Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Central Bank Focus: Nine Central banks decide on monetary policy next week. Among them the BoJ, the BoE, the SNB, and the Fed.</li>
<li>Earnings Wave: major Hong Kong stocks reporting, including Tencent, Xiaomi, China Mobile, and Meituan.</li>
<li>Triple Witching: Quarterly derivatives expiration hits multiple markets - Australia, Taiwan , and the US - alongside index rebalancing in both Australia and the US.</li>
</ul>


Central Bank Focus: Nine Central banks decide on monetary policy next week. Among them the BoJ, the BoE, the SNB, and the Fed.
Earnings Wave: major Hong Kong stocks reporting, including Tencent, Xiaomi, China Mobile, and Meituan.
Triple Witching: Quarterly derivatives expiration hits multiple markets - Australia, Taiwan , and the US - alongside index rebalancing in both Australia and the US.


Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (March 17-21)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Mar 14th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Cnbm (3323 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK), Techtronic (669 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Cnbm (3323 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK), Crrc Times Electric (3898 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Mar 14th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Cnbm (3323 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK), Techtronic (669 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Cnbm (3323 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK), Crrc Times Electric (3898 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 14th): Cnbm, Swire Pacific, Techtronic

<ul>
<li>Over a dozen <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a> companies (31% of index weight) report next week, along with significant portions of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a> (38%) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a> (32%) components.</li>
<li>The four index heavy-weights <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan</a> all report next week.</li>
<li>Weekly options expiring March 21 provide targeted instruments for traders looking to capitalize on earnings-related price movements.</li>
</ul>


Over a dozen Hang Seng Index companies (31% of index weight) report next week, along with significant portions of HSCEI (38%) and Hang Seng TECH Index (32%) components.
The four index heavy-weights Xiaomi Corp, Tencent, China Mobile, and Meituan all report next week.
Weekly options expiring March 21 provide targeted instruments for traders looking to capitalize on earnings-related price movements.


Dividends, Volatility, and Profits: HSI and HSCEI Heavyweights Reveal Results, 17 - 21 March

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Valuations across Asia are mean reverting - expensive markets derating and the cheap ones rerating. We think this is likely to continue somewhat longer.</li>
<li>We think HK/China could rerate more; India and Taiwan could derate slightly further. India looks interesting. Valuation range has structurally shifted upwards. But another 5-10% relative valuation correction is warranted.</li>
<li>Principal stock choices in HK/China, Korea and India pertain to themes of domestic consumption, AI resilience and unloved sectors. Some of the companies have mitigating strategies for the tariff war.</li>
</ul>


Valuations across Asia are mean reverting - expensive markets derating and the cheap ones rerating. We think this is likely to continue somewhat longer.
We think HK/China could rerate more; India and Taiwan could derate slightly further. India looks interesting. Valuation range has structurally shifted upwards. But another 5-10% relative valuation correction is warranted.
Principal stock choices in HK/China, Korea and India pertain to themes of domestic consumption, AI resilience and unloved sectors. Some of the companies have mitigating strategies for the tariff war.


Asian Equities: Valuation Mean Reversion - The Winners and Losers

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>As the trade war unfolds, more market volatility seems likely. In the 2018 episode China and Korea drove Asian drawdown. But today, China exports far less to America than earlier.</li>
<li>The 2025 trade war is more expansive, with larger tariffs being imposed. In 2018, the defensives and non-tradables outperformed. Similar sectors, but not the same markets could do well now.</li>
<li>Our Capital Preservation Basket presents eight cheap stocks with domestic revenue exposure and earnings estimate increases over past six months. They are from HK/China (5), Philippines (2) and Korea (1).</li>
</ul>


As the trade war unfolds, more market volatility seems likely. In the 2018 episode China and Korea drove Asian drawdown. But today, China exports far less to America than earlier.
The 2025 trade war is more expansive, with larger tariffs being imposed. In 2018, the defensives and non-tradables outperformed. Similar sectors, but not the same markets could do well now.
Our Capital Preservation Basket presents eight cheap stocks with domestic revenue exposure and earnings estimate increases over past six months. They are from HK/China (5), Philippines (2) and Korea (1).


Asian Equities: Preserving Capital in 2025 – Parallels and Contrasts from 2018

China

Meituan operates as a web based shopping platform for locally found consumer products and retail services. The Company offers deals of the day by selling vouchers on local services and entertainment, dining, delivery, and other services. Meituan provides its services throughout China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Meituan (3690 HK)

Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (March 17-21)

Central banks to decide on monetary policy, Hong Kong stocks results, and quarterly derivatives expiration hitting multiple markets.

Gaudenz Schneider

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 14th): Cnbm, Swire Pacific, Techtronic

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Cnbm (3323 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Dividends, Volatility, and Profits: HSI and HSCEI Heavyweights Reveal Results, 17 - 21 March

Key Hang Seng Index companies reporting next week, including heavyweights Xiaomi, Tencent, China Mobile, and Meituan, offer trading opportunities.

Gaudenz Schneider

Asian Equities: Valuation Mean Reversion - The Winners and Losers

Asian valn mean reversion i.e. expensive markets derating & cheap ones rerating, could sustain. HK/China & KR may rerate more. India looks...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Asian Equities: Preserving Capital in 2025 – Parallels and Contrasts from 2018

Volatility could rise as trade war escalates. But China exports much less to US now, Korea & Taiwan much more. Our Capital Preservation Basket has...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (March 17-21)

​Central banks to decide on monetary policy, Hong Kong stocks results, and quarterly derivatives expiration hitting multiple markets.

Gaudenz Schneider

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 14th): Cnbm, Swire Pacific, Techtronic

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Cnbm (3323 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Dividends, Volatility, and Profits: HSI and HSCEI Heavyweights Reveal Results, 17 - 21 March

​Key Hang Seng Index companies reporting next week, including heavyweights Xiaomi, Tencent, China Mobile, and Meituan, offer trading opportunities.

Gaudenz Schneider

Asian Equities: Valuation Mean Reversion - The Winners and Losers

​Asian valn mean reversion i.e. expensive markets derating & cheap ones rerating, could sustain. HK/China & KR may rerate more. India looks...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Asian Equities: Preserving Capital in 2025 – Parallels and Contrasts from 2018

​Volatility could rise as trade war escalates. But China exports much less to US now, Korea & Taiwan much more. Our Capital Preservation Basket has...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Central banks to decide on monetary policy, Hong Kong stocks results, and quarterly derivatives expiration hitting multiple markets.

Key Hang Seng Index companies reporting next week, including heavyweights Xiaomi, Tencent, China Mobile, and Meituan, offer trading opportunities.

Asian valn mean reversion i.e. expensive markets derating & cheap ones rerating, could sustain. HK/China & KR may rerate more. India looks...

Volatility could rise as trade war escalates. But China exports much less to US now, Korea & Taiwan much more. Our Capital Preservation Basket has...