IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-gold" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45448:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Gold (2579355D HK)</a> is a global leading gold mining company and the overseas gold segment of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24628:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Mining Group (601899 CH)</a>. It is seeking to raise US$3 billion.  </li>
<li>Zijin Gold hold interests in eight gold mines located in gold-rich regions across South America, Oceania, Central Asia and Africa.</li>
<li>The investment case is bullish due to a diversified mine portfolio, strong growth, an attractive margin profile, robust cash generation, and modest leverage.</li>
</ul>



Zijin Gold (2579355D HK) is a global leading gold mining company and the overseas gold segment of Zijin Mining Group (601899 CH). It is seeking to raise US$3 billion.  
Zijin Gold hold interests in eight gold mines located in gold-rich regions across South America, Oceania, Central Asia and Africa.
The investment case is bullish due to a diversified mine portfolio, strong growth, an attractive margin profile, robust cash generation, and modest leverage.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 60.1% as of Sep 5th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.9ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, energy, health care and offset by real estate, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Zheshang Bank, China Communications Construction, Goldwind, Weichai Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 60.1% as of Sep 5th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.9ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, energy, health care and offset by real estate, consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Zheshang Bank, China Communications Construction, Goldwind, Weichai Power.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 5th): China Zheshang Bank, China Communications Construction, Goldwind

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 29th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in TraHK HSI ETF, China Hongqiao, Xiaomi, Meituan, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Horizon Robotics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 29th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in TraHK HSI ETF, China Hongqiao, Xiaomi, Meituan, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Horizon Robotics.


HK Short Interest Weekly: China Hongqiao, Xiaomi, Meituan, Hua Hong Semiconductor

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Commodities

<ul>
<li>What is Happening: VanEck shifts GDX’s US$19.5bn benchmark to MVGDX on 19 Sept 2025, cutting constituents from ~62 to 44 with stricter purity and liquidity rules.</li>
<li>Impact: Estimated US$10bn turnover; Zijin excluded, Pan American added, Amman included short-term but copper-driven revenue mix riks future exclusion under MVGDX’s ≥50% threshold.</li>
<li>What to Do: Fade Zijin’s mechanical exclusion, stay cautious on Amman, and rotate into high-purity beneficiaries (Agnico Eagle, Pan American Silver, Shandong Gold) likely to gain weight.</li>
</ul>


What is Happening: VanEck shifts GDX’s US$19.5bn benchmark to MVGDX on 19 Sept 2025, cutting constituents from ~62 to 44 with stricter purity and liquidity rules.
Impact: Estimated US$10bn turnover; Zijin excluded, Pan American added, Amman included short-term but copper-driven revenue mix riks future exclusion under MVGDX’s ≥50% threshold.
What to Do: Fade Zijin’s mechanical exclusion, stay cautious on Amman, and rotate into high-purity beneficiaries (Agnico Eagle, Pan American Silver, Shandong Gold) likely to gain weight.


VanEck GDX Benchmark Switch: Implications for Zijin and Amman

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Gold has compounded ~8–9% annually over two decades, with structural drivers — central bank demand, energy transition, and supply discipline — supporting a constructive long-term outlook</li>
<li>Gold equities historically show 1.5–2.5x beta to bullion with correlations of 0.6–0.8, amplifying upside in bull cycles and underperforming in downturns.</li>
<li>The sector has already seen a sharp run-up, but positioning, fundamentals, and macro tailwinds suggest this rally may still have legs.</li>
</ul>


Gold has compounded ~8–9% annually over two decades, with structural drivers — central bank demand, energy transition, and supply discipline — supporting a constructive long-term outlook
Gold equities historically show 1.5–2.5x beta to bullion with correlations of 0.6–0.8, amplifying upside in bull cycles and underperforming in downturns.
The sector has already seen a sharp run-up, but positioning, fundamentals, and macro tailwinds suggest this rally may still have legs.


Asia’s Gold Miners: High-Beta Plays for Gold’s Next Surge

China

Zijin Mining Group Company Limited operates metal mineral resources exploration and mining businesses. The Company produces gold, copper, zinc, iron, and other base metals. Zijin Mining Group also conducts metal trade and investment businesses domestically and internationally.

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Zijin Mining Group (601899 CH)

Zijin Gold IPO: The Investment Case

Zijin Gold, the overseas gold segment of Zijin Mining, is seeking to raise US$3 billion. In this note, I discuss the investment case.

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 5th): China Zheshang Bank, China Communications Construction, Goldwind

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Zheshang Bank, China Communications Construction,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: China Hongqiao, Xiaomi, Meituan, Hua Hong Semiconductor

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 29th and highlight short interest changes in China Hongqiao (1378 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

VanEck GDX Benchmark Switch: Implications for Zijin and Amman

VanEck shifts GDX benchmark to MVGDX, impacting turnover and constituent selection. Watch Zijin, Amman, and consider high-purity beneficiaries for...

Rahul Jain

Asia’s Gold Miners: High-Beta Plays for Gold’s Next Surge

Gold has shown consistent growth over two decades, while gold equities historically amplify bullion's performance but may still have room to run.

Rahul Jain

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Zijin Gold IPO: The Investment Case

Zijin Gold, the overseas gold segment of Zijin Mining, is seeking to raise US$3 billion. In this note, I discuss the investment case.

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 5th): China Zheshang Bank, China Communications Construction, Goldwind

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Zheshang Bank, China Communications Construction,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: China Hongqiao, Xiaomi, Meituan, Hua Hong Semiconductor

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 29th and highlight short interest changes in China Hongqiao (1378 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

VanEck GDX Benchmark Switch: Implications for Zijin and Amman

​VanEck shifts GDX benchmark to MVGDX, impacting turnover and constituent selection. Watch Zijin, Amman, and consider high-purity beneficiaries for...

Rahul Jain

Asia’s Gold Miners: High-Beta Plays for Gold’s Next Surge

​Gold has shown consistent growth over two decades, while gold equities historically amplify bullion's performance but may still have room to run.

Rahul Jain

VanEck shifts GDX benchmark to MVGDX, impacting turnover and constituent selection. Watch Zijin, Amman, and consider high-purity beneficiaries for...

Gold has shown consistent growth over two decades, while gold equities historically amplify bullion's performance but may still have room to run.