Thematic Investing in Tech and Media, CM Research

Cyrus Mewawalla

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media

Thematic TMT investing

CM Research

CM Research is an independent research house based in London, England. We provide global thematic research in the Technology, Media and Telecoms (TMT) sectors. 

Our focus is on disruptive technologies: how will they unfold; which industries will be impacted; and who will be the ultimate winners and losers. 

Our aim is to help investors predict share prices and corporate executives stay one step ahead of the technology trends that are shaping their industry. 

We research technology investment themes in detail and then feed the results into a scorecard system to quantify the impact of several conflicting themes on individual stocks. 

Recent themes covered include internet TV, the Internet of Things, Big Data, Mobile payments, crowdfunding, artificial intelligence, the cloud, software defined networking and Generation Hashtag.

We cover the top 500 global TMT stocks by market capitalisation and several technology start-ups and pre-IPO companies too. 

In 2015, CM Research analysts outperformed the Bloomberg Benchmark Analyst Index - which measures how good analysts are at predicting stock prices - by 7.1%.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

As the dust settles after the US presidential election, we look at the medium-term investment implications of a Trump presidency for technology stocks.The biggest benefit to the US tech sector will come from lower tax rates. The biggest risk is trade wars that result in higher tariffs and retaliation against US tech companies. The wildcard is regulation: net neutrality rules – if relaxed – could shift the balance of power from internet companies to telcos.Below we look at five themes emanating from Mr Trump's policies that have a direct impact on the global tech sector: taxation, trade, regulation, cybersecurity and social media.

As the dust settles after the US presidential election, we look at the medium-term investment implications of a Trump presidency for technology stocks.The biggest benefit to the US tech sector will come from lower tax rates. The biggest risk is trade wars that result in higher tariffs and retaliation against US tech companies. The wildcard is regulation: net neutrality rules – if relaxed – could shift the balance of power from internet companies to telcos.Below we look at five themes emanating from Mr Trump's policies that have a direct impact on the global tech sector: taxation, trade, regulation, cybersecurity and social media.

Independent, global risk consultancy, Control Risks

Aparajita Verma

Independent, global risk consultancy

Control Risks

Control Risks is an independent, global risk consultancy specialising in helping organisations manage political, integrity and security risks in complex and hostile environments. We support clients by providing strategic consultancy, expert analysis and in-depth investigations, handling sensitive political issues and providing practical on-the-ground protection and support.

Our unique combination of services, geographical reach and the trust our clients place in us ensure we can help them to effectively solve their problems and realise new opportunities across the world.

The bitter divisiveness of the campaign, between Democrat Hillary Clinton and her Republican rival Donald Trump, reflects the deep disaffection of substantial parts of the electorate despite a return to modest economic growth.

The bitter divisiveness of the campaign, between Democrat Hillary Clinton and her Republican rival Donald Trump, reflects the deep disaffection of substantial parts of the electorate despite a return to modest economic growth.

Winds Across the Pacific: What the US Election Will Bring to Asia

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

Fears of the impact of Britain's exit from the European Union have pushed down the prices of most European communication stocks. We think this is an overreaction as we view telecom as a sector somewhat immune to geopolitical changes. In our view, Brexit will have no effect on cross-border transfers of voice or data as mobile termination rates for voice have already been reduced to negligible levels and for data have been cut in half and will be down to local roaming rates by the end of 2017.Within the U.K., we think BT will likely be the most affected as the majority of its revenue is from the U.K. Its only non-U.K. revenue is from its global services division. However, we think what losses do accrue will be offset by stronger revenue from the global services division as revenue from other currencies is translated into a weaker pound.Analysts: Allan C. Nichols, CFA

Fears of the impact of Britain's exit from the European Union have pushed down the prices of most European communication stocks. We think this is an overreaction as we view telecom as a sector somewhat immune to geopolitical changes. In our view, Brexit will have no effect on cross-border transfers of voice or data as mobile termination rates for voice have already been reduced to negligible levels and for data have been cut in half and will be down to local roaming rates by the end of 2017.Within the U.K., we think BT will likely be the most affected as the majority of its revenue is from the U.K. Its only non-U.K. revenue is from its global services division. However, we think what losses do accrue will be offset by stronger revenue from the global services division as revenue from other currencies is translated into a weaker pound.Analysts: Allan C. Nichols, CFA

We Believe Brexit Fears Have Unfairly Driven Down Shares of Most European Communication Stocks

<ul><li>TV broadcasters still control 93% of subscriptions and advertising revenues that pass through the TV set. The remaining 7% of revenues relates to video streaming services like Netflix.</li><li>But Internet TV will move faster and be more disruptive than analysts predict.</li><li>The inflection point will be the arrival of a “pure” internet TV in which all TV viewing is accessed by a single operating system, probably remote controlled by a smartphone or tablet.</li><li>Film and TV studios will see content prices bid up as technology companies – like Apple, Netflix and Alibaba – compete to acquire content rights.</li><li>TV broadcasters will report profit warnings as they lose control of payTV subscription revenues and TV advertising revenues.</li></ul>

TV broadcasters still control 93% of subscriptions and advertising revenues that pass through the TV set. The remaining 7% of revenues relates to video streaming services like Netflix.But Internet TV will move faster and be more disruptive than analysts predict.The inflection point will be the arrival of a “pure” internet TV in which all TV viewing is accessed by a single operating system, probably remote controlled by a smartphone or tablet.Film and TV studios will see content prices bid up as technology companies – like Apple, Netflix and Alibaba – compete to acquire content rights.TV broadcasters will report profit warnings as they lose control of payTV subscription revenues and TV advertising revenues.

CEO, CIO, ClearMacro

Mike Simcock

CEO, CIO

Strategic & Tactical Asset Allocation Global Macro

ClearMacro

CIO, & CEO ClearMacro Ltd
An institutional investor with over 25 years experience, laterly having spent 10 years at GIC Singapore SWF. Managng Director, managing Global Macro, FIxed Income (Europe) and Global Credit businesses.
Passionate about utilising technology to enhance portfolio idea generation across global, multi-asset classes and optimisation of the investment process.

Macroeconomics

We're awash in concerns over inflation - the Economist last week, and multiple speakers at the 2nd Independent Research Conference where we moderated a panel on asset allocation. Ignore them.  Our analysis suggests a low near term probability of sustained inflationary concerns in core markets. However, if you disagree, steer clear of linkers and commodity futures as your inflation hedge. You'll likely lose money. We recommend equities for this role, which are currently pricing in cyclical inflation lows.  In EM, we see the trend moving in the opposite direction, as inflationary pressures top out on the back of recovery in real exchange rates.  Longer term, the outlook for inflation in core economies will move up as policy makers are forced to ease more aggressively to drive it into a 2-4% range.  Not necessarily a bad thing for risk assets.

We're awash in concerns over inflation - the Economist last week, and multiple speakers at the 2nd Independent Research Conference where we moderated a panel on asset allocation. Ignore them.  Our analysis suggests a low near term probability of sustained inflationary concerns in core markets. However, if you disagree, steer clear of linkers and commodity futures as your inflation hedge. You'll likely lose money. We recommend equities for this role, which are currently pricing in cyclical inflation lows.  In EM, we see the trend moving in the opposite direction, as inflationary pressures top out on the back of recovery in real exchange rates.  Longer term, the outlook for inflation in core economies will move up as policy makers are forced to ease more aggressively to drive it into a 2-4% range.  Not necessarily a bad thing for risk assets.

Germany

Deutsche Telekom AG offers telecommunications services.  The Company offers a full range of fixed-line telephone services, mobile communications services, Internet access, and combined information technology and telecommunications services for businesses.

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Deutsche Telekom (DTE GR)

What Trump Means for Tech

As the dust settles after the US presidential election, we look at the medium-term investment implications of a Trump presidency for technology...

CM Research

Winds Across the Pacific: What the US Election Will Bring to Asia

The bitter divisiveness of the campaign, between Democrat Hillary Clinton and her Republican rival Donald Trump, reflects the deep disaffection of...

Control Risks

We Believe Brexit Fears Have Unfairly Driven Down Shares of Most European Communication Stocks

Fears of the impact of Britain's exit from the European Union have pushed down the prices of most European communication stocks. We think this is...

Morningstar, Inc.

Internet TV as an Investment Theme

TV broadcasters still control 93% of subscriptions and advertising revenues that pass through the TV set. The remaining 7% of revenues relates to...

CM Research

Inflation - Really?

We're awash in concerns over inflation - the Economist last week, and multiple speakers at the 2nd Independent Research Conference where...

ClearMacro

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