Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We provide an update of the potential KOSPI200 rebalance candidates in June 2024. </li>
<li>The bottom 5% market caps in KOSPI200 could be excluded from the KOSPI200 rebalance in June 2024. These 10 stocks are down on average 12.6% YTD. </li>
<li>We identified seven potential inclusion candidates. Among them, those that have low PBR multiples including HHI and Dongwon Industries could continue to outperform the market leading up to rebalance announcement. </li>
</ul>


We provide an update of the potential KOSPI200 rebalance candidates in June 2024. 
The bottom 5% market caps in KOSPI200 could be excluded from the KOSPI200 rebalance in June 2024. These 10 stocks are down on average 12.6% YTD. 
We identified seven potential inclusion candidates. Among them, those that have low PBR multiples including HHI and Dongwon Industries could continue to outperform the market leading up to rebalance announcement. 


An Update of the Potential KOSPI200 Rebalance Candidates in June 2024

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyosung-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20712:1" rel="noopener">Hyosung Corporation (004800 KS)</a> has announced that it is spinning off part of its business holdings to Hyosung New Holding Corporation in a 0.818:0.182 ratio.</li>
<li>The stock will remain suspended from late June to late July. We expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyosung-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20712:1" rel="noopener">Hyosung Corporation (004800 KS)</a> to maintain its index membership while the New Entity will not be added.</li>
<li>The dynamics between listed ETFs and non-listed passive trackers differ and we take a look at the potential index flows.</li>
</ul>



Hyosung Corporation (004800 KS) has announced that it is spinning off part of its business holdings to Hyosung New Holding Corporation in a 0.818:0.182 ratio.
The stock will remain suspended from late June to late July. We expect Hyosung Corporation (004800 KS) to maintain its index membership while the New Entity will not be added.
The dynamics between listed ETFs and non-listed passive trackers differ and we take a look at the potential index flows.


Hyosung Corp (004800 KS): Spin-Off & KOSPI200 Index Implications

<ul>
<li>We discuss the potential KOSPI200 rebalance candidates in June 2024. In the past several years, there have been a lot of alpha generating stocks arising from the KOSPI200 rebalances.</li>
<li>The following companies are likely candidates which could be included in KOSPI200 rebalance in June 2024, including Posco DX, Doosan Robotics, Hyosung Heavy Industries Corp, and DS Dansuk. </li>
<li>For the potential exclusion candidates, we included 10 stocks that are in the bottom 5% market caps in KOSPI200.</li>
</ul>


We discuss the potential KOSPI200 rebalance candidates in June 2024. In the past several years, there have been a lot of alpha generating stocks arising from the KOSPI200 rebalances.
The following companies are likely candidates which could be included in KOSPI200 rebalance in June 2024, including Posco DX, Doosan Robotics, Hyosung Heavy Industries Corp, and DS Dansuk. 
For the potential exclusion candidates, we included 10 stocks that are in the bottom 5% market caps in KOSPI200.


An Early Look at the Potential KOSPI200 Rebalance Candidates in June 2024

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the recent buying and selling by the Korea National Pension Service (NPS) of Korean stocks.</li>
<li>Of the 176 Korean stocks in which NPS reported changes in ownerships in 2Q 2022, NPS increased its stakes in 115 companies and reduced stakes in 61 companies.</li>
<li>NPS mostly increased stakes in aerospace, defense, construction equipment, and energy sectors while reducing stakes in telecom and tourism related stocks.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss the recent buying and selling by the Korea National Pension Service (NPS) of Korean stocks.
Of the 176 Korean stocks in which NPS reported changes in ownerships in 2Q 2022, NPS increased its stakes in 115 companies and reduced stakes in 61 companies.
NPS mostly increased stakes in aerospace, defense, construction equipment, and energy sectors while reducing stakes in telecom and tourism related stocks.


NPS Sells SK Bioscience, Naver, & LG Electronics and Buys Kakao Bank, Lotte Corp, & Samyang Foods

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hyosung TNC announced 50,000 won in DPS in 2021,<strong> up 10x</strong> from 2020. This is likely to reverse the recent declining share price trend in the  past several months. </li>
<li>
<strong>Hyosung TNC's current dividend yield is 10.5%, representing one of the highest dividend yields in Korea.</strong> Dividend payout in 2021 was 28%.</li>
<li>We believe Hyosung TNC is well positioned to outperform KOSPI in 2022.</li>
</ul>


Hyosung TNC announced 50,000 won in DPS in 2021, up 10x from 2020. This is likely to reverse the recent declining share price trend in the  past several months. 

Hyosung TNC's current dividend yield is 10.5%, representing one of the highest dividend yields in Korea. Dividend payout in 2021 was 28%.
We believe Hyosung TNC is well positioned to outperform KOSPI in 2022.


Hyosung TNC: 10x Increase in Dividends Per Share

South Korea

Hyosung Heavy Industries Corporation manufactures electrical power equipment. The Company produces and sells transformers, generators, and other related products. Hyosung Heavy Industries markets its products worldwide.

Hyosung Heavy Industries Corp (298040 KS)

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Hyosung Heavy Industries Corp (298040 KS)

An Update of the Potential KOSPI200 Rebalance Candidates in June 2024

We provide an update of the potential KOSPI200 rebalance candidates in June 2024. We identified seven potential inclusion candidates and 10...

Douglas Kim

Hyosung Corp (004800 KS): Spin-Off & KOSPI200 Index Implications

Hyosung Corp is spinning-off part of its businesses to a new entity. The surviving entity will maintain its KS200 membership while the new entity...

Brian Freitas

An Early Look at the Potential KOSPI200 Rebalance Candidates in June 2024

We discuss the potential KOSPI200 rebalance candidates in June 2024. In the past several years, there have been a lot of alpha generating stocks...

Douglas Kim

NPS Sells SK Bioscience, Naver, & LG Electronics and Buys Kakao Bank, Lotte Corp, & Samyang Foods

NPS moves the Korean stock market more than any other investor. In this insight, we discuss the recent buying and selling by the Korea National...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

An Update of the Potential KOSPI200 Rebalance Candidates in June 2024

We provide an update of the potential KOSPI200 rebalance candidates in June 2024. We identified seven potential inclusion candidates and 10...

Douglas Kim

Hyosung Corp (004800 KS): Spin-Off & KOSPI200 Index Implications

Hyosung Corp is spinning-off part of its businesses to a new entity. The surviving entity will maintain its KS200 membership while the new entity...

Brian Freitas

An Early Look at the Potential KOSPI200 Rebalance Candidates in June 2024

We discuss the potential KOSPI200 rebalance candidates in June 2024. In the past several years, there have been a lot of alpha generating stocks...

Douglas Kim

NPS Sells SK Bioscience, Naver, & LG Electronics and Buys Kakao Bank, Lotte Corp, & Samyang Foods

NPS moves the Korean stock market more than any other investor. In this insight, we discuss the recent buying and selling by the Korea National...

Douglas Kim

Hyosung TNC: 10x Increase in Dividends Per Share

Hyosung TNC announced 50,000 won in DPS in 2021, up 10x from 2020, representing dividend yield of 10.5%. We believe Hyosung TNC is well positioned...

Douglas Kim