Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 4+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. Remain aggressively long/continue to expect more upside into year-end and the early2026.</li>
<li>Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking out from its 7-month base, above the crucial 5500 level, and RS is attempting to reverse its 5-month downtrend -- buy.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 4+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. Remain aggressively long/continue to expect more upside into year-end and the early2026.
Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking out from its 7-month base, above the crucial 5500 level, and RS is attempting to reverse its 5-month downtrend -- buy.


Europe Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We recommend cutting loss on XIAOMI80 after the holding-period return fell 6.6%, and switching into FERRARI80, a DR referencing Ferrari N.V. (RACE) listed on Euronext Milan.</li><li>The KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio delivered an average return of +0.84% from the previous day, supported by a rally in US technology stocks after NVIDIA surged to a new record high.</li><li>Our study using the KTX Fundamental USDTHB Tracker shows that the baht is on an appreciating trend, posing FX risks for overseas investments, including DRs.</li></ul>

We recommend cutting loss on XIAOMI80 after the holding-period return fell 6.6%, and switching into FERRARI80, a DR referencing Ferrari N.V. (RACE) listed on Euronext Milan.The KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio delivered an average return of +0.84% from the previous day, supported by a rally in US technology stocks after NVIDIA surged to a new record high.Our study using the KTX Fundamental USDTHB Tracker shows that the baht is on an appreciating trend, posing FX risks for overseas investments, including DRs.

KTX TACTICAL DR PICKS - October 3, 2025 (Eng.)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 3rd based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Anta (2020 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Anta (2020 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 3rd based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Anta (2020 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Anta (2020 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 3rd): Tencent, Anta, Hang Seng Bank

<ul><li>For KTX Tactical DR Picks today, we recommend closing positions in ESTEE80, MITSU19, and MS06, which delivered returns of +0.8%, –3.3%, and –0.3%, respectively.</li><li>The average return of the underlying securities in the portfolio slipped –0.23% from the previous day, amid concerns over the US government shutdown.</li><li>Our study using the KTX Fundamental USDTHB Tracker shows that the baht is on an appreciating trend, posing FX risks for overseas investments, including DRs.</li></ul>

For KTX Tactical DR Picks today, we recommend closing positions in ESTEE80, MITSU19, and MS06, which delivered returns of +0.8%, –3.3%, and –0.3%, respectively.The average return of the underlying securities in the portfolio slipped –0.23% from the previous day, amid concerns over the US government shutdown.Our study using the KTX Fundamental USDTHB Tracker shows that the baht is on an appreciating trend, posing FX risks for overseas investments, including DRs.

KTX TACTICAL DR PICKS - October 2, 2025 (Eng.)

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Kuaishou, HORIZON ROBOTICS, JD.COM, BIDU, MEITUAN, BYD, Horizonrobot, Meituan, Jd, Kuaishou, Bidu, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Kuaishou, HORIZON ROBOTICS, JD.COM, BIDU, MEITUAN, BYD, Horizonrobot, Meituan, Jd, Kuaishou, Bidu, BYD.


HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Sep): Kuaishou, HORIZON ROBOTICS, JD.COM, BIDU, MEITUAN, BYD

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Tencent (700 HK)

Europe Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

Europe EURO $STOXX 50 Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan $EWT, China $MCHI, Korea $EWY, and the U.S. $SPX; Bullish...

Vermilion Research

KTX TACTICAL DR PICKS - October 3, 2025 (Eng.)

We recommend cutting loss on XIAOMI80 after the holding-period return fell 6.6%, and switching into FERRARI80, a DR referencing Ferrari N.V. (RACE)...

Krungthai XSpring

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 3rd): Tencent, Anta, Hang Seng Bank

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KTX TACTICAL DR PICKS - October 2, 2025 (Eng.)

For KTX Tactical DR Picks today, we recommend closing positions in ESTEE80, MITSU19, and MS06, which delivered returns of +0.8%, –3.3%, and –0.3%,...

Krungthai XSpring

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Sep): Kuaishou, HORIZON ROBOTICS, JD.COM, BIDU, MEITUAN, BYD

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for Sep 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Kuaishou, HORIZON ROBOTICS, JD.COM, BIDU, MEITUAN, BYD,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)