Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Tech and AI sell off sparked by further chip restrictions to China and poor print from ASML.</li>
<li>Details of trade talks are set to have big implications for autos, energy, defense and agriculture.</li>
<li>US officials order the suspension of Biden era wind project already under constriction, adding more pressure to renewables.</li>
</ul>


Tech and AI sell off sparked by further chip restrictions to China and poor print from ASML.
Details of trade talks are set to have big implications for autos, energy, defense and agriculture.
US officials order the suspension of Biden era wind project already under constriction, adding more pressure to renewables.


Japan Morning Connection: Trump Lauding 'great Progress' with Japan Trade Talks.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renewable-japan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35211:1" rel="noopener">Renewable Japan (9522 JP)</a> has recommended a <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyu-fudosan-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8355:1" rel="noopener">Tokyu Fudosan Holdings (3289 JP)</a>-sponsored MBO at JPY1,250 per share, a 132.3% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>The high takeover premium reflects the 55% YTD decline in the share price. While the timing is opportunistic, the offer is attractive compared to peer multiples. </li>
<li>The irrevocables and low required minority acceptance rate ensure that this is a done deal. The tender runs from 15 November to 8 January 2025 (34 business days).</li>
</ul>



Renewable Japan (9522 JP) has recommended a Tokyu Fudosan Holdings (3289 JP)-sponsored MBO at JPY1,250 per share, a 132.3% premium to the last close.
The high takeover premium reflects the 55% YTD decline in the share price. While the timing is opportunistic, the offer is attractive compared to peer multiples. 
The irrevocables and low required minority acceptance rate ensure that this is a done deal. The tender runs from 15 November to 8 January 2025 (34 business days).


Renewable Japan (9522 JP): Tokyu Fudosan (3289 JP)-Sponsored MBO Set at a 132% Takeover Premium

<ul>
<li>US semis and tech related setting a bullish tone for JP SPE with NVDA closing at record highs.</li>
<li>Steep drop for oil to hit Japex, Index and refiners while US P&amp;C strength should also be reflected in JP peers.</li>
<li>Possible downside for Fujitsu with NTT Docomo announcing a pivot away from their base station equipment.</li>
</ul>


US semis and tech related setting a bullish tone for JP SPE with NVDA closing at record highs.
Steep drop for oil to hit Japex, Index and refiners while US P&amp;C strength should also be reflected in JP peers.
Possible downside for Fujitsu with NTT Docomo announcing a pivot away from their base station equipment.


Japan Morning Connection: US Semis and Tech Set a Bullish Tone for Japan's SPE Majors

<ul>
<li>Big move higher for oil set to spike the JP oil major Inpex although the refiners have large outstanding short interests and may squeeze</li>
<li>The higher oil price is negative for Japan’s utilities which have yet to restart reactors and are dependent on oil/gas imports to fuel their thermal generation</li>
<li>Details are limited on a potential Seven Bank stake sale by 7&amp;I, but there should be room for upside as shorts continue to cover</li>
</ul>


Big move higher for oil set to spike the JP oil major Inpex although the refiners have large outstanding short interests and may squeeze
The higher oil price is negative for Japan’s utilities which have yet to restart reactors and are dependent on oil/gas imports to fuel their thermal generation
Details are limited on a potential Seven Bank stake sale by 7&amp;I, but there should be room for upside as shorts continue to cover


Japan Morning Connection: Spike in Oil Positive for Inpex and Refiners

<ul>
<li>Profit taking hit tech/semi's as tensions rapidly escalate in the Middle East, causing defense and oil related names to move higher</li>
<li>NEC remains overlooked as a defence play in Japan despite the MoD's growing for budget for electronic warfare and satellite defence capabilities</li>
<li>Renewables in the US are leading the way YTD, although Japan is far behind the curve despite PM Ishiba being a pro wind/solar and hawkish towards nuclear.</li>
</ul>


Profit taking hit tech/semi's as tensions rapidly escalate in the Middle East, causing defense and oil related names to move higher
NEC remains overlooked as a defence play in Japan despite the MoD's growing for budget for electronic warfare and satellite defence capabilities
Renewables in the US are leading the way YTD, although Japan is far behind the curve despite PM Ishiba being a pro wind/solar and hawkish towards nuclear.


Japan Morning Connection: NEC Overlooked as a Defence Play

Japan

RENOVA, Inc. is mainly engaged in operating and managing solar power, biomass power, wind power (onshore and offshore), and geothermal power generations.

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RENOVA Inc (9519 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Lauding 'great Progress' with Japan Trade Talks.

Earnings miss from ASML and further chip restrictions to China sparked Tech and AI sell off. JP renewables likely to be impacted by Equinor’s...

Andrew Jackson

Renewable Japan (9522 JP): Tokyu Fudosan (3289 JP)-Sponsored MBO Set at a 132% Takeover Premium

The high takeover premium reflects the 55% YTD decline in the share price. The irrevocables and low required minority acceptance rate ensure that...

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: US Semis and Tech Set a Bullish Tone for Japan's SPE Majors

US semiconductors and tech related setting a bullish tone for JP SPE. Steep drop in oil to hit Japex, Index and refiners. Fujitsu may face downside...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Spike in Oil Positive for Inpex and Refiners

Surge in oil may squeeze refiners with short interests. Negative for Japanese utilities yet to restart reactors. Potential upside for Seven Bank as...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: NEC Overlooked as a Defence Play

Middle East tensions cause defense/oil stocks to rise; NEC undervalued in Japan defense sector; US leads in renewables, Japan lags behind despite...

Andrew Jackson

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