Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Nov 7th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Cosco Shipping (1919 HK), China Feihe (6186 HK), Sinopec (386 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), China Feihe (6186 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Nov 7th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Cosco Shipping (1919 HK), China Feihe (6186 HK), Sinopec (386 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), China Feihe (6186 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Nov 7th): Cosco Shipping, China Feihe, Sinopec

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seres-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29951:1" rel="noopener">Seres Group (601127 CH)</a>,  a Chinese NEV manufacturer, raised around US$2.1bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Seres Group (SG) is principally engaged in the research and development, manufacturing, sales and services of new energy vehicles (NEV) as well as core NEV components.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about IPO trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Seres Group (601127 CH),  a Chinese NEV manufacturer, raised around US$2.1bn in its H-share listing.
Seres Group (SG) is principally engaged in the research and development, manufacturing, sales and services of new energy vehicles (NEV) as well as core NEV components.
We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about IPO trading dynamics.


Seres Group A/H Trading - Demand Wasn’t Very Strong, Close to Fair Value

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 3 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> in December. Announcement is on 21 November with implementation at the close on 5 December.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have moved higher over the last few months and handily outperformed the forecast deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>There has been aggressive short covering in the forecast adds and there could be more in stocks where short interest is still a high percentage of float.</li>
</ul>


There could be 3 changes for the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) in December. Announcement is on 21 November with implementation at the close on 5 December.
The forecast adds have moved higher over the last few months and handily outperformed the forecast deletes and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX). 
There has been aggressive short covering in the forecast adds and there could be more in stocks where short interest is still a high percentage of float.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: 3 Changes as Adds Go Up, Up & Away

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes rebounded to US$16bn a day over the past week (four trading days) and NET buying was decent at nearly HK$7bn a day. Very Un-beautiful skew again though.</li>
<li>The recommended name was long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-automobile-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11082:1" rel="noopener">Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)</a>.   From Monday's close to Friday's close, the stock was down 2+% and the H underperformed the A by 5.7%. Awful.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free - for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes rebounded to US$16bn a day over the past week (four trading days) and NET buying was decent at nearly HK$7bn a day. Very Un-beautiful skew again though.
The recommended name was long Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK).   From Monday's close to Friday's close, the stock was down 2+% and the H underperformed the A by 5.7%. Awful.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free - for all SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Wk To 31 Oct 2025) - Volatile Unwinding But Net SOE Buying

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows of Xiaomi, Pop Mart Intl, CNOOC, Meituan, Zijin Gold International.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows of Xiaomi, Pop Mart Intl, CNOOC, Meituan, Zijin Gold International.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (October): $792m Outflows from Healthcare

China

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

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Xiaomi (1810 HK)

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Nov 7th): Cosco Shipping, China Feihe, Sinopec

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Cosco Shipping...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Seres Group A/H Trading - Demand Wasn’t Very Strong, Close to Fair Value

Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, raised around US$2.1bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: 3 Changes as Adds Go Up, Up & Away

There could be 3 changes for the HSCEI in Dec. Estimated turnover is 4% and round-trip trade is HK$5.15bn. Shorts have been covering in the...

Brian Freitas

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Wk To 31 Oct 2025) - Volatile Unwinding But Net SOE Buying

HK SOUTHBOUND volumes were again slightly limited - $16bn a day vs $21bn a day two weeks prior - but net flows were still decent. For a third week...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (October): $792m Outflows from Healthcare

We estimated the inflows to Hong Kong stocks from mainland investors to be USD 11bn in October and noted outflows of $792m from Healthcare sector.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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