Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Bank has reached its three-year target one year ahead of schedule</li>
<li>Focus has now turned to growth and new opportunities as unleashed from full  government supervision</li>
<li>Valuations do not yet discount an improvement in returns from here</li>
</ul>


The Bank has reached its three-year target one year ahead of schedule
Focus has now turned to growth and new opportunities as unleashed from full  government supervision
Valuations do not yet discount an improvement in returns from here


Japan Post Bank: Unlocking Value as Deposits Turn into Growth, Autonomy, and Digital Scale

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Last week, before the long weekend, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-mitsui-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:217:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP)</a> announced a very big secondary selldown of shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyoda-gosei-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20125:1" rel="noopener">Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>The selldown is 85x 3mo ADV, 27% of shares out. 125% of Max Real World Float. It's a lot of stock at $750mm. One wonders where demand is.</li>
<li>They also announced a big buyback, which is some of it, and there are index impacts, BUT this offering needs to find LOTS of new fundamental owners quickly.</li>
</ul>


Last week, before the long weekend, Toyota Motor (7203 JP) and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP) announced a very big secondary selldown of shares in Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP). 
The selldown is 85x 3mo ADV, 27% of shares out. 125% of Max Real World Float. It's a lot of stock at $750mm. One wonders where demand is.
They also announced a big buyback, which is some of it, and there are index impacts, BUT this offering needs to find LOTS of new fundamental owners quickly.


[Japan Offering] Toyota Selling Down Toyoda Gosei (7282) In BIG Offering; 85d ADV, 125% of Max RWF

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,632m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI, Nippon Telegraph and Telephone, Sanrio, Tokyo Electric Power Company, Tokio Marine, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Furukawa Electric.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,632m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI, Nippon Telegraph and Telephone, Sanrio, Tokyo Electric Power Company, Tokio Marine, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Furukawa Electric.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 21st): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

SBI Shinsei Bank / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing</li>
<li>SBI Shinsei Bank (SBISB) is a Japanese financial institution providing a range of financial products and services to both individual and institutional customers.</li>
<li>We have looked at past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing
SBI Shinsei Bank (SBISB) is a Japanese financial institution providing a range of financial products and services to both individual and institutional customers.
We have looked at past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.


SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuations

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing.</li>
<li>SBI Shinsei Bank (SBISB) is a Japanese financial institution providing a range of financial products and services to both individual and institutional customers.</li>
<li>We have looked at past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison</li>
</ul>



SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing.
SBI Shinsei Bank (SBISB) is a Japanese financial institution providing a range of financial products and services to both individual and institutional customers.
We have looked at past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison


SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

Japan

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. manages financial operations for its subsidiaries. The Company provides commercial banking and a variety of financial services.

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP)

Japan Post Bank: Unlocking Value as Deposits Turn into Growth, Autonomy, and Digital Scale

Bank surpasses three-year target early, now focused on growth and new opportunities post-government supervision. Valuations do not reflect...

Rikki Malik

[Japan Offering] Toyota Selling Down Toyoda Gosei (7282) In BIG Offering; 85d ADV, 125% of Max RWF

The Toyoda Gosei offering announced late last week is big. The stock fell sharply; it bounced since. The overhang is large. And the register...

Travis Lundy

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 21st): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP), SBI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuations

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing. In this note, we talk about...

Sumeet Singh

SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing. We have looked at past performance in our earlier notes. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Post Bank: Unlocking Value as Deposits Turn into Growth, Autonomy, and Digital Scale

​Bank surpasses three-year target early, now focused on growth and new opportunities post-government supervision. Valuations do not reflect...

Rikki Malik

[Japan Offering] Toyota Selling Down Toyoda Gosei (7282) In BIG Offering; 85d ADV, 125% of Max RWF

The Toyoda Gosei offering announced late last week is big. The stock fell sharply; it bounced since. The overhang is large. And the register...

Travis Lundy

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 21st): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP), SBI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuations

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing. In this note, we talk about...

Sumeet Singh

SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing. We have looked at past performance in our earlier notes. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Bank surpasses three-year target early, now focused on growth and new opportunities post-government supervision. Valuations do not reflect...