Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Fuyao Glass Industry Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>HUGE, rampaging, "Beautiful Skew"... unwinds. Big swings in H/A ratios continue, this time on average with 2.3% H underperformance vs As, 4% wider on the highest AH premia.</li>
<li>Last week's long reco on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-automobile-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11082:1" rel="noopener">Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)</a> was up 1 tick on the week in Hs and Hs underperformed the A by 1.5%. </li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


HUGE, rampaging, "Beautiful Skew"... unwinds. Big swings in H/A ratios continue, this time on average with 2.3% H underperformance vs As, 4% wider on the highest AH premia.
Last week's long reco on Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK) was up 1 tick on the week in Hs and Hs underperformed the A by 1.5%. 
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 22 Aug 2025):  BIG Beautiful Skew Corrects

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.0% as of Aug 22nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, real estate, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Air China, Cosco Shipping Development, Ganfeng Lithium, Fuyao Glass.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.0% as of Aug 22nd.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, real estate, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Air China, Cosco Shipping Development, Ganfeng Lithium, Fuyao Glass.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 22nd): Air China, Cosco Shipping Development, Ganfeng Lithium, Fuyao Glass

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>As the earnings reporting season nears completion, our EPS estimate tracker reveals a downgrade to Asian EPS. AxJ EPS declined only 0.5%-0.8%. But several constituent markets' EPS declined much more.</li>
<li>Asian EPS estimates were supported by China and somewhat surprisingly, Thailand. Indian estimates continued to decline. Even Korea and Taiwan, the recent earnings outperformers, were downgraded during this season. </li>
<li>Unlike Asia, US EPS estimates rose during this season. Japan's and Europe's declined. In a subsequent note we shall track the estimates of all the sectors in each Asian Market.</li>
</ul>


As the earnings reporting season nears completion, our EPS estimate tracker reveals a downgrade to Asian EPS. AxJ EPS declined only 0.5%-0.8%. But several constituent markets' EPS declined much more.
Asian EPS estimates were supported by China and somewhat surprisingly, Thailand. Indian estimates continued to decline. Even Korea and Taiwan, the recent earnings outperformers, were downgraded during this season. 
Unlike Asia, US EPS estimates rose during this season. Japan's and Europe's declined. In a subsequent note we shall track the estimates of all the sectors in each Asian Market.


Asian Equity: As the Result Season Nears Its End, Asian EPS Estimates Suffer a Surprising Downgrade

Podcast by CEO, Norges Bank Investment Management, In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

Podcast by CEO, Norges Bank Investment Management

The CEO of the largest single investor in the world, Norges Bank Investment Management, interviews leaders of some of the largest companies in the world. You will get to know the leader, their strategy, leadership principles, and much more. Hosted on Acast. See https://www.acast.com/privacy-policy for more information.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Technology plays a significant role in connecting people during both good and bad times, with the telecom sector being crucial in providing connectivity</li><li>The main trends in the sector currently include the fast adoption of AI, which is increasing traffic volume and creating new use cases</li><li>One of the main challenges in the telecom industry is the need for consolidation due to the capital-intensive nature of the business and the importance of scale in operations</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Technology plays a significant role in connecting people during both good and bad times, with the telecom sector being crucial in providing connectivityThe main trends in the sector currently include the fast adoption of AI, which is increasing traffic volume and creating new use casesOne of the main challenges in the telecom industry is the need for consolidation due to the capital-intensive nature of the business and the importance of scale in operationsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Orange CEO: Telecommunications Future, Network Investment and Leadership

<ul>
<li>After buying Asian equities for three months, FIIs sold Asia in the three weeks of August: notably India (-$2.53bn) and Korea (-$298m). Taiwan (+1.6bn) was the only large market bought.</li>
<li>It's too early to call a trend change. Our FII gauge of 6-month cumulative buying as percentage of the market's capitalization indicates that most markets are neither overbought nor oversold.</li>
<li>Even though FIIs have bought the large Asian markets lately, none of them are overbought. Taiwan's FII gauge is relatively closer to the upper limit. Indonesia is unequivocally oversold.</li>
</ul>


After buying Asian equities for three months, FIIs sold Asia in the three weeks of August: notably India (-$2.53bn) and Korea (-$298m). Taiwan (+1.6bn) was the only large market bought.
It's too early to call a trend change. Our FII gauge of 6-month cumulative buying as percentage of the market's capitalization indicates that most markets are neither overbought nor oversold.
Even though FIIs have bought the large Asian markets lately, none of them are overbought. Taiwan's FII gauge is relatively closer to the upper limit. Indonesia is unequivocally oversold.


Asian Equities: FIIs Selling Asia in August; Only Taiwan Still Being Bought

Hong Kong

China Mobile Limited provides telecommunication services. The Company offers wireline voice, broadband, roaming, and other related services. China Mobile serves customers in Hong Kong.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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China Mobile (941 HK)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 22 Aug 2025): BIG Beautiful Skew Corrects

BIG BEAUTIFUL SKEW Corrects 2.3%. Feels like more of a correction to come. A shares seeing a real push on the speculative side.

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 22nd): Air China, Cosco Shipping Development, Ganfeng Lithium, Fuyao Glass

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Air China, Cosco Shipping Development, Ganfeng Lithium,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asian Equity: As the Result Season Nears Its End, Asian EPS Estimates Suffer a Surprising Downgrade

Asian EPS estimate saw a downgrade during the earnings season that's drawing to a close. CN & TH moved up while India, KR & TW declined. US EPS...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Orange CEO: Telecommunications Future, Network Investment and Leadership

The telecom industry has undergone significant transformation with the adoption of mobile technology, big data, and AI, presenting challenges such...

In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

Asian Equities: FIIs Selling Asia in August; Only Taiwan Still Being Bought

FIIs are selling Asian equities in August, particularly India (-2.5bn) & KR (-298m). TW (+1.6bn) is the only market being bought. Most markets are...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 22 Aug 2025): BIG Beautiful Skew Corrects

BIG BEAUTIFUL SKEW Corrects 2.3%. Feels like more of a correction to come. A shares seeing a real push on the speculative side.

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 22nd): Air China, Cosco Shipping Development, Ganfeng Lithium, Fuyao Glass

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Air China, Cosco Shipping Development, Ganfeng Lithium,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asian Equity: As the Result Season Nears Its End, Asian EPS Estimates Suffer a Surprising Downgrade

​Asian EPS estimate saw a downgrade during the earnings season that's drawing to a close. CN & TH moved up while India, KR & TW declined. US EPS...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Orange CEO: Telecommunications Future, Network Investment and Leadership

The telecom industry has undergone significant transformation with the adoption of mobile technology, big data, and AI, presenting challenges such...

In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

Asian Equities: FIIs Selling Asia in August; Only Taiwan Still Being Bought

​FIIs are selling Asian equities in August, particularly India (-2.5bn) & KR (-298m). TW (+1.6bn) is the only market being bought. Most markets are...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Asian EPS estimate saw a downgrade during the earnings season that's drawing to a close. CN & TH moved up while India, KR & TW declined. US EPS...

FIIs are selling Asian equities in August, particularly India (-2.5bn) & KR (-298m). TW (+1.6bn) is the only market being bought. Most markets are...