Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<p>In this weeks recap, we look at:</p><ul>
<li>the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/santos-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:711:1" rel="noopener">Santos Ltd (STO AU)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oil-search-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:773:1" rel="noopener">Oil Search Ltd (OSH AU)</a> merger and the impact on the S&amp;P/ASX 100 and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> </li>
<li>the spread on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a> deal and potential index flows</li>
<li>the listing of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-heavy-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33808:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Heavy Industries (329180 KS)</a> and the potential Fast Entry into the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> </li>
<li>the potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance</li>
<li>the potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance</li>
<li>the potential changes to the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the December and March rebalances</li>
</ul><p>There are no major index events in the coming week - there were enough in the last week!</p><p>There were substantial inflows to onshore China ETFs in the last week, while there was finally an outflow (albeit a small one) from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kraneshares-csi-china-internet-fund" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28208:1" rel="noopener">KraneShares CSI China Internet Fund (KWEB US)</a>. </p>

In this weeks recap, we look at:
the Santos Ltd (STO AU) / Oil Search Ltd (OSH AU) merger and the impact on the S&amp;P/ASX 100 and S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) 
the spread on the Keppel Corp (KEP SP) / Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) deal and potential index flows
the listing of Hyundai Heavy Industries (329180 KS) and the potential Fast Entry into the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) 
the potential changes to the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) at the December rebalance
the potential changes to the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) at the December rebalance
the potential changes to the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the December and March rebalances
There are no major index events in the coming week - there were enough in the last week!There were substantial inflows to onshore China ETFs in the last week, while there was finally an outflow (albeit a small one) from KraneShares CSI China Internet Fund (KWEB US). 

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STO/OSH, KEP/SPH, HHI, SET50, HSTECH, HSCI

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/filinvest-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33764:1" rel="noopener">Filinvest Reit (FILRT PM)</a> (FREIT), a subsidiary of Filinvest, aims to raise up to US$240m in its Philippines listing. The REIT is sponsored by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/filinvest-land-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23026:1" rel="noopener">Filinvest Land (FLI PM)</a>. </p></div><div><p>FREIT’s initial property portfolio consists of 16 office towers located in Northgate Cyberzone, Alabang, and one office tower in Cebu City with an aggregate office space GLA of 299,158 sqm and 2,204 sqm of retail GLA. The portfolio will have a weighted average lease expiry (WALE) of 3.8 years with an occupancy of 89.7% as of Mar 2021. The Properties were valued at PHP48,547.4m (US$965m).</p></div><div><p>Given the recent restructuring of the REITs assets, its past financials aren’t of much use. However, looking at the operational data of its existing portfolio, FREIT doesn’t appear to have had a very good FY20 and even FY21 doesn’t appear to be shaping up well.</p></div><div>
<p>We looked at the background of the REIT in our earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/filinvest-reit-ipo-almost-like-a-single-asset-reit-covid-hasn-t-been-kind" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Filinvest REIT IPO - Almost like a single asset REIT, COVID hasn’t been kind</a>.</p>
<p>In this note, we will comment on valuation and run the deal through our ECM framework.</p>
<p><br><br></p>
</div>

Filinvest Reit (FILRT PM) (FREIT), a subsidiary of Filinvest, aims to raise up to US$240m in its Philippines listing. The REIT is sponsored by Filinvest Land (FLI PM). FREIT’s initial property portfolio consists of 16 office towers located in Northgate Cyberzone, Alabang, and one office tower in Cebu City with an aggregate office space GLA of 299,158 sqm and 2,204 sqm of retail GLA. The portfolio will have a weighted average lease expiry (WALE) of 3.8 years with an occupancy of 89.7% as of Mar 2021. The Properties were valued at PHP48,547.4m (US$965m).Given the recent restructuring of the REITs assets, its past financials aren’t of much use. However, looking at the operational data of its existing portfolio, FREIT doesn’t appear to have had a very good FY20 and even FY21 doesn’t appear to be shaping up well.
We looked at the background of the REIT in our earlier note, Filinvest REIT IPO - Almost like a single asset REIT, COVID hasn’t been kind.
In this note, we will comment on valuation and run the deal through our ECM framework.
  


Filinvest REIT IPO - Hard to Get Excited, Despite the Yield

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/filinvest-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33764:1" rel="noopener">Filinvest Reit (FILRT PM)</a> (FREIT), a subsidiary of Filinvest, aims to raise up to US$240m in its Philippines listing. The REIT is sponsored by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/filinvest-land-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23026:1" rel="noopener">Filinvest Land (FLI PM)</a>. </p><p>FREIT’s initial property portfolio consists of 16 office towers located in Northgate Cyberzone, Alabang, and one office tower in Cebu City with an aggregate office space GLA of 299,158 sqm and 2,204 sqm of retail GLA. The portfolio will have a weighted average lease expiry (WALE) of 3.8 years with an occupancy of 89.7% as of Mar 2021. The Properties were valued at PHP48,547.4m (US$965m).</p><p>Given the recent restructuring of the REITs assets, its past financials aren’t of much use. However, looking at the operational data of its existing portfolio, FREIT doesn’t appear to have had a very good FY20 and even FY21 doesn’t appear to be shaping up well.</p><p>Having said that, the REIT does have a strong sponsor with a rich pipeline of ROFR assets.</p>

Filinvest Reit (FILRT PM) (FREIT), a subsidiary of Filinvest, aims to raise up to US$240m in its Philippines listing. The REIT is sponsored by Filinvest Land (FLI PM). FREIT’s initial property portfolio consists of 16 office towers located in Northgate Cyberzone, Alabang, and one office tower in Cebu City with an aggregate office space GLA of 299,158 sqm and 2,204 sqm of retail GLA. The portfolio will have a weighted average lease expiry (WALE) of 3.8 years with an occupancy of 89.7% as of Mar 2021. The Properties were valued at PHP48,547.4m (US$965m).Given the recent restructuring of the REITs assets, its past financials aren’t of much use. However, looking at the operational data of its existing portfolio, FREIT doesn’t appear to have had a very good FY20 and even FY21 doesn’t appear to be shaping up well.Having said that, the REIT does have a strong sponsor with a rich pipeline of ROFR assets.

Filinvest REIT IPO - Almost like a Single Asset REIT, COVID Hasn't Been Kind

Power Grid Corporation of India / Equity Capital Markets

Power Grid Corporation of India (PWGR IN)

<p>POWERGRID Infrastructure Investment Trust (PGIT) aims to raise around US$1bn in its India IPO. </p><p>PGIT is an investment trust setup to own transmission assets of its sponsor Power Grid Corporation of India Limited (PGCIL). PGCIL is a central public sector enterprise which has been listed since 2007. </p><p>PGIT will initially own five assets with a total network of 11 power transmission lines of approximately 3,698.59 ckm and three substations having 6,630 Megavolt amperes (MVA) of aggregate transformation capacity, as of Sep 2020, across five states in India. The total valuation of the assets was INR105bn (US$1.4bn) as of Sep 2020. </p><p>These assets were awarded to PGCIL on a  build-own-operate-maintain (BOOM) basis. Therefore, the assets are operated under a long 35 years service agreement with largely pre-fixed revenue based on availability. In that sense, they will provide stable returns. </p><p>However, its revenue terms are structured in such a way that its yield will continue to decline, while its sponsor’s government ownership will mean that it's unlikely to diversify away from transmission assets with declining yield.</p>

POWERGRID Infrastructure Investment Trust (PGIT) aims to raise around US$1bn in its India IPO. PGIT is an investment trust setup to own transmission assets of its sponsor Power Grid Corporation of India Limited (PGCIL). PGCIL is a central public sector enterprise which has been listed since 2007. PGIT will initially own five assets with a total network of 11 power transmission lines of approximately 3,698.59 ckm and three substations having 6,630 Megavolt amperes (MVA) of aggregate transformation capacity, as of Sep 2020, across five states in India. The total valuation of the assets was INR105bn (US$1.4bn) as of Sep 2020. These assets were awarded to PGCIL on a  build-own-operate-maintain (BOOM) basis. Therefore, the assets are operated under a long 35 years service agreement with largely pre-fixed revenue based on availability. In that sense, they will provide stable returns. However, its revenue terms are structured in such a way that its yield will continue to decline, while its sponsor’s government ownership will mean that it's unlikely to diversify away from transmission assets with declining yield.

POWERGRID InvIT Pre-IPO - Always Going to Be Tricky with a Declining Yield

<p>DDMP REIT (DDMPR), a subsidiary of DoubleDragon Properties Corp (DDP), aims to raise up to US$275m in its Philippines listing.</p><div><p>DDMPR will be the second REIT listing in the Philippines. DDMPR’s investment strategy is to invest in income-generating real estate located in either Metro Manila or key provinces in the Philippines. It aims to acquire primarily Grade A commercial properties, but may acquire other related real estate as well.</p></div><div><p>It will have an initial portfolio of three commercial buildings, with six office towers, located in DD Meridian Park. It also owns the land for two other under construction assets, which have been leased to DDP. Together the assets will have a gross leasable area (GLA) of 172,252sqm. As of Sep 2020, the portfolio had an occupancy of 99.5% and weighted average lease expiry for the office leases of 4.2years.</p></div><div><p>Its assets are relatively new, with all having been completed over 2017-19. The assets have long term leases and step-up rental escalation, which should provide rental stability. However, the assets aren’t located in prime CBD and the particular area appears to have a fair amount of incoming office supply over the next few years. </p></div><div>
<p>We looked at the background of the REIT in our earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ddpm-reit-pre-ipo-brand-new-assets-but-not-with-the-best-of-outlooks" target="_blank" rel="noopener">DDMP REIT Pre-IPO - Brand new assets but not with the best of outlooks</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ddmp-reit-pre-ipo-peer-review" target="_blank" rel="noopener">DDMP REIT Pre-IPO - Peer Review.</a></p>
<p>In this note, we will comment on valuation and run the deal through our ECM framework.</p>
</div>

DDMP REIT (DDMPR), a subsidiary of DoubleDragon Properties Corp (DDP), aims to raise up to US$275m in its Philippines listing.DDMPR will be the second REIT listing in the Philippines. DDMPR’s investment strategy is to invest in income-generating real estate located in either Metro Manila or key provinces in the Philippines. It aims to acquire primarily Grade A commercial properties, but may acquire other related real estate as well.It will have an initial portfolio of three commercial buildings, with six office towers, located in DD Meridian Park. It also owns the land for two other under construction assets, which have been leased to DDP. Together the assets will have a gross leasable area (GLA) of 172,252sqm. As of Sep 2020, the portfolio had an occupancy of 99.5% and weighted average lease expiry for the office leases of 4.2years.Its assets are relatively new, with all having been completed over 2017-19. The assets have long term leases and step-up rental escalation, which should provide rental stability. However, the assets aren’t located in prime CBD and the particular area appears to have a fair amount of incoming office supply over the next few years. 
We looked at the background of the REIT in our earlier note, DDMP REIT Pre-IPO - Brand new assets but not with the best of outlooks and DDMP REIT Pre-IPO - Peer Review.
In this note, we will comment on valuation and run the deal through our ECM framework.


DDMP REIT IPO - Would Go in Towards the Low-End

India

Embassy Office Parks REIT is India's first publicly listed Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) and one of Asia's largest office REITs by area. It owns and operates a portfolio of high-quality office parks and city-center office buildings, focusing on leasing Grade A commercial real estate in major Indian tech hubs like Bengaluru, Mumbai, Pune, and the National Capital Region (NCR). The company was established on March 30, 2017, and its headquarters are in Bengaluru, Karnataka, India.

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Embassy Office Parks REIT (EMBASSY IN)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STO/OSH, KEP/SPH, HHI, SET50, HSTECH, HSCI

This recap highlights Insights covering the index rebalance space in Asia as well as announcements that could result in index changes. We also look...

Brian Freitas

Filinvest REIT IPO - Hard to Get Excited, Despite the Yield

Filinvest Reit (FILRT PM) (FREIT), a subsidiary of Filinvest, aims to raise up to US$240m in its Philippines listing. The REIT is sponsored...

Sumeet Singh

Filinvest REIT IPO - Almost like a Single Asset REIT, COVID Hasn't Been Kind

Filinvest Reit (FILRT PM) (FREIT), a subsidiary of Filinvest, aims to raise up to US$240m in its Philippines listing. The REIT is sponsored by...

Sumeet Singh

POWERGRID InvIT Pre-IPO - Always Going to Be Tricky with a Declining Yield

POWERGRID Infrastructure Invt Trust aims to raise around US$1bn in its India IPO. PGIT is an investment trust setup to own transmission assets of...

Sumeet Singh

DDMP REIT IPO - Would Go in Towards the Low-End

DDMP REIT (DDMPR), a subsidiary of DoubleDragon Properties Corp (DDP), aims to raise up to US$275m in its Philippines listing.

Sumeet Singh

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