Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-transmission-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26712:1" rel="noopener">Adani Energy Solutions</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalyan-jewellers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29714:1" rel="noopener">Kalyan Jewellers</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alkem-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26928:1" rel="noopener">Alkem Laboratories</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oberoi-realty-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7188:1" rel="noopener">Oberoi Realty</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bombay-stock-exchange" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23694:1" rel="noopener">Bombay Stock Exchange</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/voltas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19924:1" rel="noopener">Voltas</a> have moved higher recently and that could result in the stocks being added to global passive portfolios.</li>
<li>Four of the names are high probability while two of the names could be added depending on the day of the week chosen.</li>
<li>We take a look at the positioning on the stocks and recommend pair trades to reduce market risk while trying to capture alpha.</li>
</ul>



Adani Energy Solutions, Kalyan Jewellers, Alkem Laboratories, Oberoi Realty, Bombay Stock Exchange and Voltas have moved higher recently and that could result in the stocks being added to global passive portfolios.
Four of the names are high probability while two of the names could be added depending on the day of the week chosen.
We take a look at the positioning on the stocks and recommend pair trades to reduce market risk while trying to capture alpha.


India: Positioning on Stocks with Potential Passive Inflows in November

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The India Pharma &amp; Healthcare sector is expected to maintain its growth momentum in Q2FY25E</li><li>We project sales/EBITDA growth of 11%/15% YoY for our coverage universe</li><li>Our assumptions are: (1) Pharma coverage is expected to see 11% YoY sales growth, driven by a 12% YoY increase in the India business, offset by a ~5% QoQ decline in the US</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The India Pharma &amp; Healthcare sector is expected to maintain its growth momentum in Q2FY25EWe project sales/EBITDA growth of 11%/15% YoY for our coverage universeOur assumptions are: (1) Pharma coverage is expected to see 11% YoY sales growth, driven by a 12% YoY increase in the India business, offset by a ~5% QoQ decline in the USContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pharma and Healthcare (Q2FY25E Results Preview): Steady Q2, Revlimid to Normalise

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alkem Laboratories Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We met with the ALKEM management to gain a deeper understanding of the business outlook: With an established presence in the Domestic Formulation (DF) segment and exports, ALKEM is boosting its growth prospects in the bio-CDMO and med-tech segments.</li><li>The overall investment in the bio-CDMO segment is expected to be ~INR14b.</li><li>ALKEM’s revamped strategy for the DF segment is yielding improved results with potential for higher growth in the chronic space and reduction in MR attrition.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We met with the ALKEM management to gain a deeper understanding of the business outlook: With an established presence in the Domestic Formulation (DF) segment and exports, ALKEM is boosting its growth prospects in the bio-CDMO and med-tech segments.The overall investment in the bio-CDMO segment is expected to be ~INR14b.ALKEM’s revamped strategy for the DF segment is yielding improved results with potential for higher growth in the chronic space and reduction in MR attrition.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alkem - Focusing on Profitable Growth Across Segments

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Rallies appear to be stalling-out near logical resistances in the largest global equity markets. That includes 5670-5783 on SPX, 2690-2700 on Japan's TOPIX, and 4884 on Europe's EURO STOXX 50.</li>
<li>We continue to believe these indexes will roll over near current or marginally higher levels, fitting with our ongoing belief that MSCI ACWI is going through a 1-to-4-month pullback/consolidation.</li>
<li>Long-Term uptrend violations on global indexes and continued outperformance from defensive Sectors are our top concerns for global equities, though recession indicators and a Fed cutting cycle are also concerns.</li>
</ul>


Rallies appear to be stalling-out near logical resistances in the largest global equity markets. That includes 5670-5783 on SPX, 2690-2700 on Japan's TOPIX, and 4884 on Europe's EURO STOXX 50.
We continue to believe these indexes will roll over near current or marginally higher levels, fitting with our ongoing belief that MSCI ACWI is going through a 1-to-4-month pullback/consolidation.
Long-Term uptrend violations on global indexes and continued outperformance from defensive Sectors are our top concerns for global equities, though recession indicators and a Fed cutting cycle are also concerns.


Expecting Downside Ahead; Stick With Defensives; Downgrading Taiwan to Market Weight; Risk-Off Signs

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Zydus Lifesciences Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-lifesciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12914:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN)</a> reported stellar performance in Q1FY25, with all key parameters improved sequentially and YoY. The company achieved highest ever operating profit and margin during the quarter.</li>
<li>Sustained growth momentum across all the businesses along with enhanced profitability drove Q1FY25 performance. Execution success of differentiated pipeline in the U.S. and outperformance of India business were particularly noteworthy.</li>
<li>Despite delivering 21% YoY revenue growth in Q1FY25, Zydus reiterated FY25 revenue growth guidance of high teens. The company expects EBITDA margin of 28.5–29.0% for FY25.</li>
</ul>



Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN) reported stellar performance in Q1FY25, with all key parameters improved sequentially and YoY. The company achieved highest ever operating profit and margin during the quarter.
Sustained growth momentum across all the businesses along with enhanced profitability drove Q1FY25 performance. Execution success of differentiated pipeline in the U.S. and outperformance of India business were particularly noteworthy.
Despite delivering 21% YoY revenue growth in Q1FY25, Zydus reiterated FY25 revenue growth guidance of high teens. The company expects EBITDA margin of 28.5–29.0% for FY25.


Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Q1FY25 PAT Jumps 31%; Increasing Focus on US To Augur Well

India

Alkem Laboratories Limited operates as a pharmaceutical company. The Company researches, develops, manufactures, and markets generic and branded pharmaceuticals. Alkem also provides nutraceuticals, functional foods, health foods, and herbal products.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN)

India: Positioning on Stocks with Potential Passive Inflows in November

There are 4 high probability inclusions in Nov while 2 are low probability. Flow will be US$220m-305m, impact is 0.9-22x ADV and 4.4-42.5x delivery...

Brian Freitas

Pharma and Healthcare (Q2FY25E Results Preview): Steady Q2, Revlimid to Normalise

The India Pharma & Healthcare sector is expected to maintain its growth momentum in Q2FY25E. We project sales/EBITDA growth of 11%/15% YoY for our...

HDFC Securities

Alkem - Focusing on Profitable Growth Across Segments

ALKEM’s revamped strategy for the DF segment is yielding improved results with potential for higher growth in the chronic space and reduction in MR...

Motilal Oswal

Expecting Downside Ahead; Stick With Defensives; Downgrading Taiwan to Market Weight; Risk-Off Signs

Expecting Downside Ahead $ACWI $SPX; Stick With Defensive Sectors; Downgrading Taiwan $EWT $TSM to Market Weight; Global Discretionary vs. Staples...

Vermilion Research

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Q1FY25 PAT Jumps 31%; Increasing Focus on US To Augur Well

Zydus Lifesciences reports stellar Q1FY25 performance with highest ever operating profit and margin, driven by the US and India. The company...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

India: Positioning on Stocks with Potential Passive Inflows in November

There are 4 high probability inclusions in Nov while 2 are low probability. Flow will be US$220m-305m, impact is 0.9-22x ADV and 4.4-42.5x delivery...

Brian Freitas

Pharma and Healthcare (Q2FY25E Results Preview): Steady Q2, Revlimid to Normalise

The India Pharma & Healthcare sector is expected to maintain its growth momentum in Q2FY25E. We project sales/EBITDA growth of 11%/15% YoY for our...

HDFC Securities

Alkem - Focusing on Profitable Growth Across Segments

ALKEM’s revamped strategy for the DF segment is yielding improved results with potential for higher growth in the chronic space and reduction in MR...

Motilal Oswal

Expecting Downside Ahead; Stick With Defensives; Downgrading Taiwan to Market Weight; Risk-Off Signs

Expecting Downside Ahead $ACWI $SPX; Stick With Defensive Sectors; Downgrading Taiwan $EWT $TSM to Market Weight; Global Discretionary vs. Staples...

Vermilion Research

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Q1FY25 PAT Jumps 31%; Increasing Focus on US To Augur Well

​Zydus Lifesciences reports stellar Q1FY25 performance with highest ever operating profit and margin, driven by the US and India. The company...

Tina Banerjee

Zydus Lifesciences reports stellar Q1FY25 performance with highest ever operating profit and margin, driven by the US and India. The company...