.  TDK markets its products worldwide.

Price Gauge
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TDK Corp (6762 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: AMD Weakness Sparks Wide Spread Sell-Off Likely to Continue in US Tmrw

Bloodbath for tech and AI overnight led lower by AMD after earnings disappointed. Some rebounds in heavily sold software names after Jensen Huang...

Andrew Jackson

NIKKEI 225 Index Earning Revision (Sep): Advantest, Kioxia, Fujikura, Tokyo Electron, TDK, ARCHION

We analyzed NIKKEI 225's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Advantest, Kioxia, Fujikura, Tokyo Electron, TDK, ARCHION, Nippon...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan Morning Connection: Huge Earnings After Hours All Point to Increased AI Capex Spending

Meta is surging +11% after reporting 1Q sales guidance. Tesla plans to invest $2bn in Musk’s xAI. Expect whole SPE ecosystem in Japan to be sharply...

Andrew Jackson

India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

India's $SENSEX Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI; Actionable...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: AMD Weakness Sparks Wide Spread Sell-Off Likely to Continue in US Tmrw

Bloodbath for tech and AI overnight led lower by AMD after earnings disappointed. Some rebounds in heavily sold software names after Jensen Huang...

Andrew Jackson

NIKKEI 225 Index Earning Revision (Sep): Advantest, Kioxia, Fujikura, Tokyo Electron, TDK, ARCHION

We analyzed NIKKEI 225's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Advantest, Kioxia, Fujikura, Tokyo Electron, TDK, ARCHION, Nippon...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan Morning Connection: Huge Earnings After Hours All Point to Increased AI Capex Spending

Meta is surging +11% after reporting 1Q sales guidance. Tesla plans to invest $2bn in Musk’s xAI. Expect whole SPE ecosystem in Japan to be sharply...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: AI Related Earnings from Fri and a Strong Tape Set to Send JP Higher

Any weakness for Screen may be an opportunity to buy. Socionext's poor earnings may lead it to give back its large gains from Friday. SEI expected...

Andrew Jackson

India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

India's $SENSEX Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI; Actionable...

Vermilion Research