Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Samsung C&amp;T’s holding company ratio is closing in on 50%, driven by the Biologics rally, which has Samsung on high alert for a forced conversion.</li>
<li>Watch Samsung's moves to avoid forced holding company status. The old Biologics-for-Electronics swap isn’t viable, so they’ll likely sell Biologics shares to lower the ratio.</li>
<li>Samsung C&amp;T might sell Biologics shares at a ₩80T market cap. They've boosted construction to manage assets and the holding ratio, but beyond ₩80T, risks increase.</li>
</ul>


Samsung C&amp;T’s holding company ratio is closing in on 50%, driven by the Biologics rally, which has Samsung on high alert for a forced conversion.
Watch Samsung's moves to avoid forced holding company status. The old Biologics-for-Electronics swap isn’t viable, so they’ll likely sell Biologics shares to lower the ratio.
Samsung C&amp;T might sell Biologics shares at a ₩80T market cap. They've boosted construction to manage assets and the holding ratio, but beyond ₩80T, risks increase.


Trading Plays on Samsung C&T’s Holding Company Shift and Biologics Share Sell-Off

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 30th which has an aggregated holding worth USD581.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,386mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Sk Hynix (000660 KS), Samsung Electronics (005930 KS).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 30th which has an aggregated holding worth USD581.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,386mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Sk Hynix (000660 KS), Samsung Electronics (005930 KS).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 30th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics

<ul>
<li>Construction and semiconductors are key targets due to their low value-up representation. For shareholder returns, keep an eye on Samsung C&amp;T and SK Square.</li>
<li>Expect announcements before the mid-September value-up index, with early September releases mirroring LG Electronics' prior notices and detailed plans arriving by Q4.</li>
<li>Even with prior notices, details will leak. Samsung C&amp;T and SK Square are likely to prioritize short-term shareholder returns over long-term growth, potentially leading to a bigger price impact.</li>
</ul>


Construction and semiconductors are key targets due to their low value-up representation. For shareholder returns, keep an eye on Samsung C&amp;T and SK Square.
Expect announcements before the mid-September value-up index, with early September releases mirroring LG Electronics' prior notices and detailed plans arriving by Q4.
Even with prior notices, details will leak. Samsung C&amp;T and SK Square are likely to prioritize short-term shareholder returns over long-term growth, potentially leading to a bigger price impact.


Keep an Eye on Samsung C&T & SK Square as the Next Hot Picks for Value-Up Announcements

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Samsung's foundry service growth is driven by AI, HPC, and automotive sectors, showcasing a diverse and promising market strategy.</li><li>Meta is set to launch glasses-like MR device in 2027, aiming to revolutionize the way we interact with technology and the digital world.</li><li>Global OSAT industry is projected to experience significant growth by 2024, fueled by increasing demand for testing and packaging services in the semiconductor market.</li></ul>

Samsung's foundry service growth is driven by AI, HPC, and automotive sectors, showcasing a diverse and promising market strategy.Meta is set to launch glasses-like MR device in 2027, aiming to revolutionize the way we interact with technology and the digital world.Global OSAT industry is projected to experience significant growth by 2024, fueled by increasing demand for testing and packaging services in the semiconductor market.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (31-Aug-2024): Samsung's growth depends on AI, HPC, autos.

<ul><li>Taiwan's defense sector is seen as undervalued, representing a missed opportunity in the global arms race.</li><li>Malaysian officials hold a meeting with Tesla, but plans for a factory in the country are considered unlikely.</li><li>Retailers are using ICT and personnel to drive growth in green energy trading, while Samsung leads the gaming monitor market.</li></ul>

Taiwan's defense sector is seen as undervalued, representing a missed opportunity in the global arms race.Malaysian officials hold a meeting with Tesla, but plans for a factory in the country are considered unlikely.Retailers are using ICT and personnel to drive growth in green energy trading, while Samsung leads the gaming monitor market.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Aug-2024): Taiwan's defense sector missed opportunity in arms race.

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

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Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 30th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Sk Hynix, Samsungelec.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Keep an Eye on Samsung C&T & SK Square as the Next Hot Picks for Value-Up Announcements

This post dives into the potential for Samsung C&T and SK Square to be the next big players in value-up announcements and explores the likely price...

Sanghyun Park

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (31-Aug-2024): Samsung's growth depends on AI, HPC, autos.

Samsung's foundry service growth relies on AI, HPC, and automotive sectors, Meta developing glasses-like MR device set for 2027 launch, projected...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Aug-2024): Taiwan's defense sector missed opportunity in arms race.

Taiwan's defense sector is overlooked, Malaysia meets Tesla but factory plans may not happen, July 2024 notebook shipment update, retail green...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Trading Plays on Samsung C&T’s Holding Company Shift and Biologics Share Sell-Off

This post explores trading angles triggered by Samsung C&T’s forced holding company conversion issue, caused by the rise in Samsung Biologics'...

Sanghyun Park

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 30th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Sk Hynix, Samsungelec.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Keep an Eye on Samsung C&T & SK Square as the Next Hot Picks for Value-Up Announcements

This post dives into the potential for Samsung C&T and SK Square to be the next big players in value-up announcements and explores the likely price...

Sanghyun Park

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (31-Aug-2024): Samsung's growth depends on AI, HPC, autos.

Samsung's foundry service growth relies on AI, HPC, and automotive sectors, Meta developing glasses-like MR device set for 2027 launch, projected...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Aug-2024): Taiwan's defense sector missed opportunity in arms race.

Taiwan's defense sector is overlooked, Malaysia meets Tesla but factory plans may not happen, July 2024 notebook shipment update, retail green...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker