Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785) and $119-$121.</li>
<li>$128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785) and $119-$121.
$128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.


Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows of CCB, China Life, SMIC, Meituan, China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows of CCB, China Life, SMIC, Meituan, China Mobile.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (July): Near $15bn Inflows

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Aug 1st based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Vitasoy (345 HK), Shoucheng (697 HK), Yum China (9987 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Aug 1st based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Vitasoy (345 HK), Shoucheng (697 HK), Yum China (9987 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Aug 1st): Vitasoy, Shoucheng, Yum China

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Ntes - S, Jd, Bidu, Meituan, Li Auto, Hua Hong Semi, Kingdee Int'L.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Ntes - S, Jd, Bidu, Meituan, Li Auto, Hua Hong Semi, Kingdee Int'L.


HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Jul): Ntes, Jd, Bidu, Meituan, Li Auto, Hua Hong Semi

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSCEI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on CNOOC, Jd, Meituan, Bidu, BOC, J&amp;T Express.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSCEI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on CNOOC, Jd, Meituan, Bidu, BOC, J&amp;T Express.


HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Jul): CNOOC, Jd, Meituan, Bidu, BOC, J&T Express

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Tencent (700 HK)

Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

Continue Adding Exposure to China; $ACWI Short-Term Supports for this pullback: $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50. Pullbacks = buy opportunities,...

Vermilion Research

Hong Kong Connect Flows (July): Near $15bn Inflows

We estimate inflows to the HK shares from mainland investors amount to US$14.5bn in July. We highlight flows for CCB, China Life, SMIC, Meituan,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Aug 1st): Vitasoy, Shoucheng, Yum China

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Vitasoy (345 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Jul): Ntes, Jd, Bidu, Meituan, Li Auto, Hua Hong Semi

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for Jul 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Ntes - S, Jd, Bidu, Meituan, Li Auto, Hua Hong Semi, Kingdee Int'L.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Jul): CNOOC, Jd, Meituan, Bidu, BOC, J&T Express

We analyzed HSCEI's consensus for Jul 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in CNOOC, Jd, Meituan, Bidu, BOC, J&T Express.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)