Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

EcoPro Materials / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Ecopro Materials is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSPI in November 2023. The IPO price range is from 36,200 won to 46,000 won. </li>
<li>The IPO offering amount is from 524 billion won to 666 billion won. The expected IPO market cap is from 2.7 trillion won to 3.4 trillion won.</li>
<li>The bankers used four companies including CNGR, Posco Future M (003670 KS), L&amp;F, and Cosmo AM&amp;T (005070 KS) as comps for Ecopro Materials.</li>
</ul>


Ecopro Materials is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSPI in November 2023. The IPO price range is from 36,200 won to 46,000 won. 
The IPO offering amount is from 524 billion won to 666 billion won. The expected IPO market cap is from 2.7 trillion won to 3.4 trillion won.
The bankers used four companies including CNGR, Posco Future M (003670 KS), L&amp;F, and Cosmo AM&amp;T (005070 KS) as comps for Ecopro Materials.


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>LGES provided a lower sales guidance in 3Q 2023 due to slower sales in Europe. LGES expects its sales in 3Q 2023 to decline in a QoQ basis.</li>
<li>The share prices of the top 12 rechargeable battery names in Korea are down on average 13.9% in the past two trading days.</li>
<li>We believe that the overall sentiment on the rechargeable battery sector in Korea has started to turn sour which could have a further negative impact on companies such as LGES. </li>
</ul>


LGES provided a lower sales guidance in 3Q 2023 due to slower sales in Europe. LGES expects its sales in 3Q 2023 to decline in a QoQ basis.
The share prices of the top 12 rechargeable battery names in Korea are down on average 13.9% in the past two trading days.
We believe that the overall sentiment on the rechargeable battery sector in Korea has started to turn sour which could have a further negative impact on companies such as LGES. 


LGES: Slowing Sales in Europe & A Turning Point in Momentum for Korean Rechargeable Battery Sector?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mirae-asset-tiger-top-10-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36042:1" rel="noopener">Mirae Asset Tiger Top 10 ETF (292150 KS)</a> tracks the FnGuide Top 10 Index and has an AUM of over US$1bn.</li>
<li>We currently forecast one potential change at the next rebalance in December. There is another set of changes that could also take place.</li>
<li>There has been a big increase in short interest on a couple of stocks while the rise has been more gradual on the other stocks.</li>
</ul>


The Mirae Asset Tiger Top 10 ETF (292150 KS) tracks the FnGuide Top 10 Index and has an AUM of over US$1bn.
We currently forecast one potential change at the next rebalance in December. There is another set of changes that could also take place.
There has been a big increase in short interest on a couple of stocks while the rise has been more gradual on the other stocks.


FnGuide Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Good Historical Performance; One Potential Change in December

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>KB Asset Management has announced the release of an inverse ETF, containing the top 10 core stocks in the secondary battery sector.</li>
<li>Given the substantial fluctuations in SSF trading volume in Korea, the flow increase of this ETF might temporarily lead to an unusually high level of backwardation.</li>
<li>Also, we may observe a phenomenon known as 'wag-the-dog' as the flow of this inverse ETF could act as a triggering factor for a temporary spark.</li>
</ul>


KB Asset Management has announced the release of an inverse ETF, containing the top 10 core stocks in the secondary battery sector.
Given the substantial fluctuations in SSF trading volume in Korea, the flow increase of this ETF might temporarily lead to an unusually high level of backwardation.
Also, we may observe a phenomenon known as 'wag-the-dog' as the flow of this inverse ETF could act as a triggering factor for a temporary spark.


Korea's First Sector Inverse ETF: Discussing Flow Trading Impacts

<ul>
<li>HLB's process of selecting a lead underwriter for the KOSPI listing has been witnessed in Yeouido.</li>
<li>The price impact becomes most evident on the board approval date as the point at which this impact is most pronounced is substantially accelerated due to the market's learning effect.</li>
<li>There is a strong likelihood that HLB will have its board decision by mid-September, necessitating our preparation for a position setup targeting this timing.</li>
</ul>


HLB's process of selecting a lead underwriter for the KOSPI listing has been witnessed in Yeouido.
The price impact becomes most evident on the board approval date as the point at which this impact is most pronounced is substantially accelerated due to the market's learning effect.
There is a strong likelihood that HLB will have its board decision by mid-September, necessitating our preparation for a position setup targeting this timing.


Positioning for the Timing of HLB, the Latest Target in the KOSDAQ Exodus

South Korea

Ecopro BM Co.,Ltd develops and manufactures advanced materials. The Company produces and sells high-nickel cathode materials and other products. Ecopro BM markets its products throughout Korea.

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Ecopro BM (247540 KS)

Ecopro Materials IPO Preview

Ecopro Materials is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSPI in November 2023. The IPO price range is from 36,200 won to 46,000 won.

Douglas Kim

LGES: Slowing Sales in Europe & A Turning Point in Momentum for Korean Rechargeable Battery Sector?

The major rechargeable battery related stocks in Korea including LG Energy Solutions, Ecopro, Ecopro BM, and POSCO DX continue to experience share...

Douglas Kim

FnGuide Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Good Historical Performance; One Potential Change in December

A long add/short delete trade has performed well historically. Currently, there is one add/delete pair in Dec; that could increase to two. Short...

Brian Freitas

Korea's First Sector Inverse ETF: Discussing Flow Trading Impacts

This post touches on the release of Korea's first sector inverse ETF containing the top 10 core secondary battery stocks and the resulting flow...

Sanghyun Park

Positioning for the Timing of HLB, the Latest Target in the KOSDAQ Exodus

This post explores why top KOSDAQ companies are hurrying to shift to KOSPI in the second half of this year and discusses the best timing for...

Sanghyun Park

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