Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 Index</a> last week bounced back, after a 2-weeks down pullback.</li>
<li>The index is at a fork in our view: it could go higher from here, but we would like to see a sustained, multi-week rally to be convinced.</li>
<li>If doubt about this potential rally continuation is strong, target the 40500-40800 price area to place SHORT trades against the index.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei 225 Index last week bounced back, after a 2-weeks down pullback.
The index is at a fork in our view: it could go higher from here, but we would like to see a sustained, multi-week rally to be convinced.
If doubt about this potential rally continuation is strong, target the 40500-40800 price area to place SHORT trades against the index.


EQD | Nikkei 225 What's Up Next: Up or Down?

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 INDEX</a> has been rallying for &gt;3 months, rising more than 28%. Is it too much, too fast?</li>
<li>Short-Term, if we look at the Market Reversal Matrix's SHORT WEEKLY model for the index, it looks like it could either reverse within a couple of weeks, or stall.</li>
<li>Look for the ~41000 resistance area to place SHORT or hedge your LONG positions.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei 225 INDEX has been rallying for &gt;3 months, rising more than 28%. Is it too much, too fast?
Short-Term, if we look at the Market Reversal Matrix's SHORT WEEKLY model for the index, it looks like it could either reverse within a couple of weeks, or stall.
Look for the ~41000 resistance area to place SHORT or hedge your LONG positions.


EQD | Nikkei 225 Flying High, Don't Burn Your Wings....

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 INDEX</a> is initiating a pullback that should be a buy-the-dip opportunity. </li>
<li>The first buyable area for a LONG trade, this week, is 39600 and 39300 (this week) and down to 38100 (next week).</li>
<li>The index should restart its rally after the pullback, and there is a good chance the pullback won't last for more than 1-2 weeks.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei 225 INDEX is initiating a pullback that should be a buy-the-dip opportunity. 
The first buyable area for a LONG trade, this week, is 39600 and 39300 (this week) and down to 38100 (next week).
The index should restart its rally after the pullback, and there is a good chance the pullback won't last for more than 1-2 weeks.


EQD | Nikkei 225 Pullback: Buy-The-Dip Opportunity

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> has been rising for 2 weeks and it is starting to be overbought.</li>
<li>The index may rise for another week (this week) according to our models, then the chances for a WEEKLY pullback will become substantial.</li>
<li>Look at resistance targets in the 37200-37900 price area to place SHORT trades, target 1 week, then close the trade.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) has been rising for 2 weeks and it is starting to be overbought.
The index may rise for another week (this week) according to our models, then the chances for a WEEKLY pullback will become substantial.
Look at resistance targets in the 37200-37900 price area to place SHORT trades, target 1 week, then close the trade.


EQD | The Nikkei 225 Rally Can Continue But Resistance Is Near...

<ul>
<li>The seasonal matrix indicates a possibility for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> to continue its current rally into April and that rally should end in May. </li>
<li>The index at the moment is very overbought, we expect some form of WEEKLY pullback soon, please consult <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eqd-nikkei-225-weekly-lift-off-can-it-go-higher" target="_blank" rel="noopener">our previous insight</a> to find the WEEKLY resistance levels.</li>
<li>The pullback should be seen as a WEEKLY pullback within a larger, longer MONTHLY (multi-month) uptrend, i.e. an opportunity to buy and/or add positions at better prices. </li>
</ul>


The seasonal matrix indicates a possibility for the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) to continue its current rally into April and that rally should end in May. 
The index at the moment is very overbought, we expect some form of WEEKLY pullback soon, please consult our previous insight to find the WEEKLY resistance levels.
The pullback should be seen as a WEEKLY pullback within a larger, longer MONTHLY (multi-month) uptrend, i.e. an opportunity to buy and/or add positions at better prices. 


EQD | Nikkei 225 - MONTHLY Rally Trajectory Analysis + Resistance Targets

Japan

The Nikkei-225 Stock Average is a price-weighted average of 225 top-rated Japanese companies listed in the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The Nikkei Stock Average was first published on May 16, 1949, where the average price was ¥176.21 with a divisor of 225. 

Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)

EQD | Nikkei 225 What's Up Next: Up or Down?

The Nikkei 225 Index bounced back last week but faces uncertainty ahead: there is potential for a rally but also a short trade opportunity in the...

Nico Rosti

EQD | Nikkei 225 Flying High, Don't Burn Your Wings....

The Nikkei 225 has surged over 28% in 3 months, prompting questions of whether it's too much too soon. Watch for a potential reversal within 2...

Nico Rosti

EQD | Nikkei 225 Pullback: Buy-The-Dip Opportunity

The Nikkei 225 INDEX is experiencing a pullback, presenting a potential buy-the-dip opportunity. The pullback is expected to be short-lived, with...

Nico Rosti

EQD | The Nikkei 225 Rally Can Continue But Resistance Is Near...

The Nikkei 225 has been rising for 2 weeks and is becoming overbought. It may continue to rise for another week before a potential pullback....

Nico Rosti

EQD | Nikkei 225 - MONTHLY Rally Trajectory Analysis + Resistance Targets

Based on our seasonal patterns models the Nikkei 225 could continue rallying into May, but a WEEKLY pullback is due soon. This is an opportunity...

Nico Rosti

EQD | Nikkei 225 What's Up Next: Up or Down?

​The Nikkei 225 Index bounced back last week but faces uncertainty ahead: there is potential for a rally but also a short trade opportunity in the...

Nico Rosti

EQD | Nikkei 225 Flying High, Don't Burn Your Wings....

​The Nikkei 225 has surged over 28% in 3 months, prompting questions of whether it's too much too soon. Watch for a potential reversal within 2...

Nico Rosti

EQD | Nikkei 225 Pullback: Buy-The-Dip Opportunity

​The Nikkei 225 INDEX is experiencing a pullback, presenting a potential buy-the-dip opportunity. The pullback is expected to be short-lived, with...

Nico Rosti

EQD | The Nikkei 225 Rally Can Continue But Resistance Is Near...

​The Nikkei 225 has been rising for 2 weeks and is becoming overbought. It may continue to rise for another week before a potential pullback....

Nico Rosti

EQD | Nikkei 225 - MONTHLY Rally Trajectory Analysis + Resistance Targets

​Based on our seasonal patterns models the Nikkei 225 could continue rallying into May, but a WEEKLY pullback is due soon. This is an opportunity...

Nico Rosti

The Nikkei 225 Index bounced back last week but faces uncertainty ahead: there is potential for a rally but also a short trade opportunity in the...

The Nikkei 225 has surged over 28% in 3 months, prompting questions of whether it's too much too soon. Watch for a potential reversal within 2...

The Nikkei 225 INDEX is experiencing a pullback, presenting a potential buy-the-dip opportunity. The pullback is expected to be short-lived, with...

The Nikkei 225 has been rising for 2 weeks and is becoming overbought. It may continue to rise for another week before a potential pullback....

Based on our seasonal patterns models the Nikkei 225 could continue rallying into May, but a WEEKLY pullback is due soon. This is an opportunity...