Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>Since short selling was banned in November 2023, short interest has plunged in Korea as shorts were covered. Markets have not done much over the last 16 months though. </li>
<li>Foreign investor holdings have dropped from 32.05% in July to 28.57%. The top 25 stocks bought by foreign investors outperformed the top 25 stocks sold by 128% in 16 months.</li>
<li>There will be trade opportunities across indices, pref/ords, index migrations and deletions, potential market upgrades and overvalued stocks being sold.</li>
</ul>


Since short selling was banned in November 2023, short interest has plunged in Korea as shorts were covered. Markets have not done much over the last 16 months though. 
Foreign investor holdings have dropped from 32.05% in July to 28.57%. The top 25 stocks bought by foreign investors outperformed the top 25 stocks sold by 128% in 16 months.
There will be trade opportunities across indices, pref/ords, index migrations and deletions, potential market upgrades and overvalued stocks being sold.


Korea: Short Selling Is Back in March; Trade Ideas

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>There are signs that the South Korean REIT market may have bottomed in the past 3-6 months after significant market underperformance from 2021 to 4Q 2023.</li>
<li>The 16 major Korean REIT stocks are up on average 5% YTD, outperforming KOSPI which is up 1.4% in the same period.</li>
<li>Differential in REIT dividend yield/Korean bond yield, meaningful discount to NAV, and increased capital allocation from Corporate Value Up program have been driving outperformance of Korean REIT stocks this year.</li>
</ul>


There are signs that the South Korean REIT market may have bottomed in the past 3-6 months after significant market underperformance from 2021 to 4Q 2023.
The 16 major Korean REIT stocks are up on average 5% YTD, outperforming KOSPI which is up 1.4% in the same period.
Differential in REIT dividend yield/Korean bond yield, meaningful discount to NAV, and increased capital allocation from Corporate Value Up program have been driving outperformance of Korean REIT stocks this year.


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 10 November, it was announced that Ki-Sun Chung was promoted to Vice Chairman which could signal more positive news flow on HD Hyundai in the coming months.</li>
<li>The consensus expects DPS of 4,200 won for HD Hyundai in 2023, which suggests a dividend yield of 7.1%. HD Hyundai has one of the highest dividend yields in KOSPI200.</li>
<li>According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 71,970 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.</li>
</ul>


On 10 November, it was announced that Ki-Sun Chung was promoted to Vice Chairman which could signal more positive news flow on HD Hyundai in the coming months.
The consensus expects DPS of 4,200 won for HD Hyundai in 2023, which suggests a dividend yield of 7.1%. HD Hyundai has one of the highest dividend yields in KOSPI200.
According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 71,970 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.


CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine new join the fray</li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 312% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 179%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine new join the fray
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 312% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 179%


Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hanwha Asset Management has launched the process of listing the PLUS Korea Manufacturing Core Alliance (KMCA) Index ETF on the NYSE in 1H 2026.</li>
<li>KMCA ETF will includes companies in six core sectors: 1) AI semiconductors, 2) batteries, 3) shipbuilding, 4), defense, 5) power grids and nuclear energy, and 6) robots and humanoids.</li>
<li>This is likely to attract additional foreign capital into Korean stocks in the coming months. </li>
</ul>


Hanwha Asset Management has launched the process of listing the PLUS Korea Manufacturing Core Alliance (KMCA) Index ETF on the NYSE in 1H 2026.
KMCA ETF will includes companies in six core sectors: 1) AI semiconductors, 2) batteries, 3) shipbuilding, 4), defense, 5) power grids and nuclear energy, and 6) robots and humanoids.
This is likely to attract additional foreign capital into Korean stocks in the coming months. 


Hanwha Asset Mgmt Launching the PLUS Korea Manufacturing Core Alliance Index ETF (KMCA) On NYSE

South Korea

HD Hyundai Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes electrical machinery. The Company produces power transformer, gas insulated switchgear, high and low voltage motor, generator, distribution transformer, circuit breaker, and other related products. HD Hyundai Electric markets its products worldwide.

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HD Hyundai Electric (267260 KS)

Korea: Short Selling Is Back in March; Trade Ideas

Short selling in Korea commences from Monday. There will be a lot of interest in shorting stocks/sectors depending on how they have performed since...

Brian Freitas

South Korean REITs May Have Bottomed

There are signs that the South Korean REIT market may have bottomed in the past 3-6 months after significant market underperformance from 2021 to...

Douglas Kim

Asian Dividend Gems: HD Hyundai

FTC decided to conditionally approve the acquisition of STX Heavy Industries by HD Korea Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering. With this business...

Douglas Kim

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 52

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine new join the...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Hanwha Asset Mgmt Launching the PLUS Korea Manufacturing Core Alliance Index ETF (KMCA) On NYSE

Hanwha Asset Management has launched the process of listing the PLUS Korea Manufacturing Core Alliance (KMCA) Index ETF on the NYSE in 1H 2026.

Douglas Kim

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