External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>As we turn the final page of 2024, we extend our warmest wishes for a 'Happy New Year' to all our valued readers.</li><li>With great excitement, we welcome 2025, looking forward to a year filled with prosperity, peace, and happiness for you and your family.</li><li>At this juncture, we are delighted to unveil our New Year Picks for this year, curated to support and strengthen your investment journey in the year ahead.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

As we turn the final page of 2024, we extend our warmest wishes for a 'Happy New Year' to all our valued readers.With great excitement, we welcome 2025, looking forward to a year filled with prosperity, peace, and happiness for you and your family.At this juncture, we are delighted to unveil our New Year Picks for this year, curated to support and strengthen your investment journey in the year ahead.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We initiate coverage on Shriram Finance Ltd (SFL) with a BUY recommendation and a target price of Rs 3,825/share, implying an upside of 30% from the CMP.</li><li>Born out of the merger of Shriram Transport Finance (SHTF), a pioneer in used CV financing and Shriram City Union Finance (SCUF), a diversified retail-focused NBFC – ‘Shriram Finance (SFL)’ is the flagship company of the Shriram Group.</li><li>The company provides lending services from its diversified product suite. It has been able to deliver strong AUM growth of ~20% CAGR over the 2 years post-merger, while continuously improving asset quality. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We initiate coverage on Shriram Finance Ltd (SFL) with a BUY recommendation and a target price of Rs 3,825/share, implying an upside of 30% from the CMP.Born out of the merger of Shriram Transport Finance (SHTF), a pioneer in used CV financing and Shriram City Union Finance (SCUF), a diversified retail-focused NBFC – ‘Shriram Finance (SFL)’ is the flagship company of the Shriram Group.The company provides lending services from its diversified product suite. It has been able to deliver strong AUM growth of ~20% CAGR over the 2 years post-merger, while continuously improving asset quality. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Shriram Finance Ltd - Merger Drives Less Cyclicity; More Stability!

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Screening for stocks at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges among active Asia Ex-Japan equity funds.</li>
<li>High Positioning, Positive Momentum: KE Holdings Ltd, Shriram Finance Limited     </li>
<li>Low Positioning, Negative Momentum: Baidu Inc, BOC Hong Kong Limited    </li>
</ul>


Screening for stocks at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges among active Asia Ex-Japan equity funds.
High Positioning, Positive Momentum: KE Holdings Ltd, Shriram Finance Limited     
Low Positioning, Negative Momentum: Baidu Inc, BOC Hong Kong Limited    


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 16 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 55.6% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 62bn (US$736m).</li>
<li>Since June, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the index and the potential deletes by a big margin. Momentum could keep the outperformance going till implementation date.</li>
</ul>


There could be 16 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 55.6% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 62bn (US$736m).
Since June, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the index and the potential deletes by a big margin. Momentum could keep the outperformance going till implementation date.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 56% Turnover, Big Trade & Strong Momentum

<ul><li>The ‘status quo’ on policy rates and change in stance from ‘Withdrawal of Accommodation’ to ‘Neutral’ was on expected lines.</li><li>This has set the stage for a rate cut and we expect a rate cut announcement in the Feb’25 meeting.</li><li>The regulator has maintained its growth and inflation forecast for FY25 with a few minor tweaks. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The ‘status quo’ on policy rates and change in stance from ‘Withdrawal of Accommodation’ to ‘Neutral’ was on expected lines.This has set the stage for a rate cut and we expect a rate cut announcement in the Feb’25 meeting.The regulator has maintained its growth and inflation forecast for FY25 with a few minor tweaks. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Event Update: RBI Monetary Policy - October 2024

India

Shriram Finance Limited provides consumer finance services. The Company offers automobile, commercial vehicle, business, and gold loan services. Shriram Finance serves customers in India.

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Shriram Finance (SHFL IN)

New Year Picks 2025

At this juncture, we are delighted to unveil our New Year Picks for this year, curated to support and strengthen your investment journey in the...

Axis Direct

Shriram Finance Ltd - Merger Drives Less Cyclicity; More Stability!

We initiate coverage on Shriram Finance Ltd (SFL) with a BUY recommendation and a target price of Rs 3,825/share, implying an upside of 30% from...

Axis Direct

Asia Ex-Japan: Extreme Stocks

Screening for stocks at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges among active Asia Ex-Japan equity funds.

Steven Holden

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 56% Turnover, Big Trade & Strong Momentum

There could be 16 constituent changes in December. one-way turnover is estimated at 55.6% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 62bn...

Brian Freitas

Event Update: RBI Monetary Policy - October 2024

The ‘status quo’ on policy rates and change in stance from ‘Withdrawal of Accommodation’ to ‘Neutral’ was on expected lines. This has set the stage...

Axis Direct

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