External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. We are of the view that NIO’s 2Q24 earnings were mixed as the QoQ rise in gross profit was offset by the increases in R&amp;D and SG&amp;A expenses.</li><li>We project FY25/26 sales volume to surge 54%/23% YoY to 324,000/400,000 units, respectively, contributed by the Onvo and Firefly brands.</li><li>However, we believe such top-line growth with GPM expansion is still far away from covering R&amp;D and SG&amp;A expenses, especially with extra expenses for the new brands, such as sales channels and battery-swap stations.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. We are of the view that NIO’s 2Q24 earnings were mixed as the QoQ rise in gross profit was offset by the increases in R&amp;D and SG&amp;A expenses.We project FY25/26 sales volume to surge 54%/23% YoY to 324,000/400,000 units, respectively, contributed by the Onvo and Firefly brands.However, we believe such top-line growth with GPM expansion is still far away from covering R&amp;D and SG&amp;A expenses, especially with extra expenses for the new brands, such as sales channels and battery-swap stations.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NIO Inc. (NIO US) - New Brands Unlikely to Help NIO Break Even

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. Both NIO’s ASP and vehicle GPM missed in 1Q24, while R&amp;D expenses and GPM for other income beat.</li><li>Although its planned launch time for its third brand is earlier than we had expected, we believe management’s GPM guidance and assumptions for breakeven could be too optimistic.</li><li>NIO’s average selling price (ASP) in 1Q24 fell by RMB12,000 QoQ, or 2% lower than our prior projection.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. Both NIO’s ASP and vehicle GPM missed in 1Q24, while R&amp;D expenses and GPM for other income beat.Although its planned launch time for its third brand is earlier than we had expected, we believe management’s GPM guidance and assumptions for breakeven could be too optimistic.NIO’s average selling price (ASP) in 1Q24 fell by RMB12,000 QoQ, or 2% lower than our prior projection.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NIO Inc. (NIO US) - Still No Sign of Turning Profitable

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. NIO’s all-time high R&amp;D and SG&amp;A expenses in 4Q23 once again confirm that it is probably too difficult for the company to control costs.</li><li>The cash burn from CYVN’s capital injection may last shorter than we expected before. We see no sign or persuasive strategies to turn profitable from the earnings call.</li><li>We believe management’s guidance for FY24E GPM could be too optimistic.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. NIO’s all-time high R&amp;D and SG&amp;A expenses in 4Q23 once again confirm that it is probably too difficult for the company to control costs.The cash burn from CYVN’s capital injection may last shorter than we expected before. We see no sign or persuasive strategies to turn profitable from the earnings call.We believe management’s guidance for FY24E GPM could be too optimistic.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NIO Inc. (NIO US) - Cash Burn Speeds up with Capital Injection

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. We project NIO’s 4Q23 net loss to narrow QoQ to RMB4.4bn with a GPM improvement.</li><li>However, such GPM lift could still result in a net loss of RMB14.6bn in FY24E on our estimates.</li><li>Although the capital injection from CYVN could probably support NIO’s cash burn for two years, we think NIO still needs to lay out persuasive strategies to turn profitable to increase investors’ confidence, especially for its second brand launch in 2H24, as the NIO brand lacks new models in 1H24.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. We project NIO’s 4Q23 net loss to narrow QoQ to RMB4.4bn with a GPM improvement.However, such GPM lift could still result in a net loss of RMB14.6bn in FY24E on our estimates.Although the capital injection from CYVN could probably support NIO’s cash burn for two years, we think NIO still needs to lay out persuasive strategies to turn profitable to increase investors’ confidence, especially for its second brand launch in 2H24, as the NIO brand lacks new models in 1H24.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NIO (NIO US) - Need Persuasive Strategies to Turn Profitable

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. Despite NIO’s 3Q23 earnings beat on R&amp;D and SG&amp;A, its 4Q23 sales guidance could imply a tough FY24, in our view.</li><li>We see little chance for NIO to achieve double-digit GPM in FY24E given the lingering drag from battery swap.</li><li>We believe the limited GPM lift from the completion of the NT2.0 shift and acquiring plants from JAC (600418 CH, NR) could not offset its heavy SG&amp;A and R&amp;D, even as it finally plans to cut non-core projects. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. Despite NIO’s 3Q23 earnings beat on R&amp;D and SG&amp;A, its 4Q23 sales guidance could imply a tough FY24, in our view.We see little chance for NIO to achieve double-digit GPM in FY24E given the lingering drag from battery swap.We believe the limited GPM lift from the completion of the NT2.0 shift and acquiring plants from JAC (600418 CH, NR) could not offset its heavy SG&amp;A and R&amp;D, even as it finally plans to cut non-core projects. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – Back to Square One?

China

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

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NIO (NIO US)

NIO Inc. (NIO US) - New Brands Unlikely to Help NIO Break Even

Maintain HOLD. We are of the view that NIO’s 2Q24 earnings were mixed as the QoQ rise in gross profit was offset by the increases in R&D and SG&A...

CMB International

NIO Inc. (NIO US) - Still No Sign of Turning Profitable

Although its planned launch time for its third brand is earlier than we had expected, we believe management’s GPM guidance and assumptions for...

CMB International

NIO Inc. (NIO US) - Cash Burn Speeds up with Capital Injection

Maintain HOLD. NIO’s all-time high R&D and SG&A expenses in 4Q23 once again confirm that it is probably too difficult for the company to control...

CMB International

NIO (NIO US) - Need Persuasive Strategies to Turn Profitable

Maintain HOLD. We project NIO’s 4Q23 net loss to narrow QoQ to RMB4.4bn with a GPM improvement. However, such GPM lift could still result in a net...

CMB International

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – Back to Square One?

Maintain HOLD. Despite NIO’s 3Q23 earnings beat on R&D and SG&A, its 4Q23 sales guidance could imply a tough FY24, in our view.

CMB International

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