Director, Head of Research, Smartkarma

Pranav Rao

Director, Head of Research

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Welcome to Curator’s Cut, a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,000+ Insights published over the past two weeks on Smartkarma</li>
<li>In this cut, we review the global focus on critical minerals, how ASEAN's digital economy can grow amidst political uncertainty, and how IT services have fared with AI</li>
<li>Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you’d like to see highlighted next</li>
</ul>


Welcome to Curator’s Cut, a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,000+ Insights published over the past two weeks on Smartkarma
In this cut, we review the global focus on critical minerals, how ASEAN's digital economy can grow amidst political uncertainty, and how IT services have fared with AI
Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you’d like to see highlighted next


Curator's Cut: Critical Minerals' Rise, SEA's Digital Promise & IT Services in Flux

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Increasing US and Australian ties in the critical minerals space provide some opportunities</li>
<li>After the initial hype and capital raisings, better entry prices have arisen</li>
<li>The upside-downside ratio is  high and government support provides a backstop</li>
</ul>


Increasing US and Australian ties in the critical minerals space provide some opportunities
After the initial hype and capital raisings, better entry prices have arisen
The upside-downside ratio is  high and government support provides a backstop


A Basket of Strategic, Speculative Australian Mining Stocks

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

<ul>
<li>CNRE delivered strong H1 results and downstream momentum, but its valuation remains elevated even after the pullback.</li>
<li>Shenghe offers superior risk-adjusted value with cleaner pricing leverage and materially lower multiples.</li>
<li>Lynas still trades on geopolitical scarcity, not earnings strength, making it suitable only as strategic optionality.</li>
</ul>


CNRE delivered strong H1 results and downstream momentum, but its valuation remains elevated even after the pullback.
Shenghe offers superior risk-adjusted value with cleaner pricing leverage and materially lower multiples.
Lynas still trades on geopolitical scarcity, not earnings strength, making it suitable only as strategic optionality.


Rare Earths 2025: Improving Fundamentals, Limited Valuation Headroom

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Clarity Pharmaceuticals Ltd / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the December 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect two changes for ASX 50, two changes for ASX 100, and seven changes for ASX 200.</li>
<li>The official index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 5th December 2025.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the December 2025 index rebal event.
We expect two changes for ASX 50, two changes for ASX 100, and seven changes for ASX 200.
The official index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 5th December 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec25: Reference Period Ending Soon; Some Surprises Possible

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There could be 2 changes each for the ASX50 and ASX100 indices and 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed (and continue to outperform) the forecast deletes to the S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. </li>
</ul>


There could be 2 changes each for the ASX50 and ASX100 indices and 7 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) in December.
Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). 
The forecast adds have outperformed (and continue to outperform) the forecast deletes to the S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index and the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). 


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 25): Changes Across Indices as Positioning Picks Up

Australia

Lynas Corporation Limited explores and mines for rare earth minerals such as cerium and neodymium.

Price Gauge
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Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU)

Curator's Cut: Critical Minerals' Rise, SEA's Digital Promise & IT Services in Flux

In this cut, we review the global focus on critical minerals, how ASEAN's digital economy can grow amidst political uncertainty, and how IT...

Pranav Rao

A Basket of Strategic, Speculative Australian Mining Stocks

One member of the basket $EMH is up >80% today as it has received confirmation that its Cinovec lithium project in the Czech Republic has been...

Rikki Malik

Rare Earths 2025: Improving Fundamentals, Limited Valuation Headroom

CNRE shows strong performance but high valuation; Shenghe offers better value with lower multiples; Lynas is more about geopolitical scarcity than...

Rahul Jain

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec25: Reference Period Ending Soon; Some Surprises Possible

We have revised our expectations for ASX 100 (please see discussion point below the insight). These are our final expectations for the December...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 25): Changes Across Indices as Positioning Picks Up

There could be 22 changes across the ASX family in Dec. Plus passive buying in LNW due to a sole listing on the ASX. The adds have outperformed and...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Curator's Cut: Critical Minerals' Rise, SEA's Digital Promise & IT Services in Flux

In this cut, we review the global focus on critical minerals, how ASEAN's digital economy can grow amidst political uncertainty, and how IT...

Pranav Rao

A Basket of Strategic, Speculative Australian Mining Stocks

One member of the basket $EMH is up >80% today as it has received confirmation that its Cinovec lithium project in the Czech Republic has been...

Rikki Malik

Rare Earths 2025: Improving Fundamentals, Limited Valuation Headroom

​CNRE shows strong performance but high valuation; Shenghe offers better value with lower multiples; Lynas is more about geopolitical scarcity than...

Rahul Jain

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec25: Reference Period Ending Soon; Some Surprises Possible

We have revised our expectations for ASX 100 (please see discussion point below the insight). These are our final expectations for the December...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 25): Changes Across Indices as Positioning Picks Up

There could be 22 changes across the ASX family in Dec. Plus passive buying in LNW due to a sole listing on the ASX. The adds have outperformed and...

Brian Freitas

CNRE shows strong performance but high valuation; Shenghe offers better value with lower multiples; Lynas is more about geopolitical scarcity than...

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 25): Changes Across Indices as Positioning Picks Up