Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nifty-poised-to-reignite-its-uptrend-but-faces-short-term-obstacles" target="_blank" rel="noopener">latest insight</a> on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> recognized the possibility of obstacles against a rally from the index's lows.</li>
<li>The index has fallen for another 2 weeks from there, now it is very oversold and a relief rally could begin this week or the next.</li>
<li>Profit targets for this relief rally are in the 23100 area, but <strong>unfortunately the forecast is maximum 3 weeks up, not really a bullish pattern...</strong>
</li>
</ul>


Our latest insight on the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) recognized the possibility of obstacles against a rally from the index's lows.
The index has fallen for another 2 weeks from there, now it is very oversold and a relief rally could begin this week or the next.
Profit targets for this relief rally are in the 23100 area, but unfortunately the forecast is maximum 3 weeks up, not really a bullish pattern...



NIFTY Set for a Modest Rally from Current Lows

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Equity Bottom-Up

Jio Financial Services / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jio-financial-services-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40042:1" rel="noopener">Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN)</a> has launched a robust digital ecosystem with its flagship JioFinance app, enhancing its tech-driven financial service offerings.</li>
<li>The digital-first strategy minimizes legacy constraints, enabling personalized financial solutions that significantly boost efficiency and competitive advantage.</li>
<li>This evolution redefines traditional banking, positioning JFSL as a versatile, technology-led powerhouse for sustainable growth in India's financial sector.</li>
</ul>



Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN) has launched a robust digital ecosystem with its flagship JioFinance app, enhancing its tech-driven financial service offerings.
The digital-first strategy minimizes legacy constraints, enabling personalized financial solutions that significantly boost efficiency and competitive advantage.
This evolution redefines traditional banking, positioning JFSL as a versatile, technology-led powerhouse for sustainable growth in India's financial sector.


The Beat Ideas: What Is Inside Jio Financial Services?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Index Maintenance Sub-Committee of NSE Indices will meet on 21 February to conduct a semi-annual and quarterly review of stocks in various Nifty equity indices.</li>
<li>The changes will be announced after market close tomorrow and will be implemented at the close of trading on 28 March.</li>
<li>Based on the forecast index changes and capping changes for a few indices, the round-trip trade will be over US$2.5bn and many stocks will have over 0.5x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


The Index Maintenance Sub-Committee of NSE Indices will meet on 21 February to conduct a semi-annual and quarterly review of stocks in various Nifty equity indices.
The changes will be announced after market close tomorrow and will be implemented at the close of trading on 28 March.
Based on the forecast index changes and capping changes for a few indices, the round-trip trade will be over US$2.5bn and many stocks will have over 0.5x ADV to trade.


India: March Rebalance Announcement Tomorrow; Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.5bn

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reliance-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:198:1" rel="noopener">Reliance Industries (RIL IN)</a> faces a major setback as Delhi High Court rules in favour of GOI in a gas dispute, accusing RIL of fraud and unjust enrichment worth $1.7 billion. </li>
<li>SEBI rejects Danny Gaekwad's bid for a competing offer in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/religare-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14799:1" rel="noopener">Religare Enterprises (RELG IN)</a> , citing lack of financial proof and inadequate due diligence.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amazon-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:409:1" rel="noopener">Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US)</a> launches its 10-minute delivery service, Amazon Now, in Bengaluru, focusing on groceries and essentials. </li>
</ul>



Reliance Industries (RIL IN) faces a major setback as Delhi High Court rules in favour of GOI in a gas dispute, accusing RIL of fraud and unjust enrichment worth $1.7 billion. 
SEBI rejects Danny Gaekwad's bid for a competing offer in Religare Enterprises (RELG IN) , citing lack of financial proof and inadequate due diligence.

Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US) launches its 10-minute delivery service, Amazon Now, in Bengaluru, focusing on groceries and essentials. 


#104 India Insight: RIL Faces Setback, SEBI Rejects Gaekwad's Bid, Amazon Launches

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Hexaware Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hexaware-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7882:1" rel="noopener">Hexaware Technologies</a> raised around US$1bn in its India IPO, while its anchor book was strong, overall coverage was not. </li>
<li>Hexaware is a global digital and technology services company with AI at its core, delivering innovative solutions that help customers in their digital transformation journey and subsequent operations.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Hexaware Technologies raised around US$1bn in its India IPO, while its anchor book was strong, overall coverage was not. 
Hexaware is a global digital and technology services company with AI at its core, delivering innovative solutions that help customers in their digital transformation journey and subsequent operations.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Hexaware Technologies IPO Trading - Very Strong Anchor, Very Poor Overall

India

Reliance Industries Ltd. manufactures petrochemicals, synthetic fibers, fiber intermediates, textiles, blended yarn and polyester staple fiber. The Company also owns a petroleum refinery cum petrochemicals complex in Jamnagar, India that produces a wide range of products such as gasoline, superior kerosene oil and liquefied petroleum gas.

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Reliance Industries (RELIANCE IN)

NIFTY Set for a Modest Rally from Current Lows

NIFTY Index could see a modest relief rally soon, with profit targets around 23100. Our model suggests a maximum 3-week uptrend, so the forecast...

Nico Rosti

The Beat Ideas: What Is Inside Jio Financial Services?

Jio Financial Services launches JioFinance app, revolutionizing tech-driven financial services in India with personalized solutions and...

Sudarshan Bhandari

India: March Rebalance Announcement Tomorrow; Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.5bn

The March changes for the Nifty indices will be announced tomorrow. There are changes forecast for most indices with large AUM. Round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

#104 India Insight: RIL Faces Setback, SEBI Rejects Gaekwad's Bid, Amazon Launches

Delhi High Court rules against Reliance Industries in $1.7 billion gas dispute; SEBI rejects competing bid for Religare Enterprises; Amazon...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Hexaware Technologies IPO Trading - Very Strong Anchor, Very Poor Overall

Hexaware Technologies raised around US$1bn in its India IPO, while its anchor book was strong, overall coverage was not.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NIFTY Set for a Modest Rally from Current Lows

​NIFTY Index could see a modest relief rally soon, with profit targets around 23100. Our model suggests a maximum 3-week uptrend, so the forecast...

Nico Rosti

The Beat Ideas: What Is Inside Jio Financial Services?

​Jio Financial Services launches JioFinance app, revolutionizing tech-driven financial services in India with personalized solutions and...

Sudarshan Bhandari

India: March Rebalance Announcement Tomorrow; Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.5bn

The March changes for the Nifty indices will be announced tomorrow. There are changes forecast for most indices with large AUM. Round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

#104 India Insight: RIL Faces Setback, SEBI Rejects Gaekwad's Bid, Amazon Launches

​Delhi High Court rules against Reliance Industries in $1.7 billion gas dispute; SEBI rejects competing bid for Religare Enterprises; Amazon...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Hexaware Technologies IPO Trading - Very Strong Anchor, Very Poor Overall

Hexaware Technologies raised around US$1bn in its India IPO, while its anchor book was strong, overall coverage was not.

Sumeet Singh

NIFTY Index could see a modest relief rally soon, with profit targets around 23100. Our model suggests a maximum 3-week uptrend, so the forecast...

Jio Financial Services launches JioFinance app, revolutionizing tech-driven financial services in India with personalized solutions and...

Delhi High Court rules against Reliance Industries in $1.7 billion gas dispute; SEBI rejects competing bid for Religare Enterprises; Amazon...