Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>March and Q125 parcel volume growth slowed only slightly vs strong Q424 and FY24</li>
<li>Single-Digit unit price declines should be manageable for most of the express companies</li>
<li>But express "story" generally unexciting, and most shares should continue to lag Alibaba</li>
</ul>


March and Q125 parcel volume growth slowed only slightly vs strong Q424 and FY24
Single-Digit unit price declines should be manageable for most of the express companies
But express "story" generally unexciting, and most shares should continue to lag Alibaba


Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | March, Q125 Growth Solid | But Shares Lag Alibaba (April 2025)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is 1 constituent change for the IDX30 Index and 2 changes for the IDX80 Index to be implemented at the close on 30 April.</li>
<li>The largest passive flows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-jago-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31094:1" rel="noopener">Bank Jago Tbk PT</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-mandiri-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:441:1" rel="noopener">Bank Mandiri Persero</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-tabungan-negara-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:731:1" rel="noopener">Bank Tabungan Negara Persero</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adaro-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6061:1" rel="noopener">Adaro Energy</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak-com-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak.com PT Tbk</a>.</li>
<li>There are only 4 days to implementation, so there could be relatively big moves on the changes to the IDX30 Index.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 constituent change for the IDX30 Index and 2 changes for the IDX80 Index to be implemented at the close on 30 April.
The largest passive flows are expected in Bank Rakyat Indonesia, Bank Jago Tbk PT, Bank Mandiri Persero, Bank Tabungan Negara Persero, Adaro Energy and Bukalapak.com PT Tbk.
There are only 4 days to implementation, so there could be relatively big moves on the changes to the IDX30 Index.


IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Few Changes

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>MTEL has announced it will hold its AGMS / RUPST for the 2024 fiscal year on Wednesday, May 28, 2025.</li><li>Shareholders listed in the company's register as of May 5, 2025, are eligible to attend and vote.</li><li>Any shareholder proposals for meeting agenda items must be submitted in writing by April 29, 2025. (IDX)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

MTEL has announced it will hold its AGMS / RUPST for the 2024 fiscal year on Wednesday, May 28, 2025.Shareholders listed in the company's register as of May 5, 2025, are eligible to attend and vote.Any shareholder proposals for meeting agenda items must be submitted in writing by April 29, 2025. (IDX)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab</a> hosted "GrabX" in Singapore and online to showcase a range of AI-driven product offerings that promise to be future growth drivers for the company.</li>
<li>GrabFood For One and Shared Saver both have the potential to attract significant new business, but there was also the launch of AI-assistant Maya for Merchants to drive orders. </li>
<li>Additionally, Grab Unlimited continues to grow and be transformed into a fully-fledged loyalty program. Valuations are attractive, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab</a> is set to make a net profit this year.</li>
</ul>



Grab hosted "GrabX" in Singapore and online to showcase a range of AI-driven product offerings that promise to be future growth drivers for the company.
GrabFood For One and Shared Saver both have the potential to attract significant new business, but there was also the launch of AI-assistant Maya for Merchants to drive orders. 
Additionally, Grab Unlimited continues to grow and be transformed into a fully-fledged loyalty program. Valuations are attractive, and Grab is set to make a net profit this year.


Grab Holdings (GRAB US) - New Products with a Heavy Hint of AI

<ul><li>PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk (GOTO) will release its 1Q25 financial results on 29 April 2025, following the publication of its unaudited and unreviewed financial statements for the three-month period ending 31 March 2025.</li><li>The company will also host a conference call in English on the same day at 7:00 PM Jakarta time (8:00 AM U.S. Eastern Time) to discuss the results. </li><li>ISAT to Hold Annual Shareholders Meeting on May 28 Jakarta – PT Indosat Tbk will hold its 2025 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders (AGMS) on Wednesday, 28 May 2025.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk (GOTO) will release its 1Q25 financial results on 29 April 2025, following the publication of its unaudited and unreviewed financial statements for the three-month period ending 31 March 2025.The company will also host a conference call in English on the same day at 7:00 PM Jakarta time (8:00 AM U.S. Eastern Time) to discuss the results. ISAT to Hold Annual Shareholders Meeting on May 28 Jakarta – PT Indosat Tbk will hold its 2025 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders (AGMS) on Wednesday, 28 May 2025.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS TMT News - Wednesday, April 16, 2025

Indonesia

PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk operates as an e-commerce platform. The Company offers mobility, food delivery, logistics, e-commerce, and financial technology solutions. GoTo Gojek Tokopedia serves customers in Indonesia.

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GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT (GOTO IJ)

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | March, Q125 Growth Solid | But Shares Lag Alibaba (April 2025)

In March and Q125, express volume growth remained firm, and unit price declines should be manageable for most express companies. But as an...

Tracking Traffic

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Few Changes

There is 1 constituent change for the IDX30 and 2 for the IDX80, nothing for the LQ45. Flow and impact are material for the IDX30 index changes.

Brian Freitas

BRIDS TMT News - Tuesday, April 22, 2025

MTEL has announced it will hold its AGMS / RUPST for the 2024 fiscal year on Wednesday, May 28, 2025. Shareholders listed in the company's register...

BRI Danareksa Research

Grab Holdings (GRAB US) - New Products with a Heavy Hint of AI

Grab hosted "GrabX" in Singapore and online to showcase a range of AI-driven product offerings that promise to be future growth drivers for the...

Angus Mackintosh

BRIDS TMT News - Wednesday, April 16, 2025

PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk (GOTO) will release its 1Q25 financial results on 29 April 2025, following the publication of its unaudited and...

BRI Danareksa Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | March, Q125 Growth Solid | But Shares Lag Alibaba (April 2025)

In March and Q125, express volume growth remained firm, and unit price declines should be manageable for most express companies. But as an...

Tracking Traffic

IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Few Changes

There is 1 constituent change for the IDX30 and 2 for the IDX80, nothing for the LQ45. Flow and impact are material for the IDX30 index changes.

Brian Freitas

BRIDS TMT News - Tuesday, April 22, 2025

MTEL has announced it will hold its AGMS / RUPST for the 2024 fiscal year on Wednesday, May 28, 2025. Shareholders listed in the company's register...

BRI Danareksa Research

Grab Holdings (GRAB US) - New Products with a Heavy Hint of AI

Grab hosted "GrabX" in Singapore and online to showcase a range of AI-driven product offerings that promise to be future growth drivers for the...

Angus Mackintosh

BRIDS TMT News - Wednesday, April 16, 2025

PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk (GOTO) will release its 1Q25 financial results on 29 April 2025, following the publication of its unaudited and...

BRI Danareksa Research

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Few Changes