Not All Winners Are Equal: 2021 EM FX Outliers and Implications for 2022
I explore the 2021 winners and losers among EM currencies, leading into the discussion on which of these performances were appropriate and which...
256 Views
Steno Signals #75 – The 2007/2008 Playbook Is Useful Again
The soft landing narrative has seen material tailwinds over the past 6-8 weeks, while the recession narrative is fading fast.
322 Views
EM BY EM #16 Counting coppers and rating cuts
As we engage a pivotal juncture between DM rates approaching peak and China on the verge of descending into deflation, EM Macro is subject to...
284 Views
Macro Regime Indicator: PMIs to drive price action together with headline inflation
Every month, we assess the risk/reward in asset allocation via our Macro Regime Indicator framework, where we use our asset allocation model to...
180 Views
The British Pound Flirts with a 6-Year High
With consistently high real interest rates (rates above inflation), the Mex has been a standout performer, even ahead of the Swiss Franc.
273 Views