Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Under pressure from US, Mexico appears to shut out Chinese BEV makers</li>
<li>Biden administration seems intent on keeping low-priced Chinese BEVs out</li>
<li>Next: monitor new BEV investments in MX, and policies of new prez Sheinbaum</li>
</ul>


Under pressure from US, Mexico appears to shut out Chinese BEV makers
Biden administration seems intent on keeping low-priced Chinese BEVs out
Next: monitor new BEV investments in MX, and policies of new prez Sheinbaum


For Chinese BEV Makers, A Potential 'Backdoor' to the US BEV Market May Be Shut by Mexico

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>BZ US: Age 16-24 unemployment rate decreased month-on-month for two consecutive periods.(+)</li>
<li>ACMR US/LRCX US/8035 JP/7735 JP: Congressmen put forward bill to block purchase of certain China made semiconductor equipment by US subsidy recipients (-/+/+/+)</li>
<li>LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK: New energy vehicles LI continues to lead in the 24th week of 2024 (///////)</li>
</ul>


BZ US: Age 16-24 unemployment rate decreased month-on-month for two consecutive periods.(+)
ACMR US/LRCX US/8035 JP/7735 JP: Congressmen put forward bill to block purchase of certain China made semiconductor equipment by US subsidy recipients (-/+/+/+)
LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK: New energy vehicles LI continues to lead in the 24th week of 2024 (///////)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:BZ US/ACMR US/LRCX US/8035 JP/7735 JP/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK

<ul>
<li>About a year ago, we started collating battery investments in the European Union. At the time we conclude between 1/4 to a 1/3 were originated from China;</li>
<li>A year later, we revisited and found the ratio has increased. With the latest EU tariff on China-made EV's, we expect Chinese capacity buildups to quicken;</li>
<li>A total of 1,742 GWh of projects are supposed to go online in EU countries, representing investment of US$150bn, among which China related GWh and investment is ~25%. </li>
</ul>


About a year ago, we started collating battery investments in the European Union. At the time we conclude between 1/4 to a 1/3 were originated from China;
A year later, we revisited and found the ratio has increased. With the latest EU tariff on China-made EV's, we expect Chinese capacity buildups to quicken;
A total of 1,742 GWh of projects are supposed to go online in EU countries, representing investment of US$150bn, among which China related GWh and investment is ~25%. 


EU's Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part I

<ul>
<li>300750 SZ: US lawmakers called to ban CATL and Gotion batteries to US.(+)</li>
<li>1211 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK:BYD's two models equipped with DM-5 exceeded 80,000 pre-order in two weeks.(//-/-/-)</li>
<li>LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK: /In the 23rd week of 2024, LI's electric vehicle deliveries is leading the way, but most of them have fallen back.(///////)</li>
</ul>


300750 SZ: US lawmakers called to ban CATL and Gotion batteries to US.(+)
1211 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK:BYD's two models equipped with DM-5 exceeded 80,000 pre-order in two weeks.(//-/-/-)
LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK: /In the 23rd week of 2024, LI's electric vehicle deliveries is leading the way, but most of them have fallen back.(///////)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 SZ/1211 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK/LI US

<ul>
<li>NIO US: NIO’s losses expanded in the first quarter of 2024, and C2Q likely will see better numbers.(/)</li>
<li>NIO US:  Nio plans to launch the 3rd brand in December to target low end market.(/)</li>
<li>LI US: LI L6 production capacity ramps up and delivery cycle shortens(+)</li>
</ul>


NIO US: NIO’s losses expanded in the first quarter of 2024, and C2Q likely will see better numbers.(/)
NIO US:  Nio plans to launch the 3rd brand in December to target low end market.(/)
LI US: LI L6 production capacity ramps up and delivery cycle shortens(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/1211 HK/1810 HK

China

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

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NIO (NIO US)

For Chinese BEV Makers, A Potential 'Backdoor' to the US BEV Market May Be Shut by Mexico

Chinese BEV makers appear increasingly eager to gain a foothold in Mexico, probably with the ultimate goal of exporting to the US market.

Tracking Traffic

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BZ US/ACMR US/LRCX US/8035 JP/7735 JP/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK

US youth unemployment rate is decreasing, Congressmen propose bill to block purchase of China-made semiconductor equipment by US subsidy...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

EU's Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part I

Chinese companies accounted for a quarter of battery investments in EU. This ratio has increased materially over the past 12 months and will...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 SZ/1211 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK/LI US

US lawmakers urged to ban CATL and Gotion batteries, BYD's DM-5 models exceed 80,000 pre-orders, LI leads in EV deliveries but falls back in 2024.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/1211 HK/1810 HK

NIO US reports increased losses in Q1 2024 but expects improvement in Q2; plans to launch 3rd brand for low-end market. LI sees production...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

For Chinese BEV Makers, A Potential 'Backdoor' to the US BEV Market May Be Shut by Mexico

Chinese BEV makers appear increasingly eager to gain a foothold in Mexico, probably with the ultimate goal of exporting to the US market.

Tracking Traffic

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BZ US/ACMR US/LRCX US/8035 JP/7735 JP/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK

​US youth unemployment rate is decreasing, Congressmen propose bill to block purchase of China-made semiconductor equipment by US subsidy...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

EU's Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part I

Chinese companies accounted for a quarter of battery investments in EU. This ratio has increased materially over the past 12 months and will...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 SZ/1211 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK/LI US

​US lawmakers urged to ban CATL and Gotion batteries, BYD's DM-5 models exceed 80,000 pre-orders, LI leads in EV deliveries but falls back in 2024.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/1211 HK/1810 HK

​NIO US reports increased losses in Q1 2024 but expects improvement in Q2; plans to launch 3rd brand for low-end market. LI sees production...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

US youth unemployment rate is decreasing, Congressmen propose bill to block purchase of China-made semiconductor equipment by US subsidy...

US lawmakers urged to ban CATL and Gotion batteries, BYD's DM-5 models exceed 80,000 pre-orders, LI leads in EV deliveries but falls back in 2024.

NIO US reports increased losses in Q1 2024 but expects improvement in Q2; plans to launch 3rd brand for low-end market. LI sees production...