Healthcare Analyst

Wilfred Yuen

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>1H26 represents another strong set of results (robust topline growth + operating leverage). Innovent unveiled a new 2030 revenue target RMB35-40bn, implying 16-20% 4-year CAGR (using our 2026E revenue estimates).</li>
<li>2H26/Early 2027 catalysts: 1) IBI363: pivotal data (melanoma) and PoC data (1L NSCLC, 1L GC) in ESMO; 2) IBI354: ovarian cancer data and NDA filing; 3) mazdutide: Glory-3 readout...</li>
<li>1H26 results call focus on: 1) growth drivers for 2030 revenue target, 2) 2H26 outlook, 3) key data readouts for 2H26/early 2027. See inside for P&amp;L analysis and pipeline updates.</li>
</ul>


1H26 represents another strong set of results (robust topline growth + operating leverage). Innovent unveiled a new 2030 revenue target RMB35-40bn, implying 16-20% 4-year CAGR (using our 2026E revenue estimates).
2H26/Early 2027 catalysts: 1) IBI363: pivotal data (melanoma) and PoC data (1L NSCLC, 1L GC) in ESMO; 2) IBI354: ovarian cancer data and NDA filing; 3) mazdutide: Glory-3 readout...
1H26 results call focus on: 1) growth drivers for 2030 revenue target, 2) 2H26 outlook, 3) key data readouts for 2H26/early 2027. See inside for P&amp;L analysis and pipeline updates.


Innovent (1801.HK): 1H26 Another Strong Set of Results; Unveiled New 2030 Revenue Target RMB35-40bn

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) 1H26 revenue grew over 45% YoY, as oncology segment witnessed ramp up of newly NRDL-listed products and general biomedicine portfolio expanded.</li>
<li>The global innovation pipeline is progressing smoothly. Three high-potential assets have entered global Phase 3 clinical trials, with a combined potential addressable market exceeding US$ 60B.</li>
<li>Ongoing product launches and robust pipeline will support the growth momentum of the company. Innovent aims to achieve RMB 20B product revenue in 2027 (~ RMB 35-40B by 2030).</li>
</ul>


Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) 1H26 revenue grew over 45% YoY, as oncology segment witnessed ramp up of newly NRDL-listed products and general biomedicine portfolio expanded.
The global innovation pipeline is progressing smoothly. Three high-potential assets have entered global Phase 3 clinical trials, with a combined potential addressable market exceeding US$ 60B.
Ongoing product launches and robust pipeline will support the growth momentum of the company. Innovent aims to achieve RMB 20B product revenue in 2027 (~ RMB 35-40B by 2030).


Innovent Biologics (1801 HK): Unfurling The Growth Momentum, Prospective Pipeline To Take It Forward

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Hengrui outlicenses once-weekly oral obesity drug candidate HRS-1596, to Novo for total deal value of $2.6B. EC revoked the EU marketing authorization for Hansoh’s lung cancer drug aumolertinib.</li>
<li>Roche halts development of obesity drug candidate emugrobart and returns all rights to Chugai. Daiichi Sankyo has withdrawn the BLA seeking accelerated approval in the U.S. for I-DXd for ES-SCLC.</li>
<li>Otsuka initiates NDA submission to the FDA for zipalertinib for the treatment of NSCLC. Sun Pharma inlicenses hypercholesterolaemia and dyslipidaemia drug lerodalcibep from LIB Therapeutics.</li>
</ul>


Hengrui outlicenses once-weekly oral obesity drug candidate HRS-1596, to Novo for total deal value of $2.6B. EC revoked the EU marketing authorization for Hansoh’s lung cancer drug aumolertinib.
Roche halts development of obesity drug candidate emugrobart and returns all rights to Chugai. Daiichi Sankyo has withdrawn the BLA seeking accelerated approval in the U.S. for I-DXd for ES-SCLC.
Otsuka initiates NDA submission to the FDA for zipalertinib for the treatment of NSCLC. Sun Pharma inlicenses hypercholesterolaemia and dyslipidaemia drug lerodalcibep from LIB Therapeutics.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Oct 4) – Hengrui, Hansoh, Chugai Pharma, Daiichi Sankyo, Otsuka, Sun Pharma

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>We’ve raised our forecast based on 25Q4 product revenue.In next two years, revenue YoY growth needs to be maintained above 30% to achieve the goal of RMB20bn revenue by 2027.</li>
<li>The collaboration with Lilly does indeed bring decent cash flow to Innovent in the short term. However, unlike the purely optimistic view, our feelings about it are somewhat "complicated".</li>
<li>The essence is that Innovent's role is Lilly's CRO.So, the timeline to establish its own overseas commercialization system will be postponed, thus leading to reduced imagination of future valuation expansion.</li>
</ul>


We’ve raised our forecast based on 25Q4 product revenue.In next two years, revenue YoY growth needs to be maintained above 30% to achieve the goal of RMB20bn revenue by 2027.
The collaboration with Lilly does indeed bring decent cash flow to Innovent in the short term. However, unlike the purely optimistic view, our feelings about it are somewhat "complicated".
The essence is that Innovent's role is Lilly's CRO.So, the timeline to establish its own overseas commercialization system will be postponed, thus leading to reduced imagination of future valuation expansion.


2026 High Conviction Update: Innovent (1801.HK) - The Cooperation with Lilly and the Concerns Behind

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Following two periods of profitability, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> at the close on 5 December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a> is also an add to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> in December, so this inclusion increases the flow and impact.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.3% and the estimated round-trip trade is HK$9.2bn (US$1.2bn). Big capping outflows for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
</ul>


Following two periods of profitability, Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) will be added to the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) at the close on 5 December.

Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) is also an add to the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) in December, so this inclusion increases the flow and impact.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.3% and the estimated round-trip trade is HK$9.2bn (US$1.2bn). Big capping outflows for Alibaba (9988 HK) at the December rebalance.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Innovent Biologics Turns a Profit, Gets Added

China

Innovent Biologics is a biopharmaceutical company that discovers, develops, manufactures, and commercializes innovative medicines. The company focuses on therapeutic areas including oncology, autoimmune, cardiovascular and metabolic, and ophthalmology diseases, with 18 products currently on the market. Innovent Biologics was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Suzhou, Jiangsu, China.

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Innovent Biologics (1801 HK)

Innovent (1801.HK): 1H26 Another Strong Set of Results; Unveiled New 2030 Revenue Target RMB35-40bn

Innovent delievered another strong set of results for 1H26. Mgmt unveiled a new revenue target of RMB35-40bn by 2030. See inside for results call...

Wilfred Yuen