Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p>Weaker markets are showing support cracks as strong horses reach for minor new highs into the late April/early May cycle inflection timeline while the USD is due to find support near the DXY low zone. This aligns for a peak in risk.</p>

Weaker markets are showing support cracks as strong horses reach for minor new highs into the late April/early May cycle inflection timeline while the USD is due to find support near the DXY low zone. This aligns for a peak in risk.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

<p>Despite a much more mixed market environment, our weight-of-the-evidence approach continues to support a constructive intermediate-term outlook. The bottom line: there is little evidence that suggests a pullback would be anything more than a buying opportunity.</p>

Despite a much more mixed market environment, our weight-of-the-evidence approach continues to support a constructive intermediate-term outlook. The bottom line: there is little evidence that suggests a pullback would be anything more than a buying opportunity.

Defensives Are Worth A Look; Hang Seng, Shanghai Comp, Nikkei 225, STOXX 50 Support Levels Holding

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<p>The two charts below look at both the Topix Index and the Nikkei 225.</p><p>In the case of the Topix , we are now sustaining below the 55 day moving average thereby opening up the risk of losses to the tune of 6% from current levels.</p><p>For the Nikkei 225, there is no break yet but we sit on key levels that are pivotal for the market in the short term.</p>

The two charts below look at both the Topix Index and the Nikkei 225.In the case of the Topix , we are now sustaining below the 55 day moving average thereby opening up the risk of losses to the tune of 6% from current levels.For the Nikkei 225, there is no break yet but we sit on key levels that are pivotal for the market in the short term.

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Technical Analysis

<div>Base case remains to buy risk on dips in our core long group in Asia and will then measure new highs toward rising wedge resistance targets as exhaustive patterns mature and set up an excellent short after mid April.</div><div></div><div>Korea displays the best near term bull breakout potential.</div><div></div><div>Taiwan shows better energy off of trendline support but at the topside of the wedge will shift to a macro short. NDX rally stall will play into Taiwan in late April.</div><div></div><div>India needs ignition off of critical wedge support to gain bull traction. Bank index pivot.</div><div></div><div>Japan's timid recovery amid weaker undercurrents is in our crosshairs as a macro short set up.</div><div></div><div>HK is a tactical fade/short but on the next low attempt will shift into the laggard bull camp.</div>

Base case remains to buy risk on dips in our core long group in Asia and will then measure new highs toward rising wedge resistance targets as exhaustive patterns mature and set up an excellent short after mid April.Korea displays the best near term bull breakout potential.Taiwan shows better energy off of trendline support but at the topside of the wedge will shift to a macro short. NDX rally stall will play into Taiwan in late April.India needs ignition off of critical wedge support to gain bull traction. Bank index pivot.Japan's timid recovery amid weaker undercurrents is in our crosshairs as a macro short set up.HK is a tactical fade/short but on the next low attempt will shift into the laggard bull camp.

<p>Following the note sent yesterday titled <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/spx-one-year-later-what-next" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:49528" rel="noopener">SPX: One Year Later...What Next?</a> highlighting the weakness in momentum on major US indices (S&amp;P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Russell 2000), here we find the same bearish signs on the Topix Index.</p><p>Unless we are to bounce back fairly aggressively by the end of this week, we will be completing <em>triple negative divergence</em> on the weekly chart – an important warning sign that there is trouble ahead.</p>

Following the note sent yesterday titled SPX: One Year Later...What Next? highlighting the weakness in momentum on major US indices (S&amp;P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Russell 2000), here we find the same bearish signs on the Topix Index.Unless we are to bounce back fairly aggressively by the end of this week, we will be completing triple negative divergence on the weekly chart – an important warning sign that there is trouble ahead.

Japan

The Nikkei-225 Stock Average is a price-weighted average of 225 top-rated Japanese companies listed in the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The Nikkei Stock Average was first published on May 16, 1949, where the average price was ¥176.21 with a divisor of 225. 

Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)

Topping Wedge Patterns in Equity Risk

Weaker markets are showing support cracks as strong horses reach for minor new highs into the late April/early May cycle inflection timeline while...

Thomas Schroeder

Defensives Are Worth A Look; Hang Seng, Shanghai Comp, Nikkei 225, STOXX 50 Support Levels Holding

A review of major global indexes reveals an absence of major breakdowns. We highlight opportunities within defensive Sectors (Real Estate, Consumer...

Vermilion Research

Japanese Indices Remain on Back Foot

The bearish break on the Topix Index as well as the key levels being tested on the Nikkei 225 warrant serious concern in the short term

Shyam Devani

Asia Top Long/Short Bets for April

Base case remains to buy risk on dips in our core long group in Asia. Measure new highs near rising wedge targets as exhaustive patterns mature and...

Thomas Schroeder

Japan Is Not Immune

Signs of weakness are now apparent on Japan's Indices. Any lower on the Nikkei 225 could open the way for an 8% decline from here

Shyam Devani