Independent Asian Credit Research, Bondcritic

Warut Promboon

Independent Asian Credit Research

Asian Fixed Income/Frontier Market Research

Bondcritic

Bondcritic, established in 2009, is designed to be an independent credit research voice that helps investors gain insights and unbiased analyses on Asian fixed income market. Our mission is to discover deep-value Asian high-yield and distressed bonds with a bottom-up approach, together with the help of our proprietary ESG (Environmental, Social Development, and Governance) model. At the same time, we focus on bringing investment cases of unrated and unloved issuers to the general public.

Debt Capital Markets

iShares MSCI Thailand / Debt Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>We sample blue-chip and household Thai corporations and plot the 12-month probability of default (PD) using iRAP</li>
<li>The median 12-month PD of the above samples was 11.15 basis points (bps), up from 5bps last November, with a trend showing continuing deterioration in the next 12 months</li>
<li>We expect more political upheaval and economic adjustment from the military conflict with Cambodia and the19% tariff on exports to the US to be quite detrimental to the Thai economy.</li>
</ul>


We sample blue-chip and household Thai corporations and plot the 12-month probability of default (PD) using iRAP
The median 12-month PD of the above samples was 11.15 basis points (bps), up from 5bps last November, with a trend showing continuing deterioration in the next 12 months
We expect more political upheaval and economic adjustment from the military conflict with Cambodia and the19% tariff on exports to the US to be quite detrimental to the Thai economy.


Bond Market Monitor: Thai Corporations UnSmiled

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Aug 1st. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, Bumrungrad Hospital, VGI, SCB X, Home Product Center, Bumrungrad Hospital, Home Product Center, Vgi, Scb X.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Aug 1st. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, Bumrungrad Hospital, VGI, SCB X, Home Product Center, Bumrungrad Hospital, Home Product Center, Vgi, Scb X.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Aug 1st): Intouch, Bumrungrad Hospital, VGI, SCB X

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jul 25th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, CP ALL, Kasikornbank, Airports of Thailand, Srisawad, Airports Of Thailand, Kasikornbank, CP ALL.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jul 25th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.2bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, CP ALL, Kasikornbank, Airports of Thailand, Srisawad, Airports Of Thailand, Kasikornbank, CP ALL.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jul 25th): Intouch, CP ALL, Kasikornbank, Airports of Thailand

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our capping flow expectations for the September 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We have also presented our index change expectations for the next semiannual index review in December 2025 (regular ADDs/DELs only take place in June and December).</li>
</ul>


The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).
In this insight, we take a look at our capping flow expectations for the September 2025 index rebal event.
We have also presented our index change expectations for the next semiannual index review in December 2025 (regular ADDs/DELs only take place in June and December).


Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec25: Capping Flows in September and Index Changes in December

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jul 18th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Airports of Thailand, Intouch, Gulf Energy Development, Home Product Center, Advanced Info Service, Airports Of Thailand, Gulf Energy Development, Advanced Info Service.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jul 18th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.2bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Airports of Thailand, Intouch, Gulf Energy Development, Home Product Center, Advanced Info Service, Airports Of Thailand, Gulf Energy Development, Advanced Info Service.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jul 18th): Airports of Thailand, Intouch, Gulf Energy Development

Thailand

Delta Electronics (Thailand) PCL designs and manufactures electronic equipment. The Company produces power systems for telecommunications, medical equipment, and industrial automation.  Delta also produces fans, electromagnetic interference filters, and solenoids.

Price Gauge
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Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)

Bond Market Monitor: Thai Corporations UnSmiled

12-month probability of default for Thai corporations is on the rise, with political and economic challenges ahead due to military conflict and...

Bondcritic

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Aug 1st): Intouch, Bumrungrad Hospital, VGI, SCB X

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Intouch (INTUCH TB), Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jul 25th): Intouch, CP ALL, Kasikornbank, Airports of Thailand

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Intouch (INTUCH TB), CP ALL (CPALL TB),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec25: Capping Flows in September and Index Changes in December

There are currently two potential ADDs and two potential DELs which are close to triggering index changes in December 2025. Relative price...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jul 18th): Airports of Thailand, Intouch, Gulf Energy Development

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Airports of Thailand (AOT TB), Intouch (INTUCH...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Bond Market Monitor: Thai Corporations UnSmiled

​12-month probability of default for Thai corporations is on the rise, with political and economic challenges ahead due to military conflict and...

Bondcritic

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Aug 1st): Intouch, Bumrungrad Hospital, VGI, SCB X

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Intouch (INTUCH TB), Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jul 25th): Intouch, CP ALL, Kasikornbank, Airports of Thailand

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Intouch (INTUCH TB), CP ALL (CPALL TB),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec25: Capping Flows in September and Index Changes in December

There are currently two potential ADDs and two potential DELs which are close to triggering index changes in December 2025. Relative price...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jul 18th): Airports of Thailand, Intouch, Gulf Energy Development

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Airports of Thailand (AOT TB), Intouch (INTUCH...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

12-month probability of default for Thai corporations is on the rise, with political and economic challenges ahead due to military conflict and...