Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 3 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> in December. Announcement is on 21 November with implementation at the close on 5 December.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have moved higher over the last few months and handily outperformed the forecast deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>There has been aggressive short covering in the forecast adds and there could be more in stocks where short interest is still a high percentage of float.</li>
</ul>


There could be 3 changes for the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) in December. Announcement is on 21 November with implementation at the close on 5 December.
The forecast adds have moved higher over the last few months and handily outperformed the forecast deletes and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX). 
There has been aggressive short covering in the forecast adds and there could be more in stocks where short interest is still a high percentage of float.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: 3 Changes as Adds Go Up, Up & Away

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (2460 HK)</a> (CRB) raised around US$750m in its Hong Kong IPO in October 2024. The lockup on its PE investor is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China and is one of the largest players in its categories.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage (2460 HK) (CRB) raised around US$750m in its Hong Kong IPO in October 2024. The lockup on its PE investor is set to expire soon.
China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China and is one of the largest players in its categories.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


China Resources Beverage IPO Lockup - US$1bn+ PE Release

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 17th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for SMIC, Alibaba, Xiaomi, Tencent, Pop Mart Intl, China Mobile, Meituan, Innovent Biologics, ICBC, Wuxi Biologics.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 17th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for SMIC, Alibaba, Xiaomi, Tencent, Pop Mart Intl, China Mobile, Meituan, Innovent Biologics, ICBC, Wuxi Biologics.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 17th): SMIC, Alibaba, Xiaomi, Tencent, Pop Mart Intl, China Mobile

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and capping flows for HSCEI index rebal event in December 2025.</li>
<li>We expect three ADDs and three DELs for December 2025. We also estimate there to be US$303mn in one-way flows.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and capping flows for HSCEI index rebal event in December 2025.
We expect three ADDs and three DELs for December 2025. We also estimate there to be US$303mn in one-way flows.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Dec25: Final Ranks; Three ADDs/DELs Likely

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 3rd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile, CCB.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 3rd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile, CCB.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 3rd): Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile

China

Haidilao International Holding Ltd. operates Chinese cuisine restaurant brand focusing on hot pot cuisine. The Company provides hot pots, soup bases, dipping sauces, drinks, prepared food, and other products. Haidilao International Holding opens restaurants in Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, Japan, and the United States.

Price Gauge
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Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK)

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: 3 Changes as Adds Go Up, Up & Away

There could be 3 changes for the HSCEI in Dec. Estimated turnover is 4% and round-trip trade is HK$5.15bn. Shorts have been covering in the...

Brian Freitas

China Resources Beverage IPO Lockup - US$1bn+ PE Release

China Resources Beverage (2460 HK) (CRB) raised around US$750m in its Hong Kong IPO in October 2024. The lockup on its PE investor is set to expire...

Sumeet Singh

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 17th): SMIC, Alibaba, Xiaomi, Tencent, Pop Mart Intl, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for SMIC (981 HK), Alibaba (9988 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Dec25: Final Ranks; Three ADDs/DELs Likely

The high-conviction ADD Yum China Holdings (9987 HK) could have around 3.2x ADV to buy (US$86mn). It could outperform peer and expected HSCEI DEL...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 3rd): Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)