Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Nuzran Sahib

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

Revenue Grew Despite Sharp Drop in Volumes Amidst Rebounding Oil PricesInpex released its full-year results for FY03/18 and the revenue had beaten our estimates while being in-line with the consensus. Inpex recorded revenue of JPY933.7bn (+6.8% YoY) in FY03/18 compared to consensus of JPY939.9bn while considerably above our estimates of JPY881bn. Revenue growth could be mainly attributable to the increase in energy prices due to restricted supply by the oil producers. The crude oil price for…

Revenue Grew Despite Sharp Drop in Volumes Amidst Rebounding Oil PricesInpex released its full-year results for FY03/18 and the revenue had beaten our estimates while being in-line with the consensus. Inpex recorded revenue of JPY933.7bn (+6.8% YoY) in FY03/18 compared to consensus of JPY939.9bn while considerably above our estimates of JPY881bn. Revenue growth could be mainly attributable to the increase in energy prices due to restricted supply by the oil producers. The crude oil price for…

Inpex Guided to Lower Earnings Compared to Consensus Amidst Conservative Demand

Doing bespoke work since 2002....., Custom Products Group

Patrick Hansen

Doing bespoke work since 2002.....

Custom Products Group

Custom Products was started 14 years ago at Lehman Brothers by current co-founder Patrick Hansen, CFA. After 3 years at Lehman, Patrick moved the team to Macquarie Securities where Simon Rigney (co-founder) joined. 3 years ago we took Custom Products independent. 

Our core strength can be summed up three words. 1- Customization - we have very little off the shelf products and most work is done on a one on one bespoke basis. 2- Speed - We pride ourselves in our ability to get requests back to the client very quickly. 3- Confidentiality - We do not redistribute. There is no grace period where we wait a week and then mass blast. Any request stops with that client.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Earnings will start in earnest in the next couple of weeks and so we thought we would take a look at 1- companies that have recently revised full-year EPS guidance 2- names where there is a significant gap between guidance and consensus and 3- names where there is a big variance in consensus estimates.First we looked at names that have revised up full-year EPS guidance in the last 2 months. On the positive side, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/359" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1">Japan Post Holdings Co Ltd (6178 JP)</a> revised up EPS guidance by 13%, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/638" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:638:1">JX Holdings Inc</a>…

Earnings will start in earnest in the next couple of weeks and so we thought we would take a look at 1- companies that have recently revised full-year EPS guidance 2- names where there is a significant gap between guidance and consensus and 3- names where there is a big variance in consensus estimates.First we looked at names that have revised up full-year EPS guidance in the last 2 months. On the positive side, Japan Post Holdings Co Ltd (6178 JP) revised up EPS guidance by 13%, JX Holdings Inc…

With Earnings About to Start, Names that Have Recently Revised or Have Analysts Still Confused....

The government of Japan, together with four major companies, plan to demonstrate the first major hydrogen supply-chain in the run-up to the 2020 Olympics in Tokyo. Hydrogen has been long considered as a rich and clean source of energy despite current high costs making it less-practical for mass scale power generation. As the government and the automakers of Japan prepare themselves for the changing landscape by building Fuel-cell vehicles and Hydrogen power stations, Chiyoda has developed SPERA Hydrogen® technology which has enabled Hydrogen to be handled like other fossil fuels.

The government of Japan, together with four major companies, plan to demonstrate the first major hydrogen supply-chain in the run-up to the 2020 Olympics in Tokyo. Hydrogen has been long considered as a rich and clean source of energy despite current high costs making it less-practical for mass scale power generation. As the government and the automakers of Japan prepare themselves for the changing landscape by building Fuel-cell vehicles and Hydrogen power stations, Chiyoda has developed SPERA Hydrogen® technology which has enabled Hydrogen to be handled like other fossil fuels.

Chiyoda's Ground-Breaking Technology with Hydrogen Leads to New Demo Project in the Energy Sector

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<div style="text-align: left;">Energy inflection points</div><div style="text-align: left;"> </div>To view click on this link: <a href="https://www.screencast.com/t/vSEpXQFaLq" target="_blank">https://www.screencast.com/t/vSEpXQFaLq</a>4:06 min.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img class="editor-image img-responsive" src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/041/400/original/CPG%20INSERT.png?1515053952" data-smartkarma-image-id="41400"></figure>Energy plays have been  a core long theme from Q4 and touted to roll into early Q1 to complete the rally cycle. Here we take a look at key pivot points in WTI, Brent and XOP. If we were to see oil fade near current levels, one would expect for energy plays to continue higher in line with the current risk on cycle but start to lose momentum. A break above key barriers in WTI and Brent would…

Energy inflection points To view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/vSEpXQFaLq4:06 min.Energy plays have been  a core long theme from Q4 and touted to roll into early Q1 to complete the rally cycle. Here we take a look at key pivot points in WTI, Brent and XOP. If we were to see oil fade near current levels, one would expect for energy plays to continue higher in line with the current risk on cycle but start to lose momentum. A break above key barriers in WTI and Brent would…

Oil Inflection Points that Will Mushroom Energy Plays

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

Economic data finally confirms what the charts have been saying all year: global growth in the major regions is now in sync.  We see the bullish advance in equities continuing well into 2018, a continuation of a long-term trend. However, the Sectors that propel this trend may be different.In our December International Strategy, we explore these and the following themes in further detail: <ul><li>Overweight Japan. </li><li>Cyclicals continue to lead, defensive continues to lag. </li><li>Actionable Sector/Group themes:<ol><li>Global banks are breaking out/bullishly inflecting. </li><li>Energy is bottoming – still a non-consensus view. </li><li>Pullback opportunity in metals &amp; mining.</li></ol></li></ul>

Economic data finally confirms what the charts have been saying all year: global growth in the major regions is now in sync.  We see the bullish advance in equities continuing well into 2018, a continuation of a long-term trend. However, the Sectors that propel this trend may be different.In our December International Strategy, we explore these and the following themes in further detail: Overweight Japan. Cyclicals continue to lead, defensive continues to lag. Actionable Sector/Group themes:Global banks are breaking out/bullishly inflecting. Energy is bottoming – still a non-consensus view. Pullback opportunity in metals &amp; mining.

International Equity Strategy: Bullish Big Picture

Japan

INPEX CORPORATION is a holding company established through the reorganization of INPEX Corp and Teikoku Oil.  The Company manages subsidiaries that explores, produces, and sells oil and natural gas.

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Inpex Corp (1605 JP)

Inpex Guided to Lower Earnings Compared to Consensus Amidst Conservative Demand

Revenue Grew Despite Sharp Drop in Volumes Amidst Rebounding Oil PricesInpex released its full-year results for FY03/18 and the revenue had beaten...

Nuzran Sahib

With Earnings About to Start, Names that Have Recently Revised or Have Analysts Still Confused....

Earnings will start in earnest in the next couple of weeks and so we thought we would take a look at 1- companies that have recently revised...

Custom Products Group

Chiyoda's Ground-Breaking Technology with Hydrogen Leads to New Demo Project in the Energy Sector

The government of Japan, together with four major companies, plan to demonstrate the first major hydrogen supply-chain in the run-up to the 2020...

Nuzran Sahib

Oil Inflection Points that Will Mushroom Energy Plays

Energy inflection points To view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/vSEpXQFaLq4:06 min.Energy plays have been a core long theme from...

Thomas Schroeder

International Equity Strategy: Bullish Big Picture

Economic data finally confirms what the charts have been saying all year: global growth in the major regions is now in sync. We see the bullish...

Vermilion Research

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