Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<strong> Good Morning Japan:</strong>  We strive to provide the very best breaking macro, stock and thematic overnight news that will impact your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW US to keep abreast!</li>
<li>OVERSEAS: Slowing PPI fuels Fed pivot view; UST yields fall as Tech gets bid; Add to that China stimulating+thaw in US tensions; 12M Momentum to Growth shift continues. </li>
<li>JAPAN: NKY Futures  FLAT vs Cash; USDJPY at 139 handle with latest PPI  and lower UST yields; Cit D/G of Sumco appear       mis-timed with global bid in longer duration stocks(GROWTH). </li>
</ul>



 Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the very best breaking macro, stock and thematic overnight news that will impact your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW US to keep abreast!
OVERSEAS: Slowing PPI fuels Fed pivot view; UST yields fall as Tech gets bid; Add to that China stimulating+thaw in US tensions; 12M Momentum to Growth shift continues. 
JAPAN: NKY Futures  FLAT vs Cash; USDJPY at 139 handle with latest PPI  and lower UST yields; Cit D/G of Sumco appear       mis-timed with global bid in longer duration stocks(GROWTH). 


Good Morning Japan |US PPI Fuels Fed Pivot View = Bullish Equities

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Japan in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Recruit, Japan Exchange, Panasonic, Idemitsu Kosan, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Nippon Steel, Kioxia.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Japan in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Recruit, Japan Exchange, Panasonic, Idemitsu Kosan, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Nippon Steel, Kioxia.


MS-Japan Index Earning Revision (Jul): Recruit, Japan Exchange, Panasonic, Idemitsu Kosan, Kioxia

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 30 July, <a href="https://diamond.jp/articles/-/395310" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Diamond</a> reported that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:563:1" rel="noopener">Sony Corp (6758 JP)</a> had proposed privatising <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tamron-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17712:1" rel="noopener">Tamron Co Ltd (7740 JP)</a> at an acquisition price of around JPY200 billion. </li>
<li>If the JPY200 billion refers to the cost to acquire the voting shares excluding Sony’s, the implied offer is JPY1,469, a 29.5% premium to the unaffected price of JPY1,134.</li>
<li>Effissimo would support the rumoured offer price, as it represents an all-time high and is attractive relative to peers' multiples.  </li>
</ul>


On 30 July, Diamond reported that Sony Corp (6758 JP) had proposed privatising Tamron Co Ltd (7740 JP) at an acquisition price of around JPY200 billion. 
If the JPY200 billion refers to the cost to acquire the voting shares excluding Sony’s, the implied offer is JPY1,469, a 29.5% premium to the unaffected price of JPY1,134.
Effissimo would support the rumoured offer price, as it represents an all-time high and is attractive relative to peers' multiples.  


Tamron (7740 JP): Thoughts on a Potential Privatisation Offer

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

<ul>
<li>Although subscription consumption was already becoming popular before the pandemic, as familiarity with managing monthly payments for products and services have grown, sign up rates have surged since 2020. </li>
<li>The market reached just under ¥1 trillion in 2021, doubling in five years. Estimates suggest that B2C and B2B subscriptions combined will exceed ¥6 trillion in 2023.</li>
<li>As the sector grows more mainstream, more platforms are emerging to facilitate both set up and marketing, and more diverse subscriptions are launching to target specific niches.</li>
</ul>


Although subscription consumption was already becoming popular before the pandemic, as familiarity with managing monthly payments for products and services have grown, sign up rates have surged since 2020. 
The market reached just under ¥1 trillion in 2021, doubling in five years. Estimates suggest that B2C and B2B subscriptions combined will exceed ¥6 trillion in 2023.
As the sector grows more mainstream, more platforms are emerging to facilitate both set up and marketing, and more diverse subscriptions are launching to target specific niches.


Subscription Retailing Goes Mainstream in Japan

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/international-business-machines-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1064:1" rel="noopener">International Business Machines (IBM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphabet-inc-cl-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11369:1" rel="noopener">Alphabet Inc Cl C (GOOG US)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple Inc (AAPL US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amazon-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:409:1" rel="noopener">Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> are the top five AI innovators.</li>
<li>Top "non-tech" companies include medical diagnostic/surgical players like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/johnson-johnson" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1132:1" rel="noopener">Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medtronic-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14982:1" rel="noopener">Medtronic Plc (MDT US)</a>, and financials like State Farm Mutual, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capital-one-financial-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:255:1" rel="noopener">Capital One Financial (COF US)</a>
</li>
<li>Since AI technology includes integrating several areas of technology, we have data-mined from multiple technological areas that we think are fundamental to AI, We have detailed these in the report.</li>
</ul>



International Business Machines (IBM US), Alphabet Inc Cl C (GOOG US)Apple Inc (AAPL US), Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US), and Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) are the top five AI innovators.
Top "non-tech" companies include medical diagnostic/surgical players like Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ US), Medtronic Plc (MDT US), and financials like State Farm Mutual, and Capital One Financial (COF US)

Since AI technology includes integrating several areas of technology, we have data-mined from multiple technological areas that we think are fundamental to AI, We have detailed these in the report.


Insights from Data Mining Technical Publications - A Look into Artificial Intelligence

Japan

Panasonic Corporation manufactures electric and electronic products. The Company produces home appliances, car navigation systems, digital devices, computer peripherals, telecommunications, industrial equipment, and electronic parts. Panasonic has associated companies around the world.

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Panasonic Corp (6752 JP)

Good Morning Japan |US PPI Fuels Fed Pivot View = Bullish Equities

Good Morning Japan: We strive to provide the very best breaking macro, stock and thematic overnight news that will impact your trading day in...

Mark Chadwick

MS-Japan Index Earning Revision (Jul): Recruit, Japan Exchange, Panasonic, Idemitsu Kosan, Kioxia

We analyzed MS-Japan's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Recruit, Japan Exchange, Panasonic, Idemitsu Kosan, Mitsubishi UFJ...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tamron (7740 JP): Thoughts on a Potential Privatisation Offer

Effissimo would support the rumoured offer price, as it represents an all-time high and is attractive relative to peers' multiples.

Arun George

Subscription Retailing Goes Mainstream in Japan

Subscription retailing is becoming a mainstream channel for many types of brand and retailer, not just digital services. The model helps shift...

Michael Causton

Insights from Data Mining Technical Publications - A Look into Artificial Intelligence

The global artificial intelligence (AI) market is forecast to grow rapidly in the coming years. In this report, we data-mine publications to rank...

Pyari Menon

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