Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Most key P&amp;L items and revenue drivers improved Y/Y and sequentially vs Q324</li>
<li>Although GTV per transaction dipped slightly, estimated "take rate" improved in Q424</li>
<li>Strong OpCF obviates need for quick FY25 IPO -- but it could still happen this year</li>
</ul>


Most key P&amp;L items and revenue drivers improved Y/Y and sequentially vs Q324
Although GTV per transaction dipped slightly, estimated "take rate" improved in Q424
Strong OpCF obviates need for quick FY25 IPO -- but it could still happen this year


Didi Global Q424 Results: Another Set of Solid Numbers from China's Ride Hailing Giant

<ul>
<li>In Q324, Didi grew slowly, but core margin improved significantly on higher "take rate"</li>
<li>Q324 liquidity position sound, but pace of 2024 investment difficult to sustain</li>
<li>Two important reasons Didi could list shares in '25, even if cash needs aren't urgent</li>
</ul>


In Q324, Didi grew slowly, but core margin improved significantly on higher "take rate"
Q324 liquidity position sound, but pace of 2024 investment difficult to sustain
Two important reasons Didi could list shares in '25, even if cash needs aren't urgent


Didi Global Q324 Results & Two Key Reasons Company May Consider A New Listing in 2025

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Stan Zhao

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>US and China are two biggest markets in autonomous driving and robotaxi. However, due to US-China decoupling, each market is off limits to the other;</li>
<li>This makes non-US/non-China markets heavily contended. Uber and Lyft leads Didi and Meituan in globalization. But Chinese EV makers and ADS vendors might benefit from partnering with the two;</li>
<li>We expect companies with low priced vehicle production capacity, like BYD, XPEV, LEAP and Zeekr to  benefit more. Among ADS vendors, WeRide and Poni.AI stand out.</li>
</ul>


US and China are two biggest markets in autonomous driving and robotaxi. However, due to US-China decoupling, each market is off limits to the other;
This makes non-US/non-China markets heavily contended. Uber and Lyft leads Didi and Meituan in globalization. But Chinese EV makers and ADS vendors might benefit from partnering with the two;
We expect companies with low priced vehicle production capacity, like BYD, XPEV, LEAP and Zeekr to  benefit more. Among ADS vendors, WeRide and Poni.AI stand out.


Prospectus of Robotaxi Outside of China and US Is Bright for Chinese Supply Chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q324 revenue growth exceeded guidance, rising 33.9% Y/Y vs guidance of 22-25%</li>
<li>Improved revenue mix and effective OpEx control contributed to higher margins</li>
<li>Now close to US$10/ADS, we would wait for an opportunity to buy closer to US$8</li>
</ul>


Q324 revenue growth exceeded guidance, rising 33.9% Y/Y vs guidance of 22-25%
Improved revenue mix and effective OpEx control contributed to higher margins
Now close to US$10/ADS, we would wait for an opportunity to buy closer to US$8


Full Truck Alliance Q324 Results: Great Numbers, But Limited Upside Here | BUY Closer to US$8

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>The third quarter 2024 financial results for Lyft, Inc. provide a complex picture of the company’s current standing and future outlook.</li><li>On the positive side, Lyft reported gross bookings exceeding $4.1 billion, marking a 16% year-over-year increase.</li><li>The company also saw strong demand across its services with a 9% growth in active riders and a 6% rise in ride frequency, propelled by various strategic initiatives such as the 'Price Lock' feature aimed at commuters.</li></ul>

The third quarter 2024 financial results for Lyft, Inc. provide a complex picture of the company’s current standing and future outlook.On the positive side, Lyft reported gross bookings exceeding $4.1 billion, marking a 16% year-over-year increase.The company also saw strong demand across its services with a 9% growth in active riders and a 6% rise in ride frequency, propelled by various strategic initiatives such as the 'Price Lock' feature aimed at commuters.

Lyft Inc.: How First-Party Data is Powering a Digital Advertising Revolution! - Major Drivers

United States

Lyft, Inc. provides online ridesharing services. The Company offers ride booking, payment processing, and car transportation services. Lyft serves customers in the United States.

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Lyft (LYFT US)

Didi Global Q424 Results: Another Set of Solid Numbers from China's Ride Hailing Giant

Didi Global reported solid Q424 numbers last week, with most key metrics improving Y/Y. We believe the company could pursue an(other) IPO this year...

Tracking Traffic

Didi Global Q324 Results & Two Key Reasons Company May Consider A New Listing in 2025

Didi Global's core profitability continued to improve in Q324. More importantly, compared to even a few months ago, we believe a 2025 IPO is...

Tracking Traffic

Prospectus of Robotaxi Outside of China and US Is Bright for Chinese Supply Chains

US-China decoupling splits the biggest and the 2nd biggest ride hailing market, which raise the importance of non-US, non China markets. We see...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Full Truck Alliance Q324 Results: Great Numbers, But Limited Upside Here | BUY Closer to US$8

Full Truck Alliance's shares shot up 15% on November 20 after the company reported another set of impressive results. We still like the company but...

Tracking Traffic

Lyft Inc.: How First-Party Data is Powering a Digital Advertising Revolution! - Major Drivers

The third quarter 2024 financial results for Lyft, Inc. provide a complex picture of the company’s current standing and future outlook. On the...

Baptista Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Didi Global Q424 Results: Another Set of Solid Numbers from China's Ride Hailing Giant

Didi Global reported solid Q424 numbers last week, with most key metrics improving Y/Y. We believe the company could pursue an(other) IPO this year...

Tracking Traffic

Didi Global Q324 Results & Two Key Reasons Company May Consider A New Listing in 2025

Didi Global's core profitability continued to improve in Q324. More importantly, compared to even a few months ago, we believe a 2025 IPO is...

Tracking Traffic

Prospectus of Robotaxi Outside of China and US Is Bright for Chinese Supply Chains

​US-China decoupling splits the biggest and the 2nd biggest ride hailing market, which raise the importance of non-US, non China markets. We see...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Full Truck Alliance Q324 Results: Great Numbers, But Limited Upside Here | BUY Closer to US$8

Full Truck Alliance's shares shot up 15% on November 20 after the company reported another set of impressive results. We still like the company but...

Tracking Traffic

Lyft Inc.: How First-Party Data is Powering a Digital Advertising Revolution! - Major Drivers

The third quarter 2024 financial results for Lyft, Inc. provide a complex picture of the company’s current standing and future outlook. On the...

Baptista Research

US-China decoupling splits the biggest and the 2nd biggest ride hailing market, which raise the importance of non-US, non China markets. We see...