HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Recently, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/autobio-diagnostics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30185:1" rel="noopener">Autobio Diagnostics Co Ltd (603658 CH)</a> released the 2020 and 2021Q1 financial results. In 2020, the revenue was RMB2.98 billion, up 11.15% YoY. Net income was RMB757 million, down 3.79% YoY. In 2021Q1, Autobio achieved revenue of RMB817 million, up 48.44% YoY, and net income was RMB175 million, up 91.23% YoY. Due to the COVID-19, the performance of Autobio was affected in 2020, but the sales recovered gradually quarter by quarter. In 2021Q1, the domestic pandemic was basically stable with occasional regional recurrence, and the frequency of routine diagnosis and treatment in medical institutions recovered to about 80%-90% of the normal situation, so Autobio also achieved a rapid growth. Obviously, the Company is gradually getting rid of the adverse impact brought by COVID-19, and its leading position in IVD (chemiluminescence) has not changed. With the recovery of routine diagnosis and treatment in medical institutions, Autobio's performance is expected to get back on track.

Recently, Autobio Diagnostics Co Ltd (603658 CH) released the 2020 and 2021Q1 financial results. In 2020, the revenue was RMB2.98 billion, up 11.15% YoY. Net income was RMB757 million, down 3.79% YoY. In 2021Q1, Autobio achieved revenue of RMB817 million, up 48.44% YoY, and net income was RMB175 million, up 91.23% YoY. Due to the COVID-19, the performance of Autobio was affected in 2020, but the sales recovered gradually quarter by quarter. In 2021Q1, the domestic pandemic was basically stable with occasional regional recurrence, and the frequency of routine diagnosis and treatment in medical institutions recovered to about 80%-90% of the normal situation, so Autobio also achieved a rapid growth. Obviously, the Company is gradually getting rid of the adverse impact brought by COVID-19, and its leading position in IVD (chemiluminescence) has not changed. With the recovery of routine diagnosis and treatment in medical institutions, Autobio's performance is expected to get back on track.

Autobio Diagnostics (603658.CH) - The Turning Point Is Quietly Approaching

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Industry Viewpoints:<ul>
<li>With the gradual promotion of the intensive procurement of high-value consumables, some medical device companies are facing pressure. However, we still believe that the golden investment trend of the medical device industry in China is unchanged.</li>
<li>If it is the age of macromolecular drugs currently, then the future could be the cell and gene therapy.</li>
<li>Cosmetic contact lenses have entered an outbreak cycle with a CAGR of over 40% and sales of over RMB20 billion by 2020.</li>
</ul>Company News:News of updated progress of new drugs from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/antengene-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29705:1" rel="noopener">Antengene (6996 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-bioscience-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27760:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cspc-pharmaceutical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:229:1" rel="noopener">CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK)</a>.Market Review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 1.71%, while CSI 300 decreased 1.37% over the same period of time.Risk Disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry Viewpoints:
With the gradual promotion of the intensive procurement of high-value consumables, some medical device companies are facing pressure. However, we still believe that the golden investment trend of the medical device industry in China is unchanged.
If it is the age of macromolecular drugs currently, then the future could be the cell and gene therapy.
Cosmetic contact lenses have entered an outbreak cycle with a CAGR of over 40% and sales of over RMB20 billion by 2020.
Company News:News of updated progress of new drugs from Antengene (6996 HK), Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK) and CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK).Market Review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 1.71%, while CSI 300 decreased 1.37% over the same period of time.Risk Disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
<ul>
<li>Recently, the NMPA issued a new version of the regulations on the supervision and administration of medical devices.</li>
<li>In the primary market, the appetite for small CRO/CDMO investments continues to grow.</li>
<li>The market size of China's traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) devices is not large. However, under the promotion of favorable policies and demand growth , it is growing steadily.</li>
</ul>
Company news:
News about the updated progress of new drug and medical device from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/everest-medicines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29224:1" rel="noopener">Everest Medicines (1952 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harbour-biomed-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29717:1" rel="noopener">Harbour Biomed Holdings Limited (2142 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/venus-medtech-hangzhou-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28257:1" rel="noopener">Venus MedTech (2500 HK).</a>
Market review:
Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 3.25%, while CSI 300 increased 0.62% over the same period of time. 
Risk disclosure:
Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:

Recently, the NMPA issued a new version of the regulations on the supervision and administration of medical devices.
In the primary market, the appetite for small CRO/CDMO investments continues to grow.
The market size of China's traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) devices is not large. However, under the promotion of favorable policies and demand growth , it is growing steadily.

Company news:
News about the updated progress of new drug and medical device from Everest Medicines (1952 HK), Harbour Biomed Holdings Limited (2142 HK), and Venus MedTech (2500 HK).
Market review:
Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 3.25%, while CSI 300 increased 0.62% over the same period of time. 
Risk disclosure:
Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

1. Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>In the aspect of Chinese patent medicines, the main varieties of proprietary Chinese medicine are expected to be the first to be included in VBP, and medicines of stable quality are a higher priority.</li>
<li>Chemiluminescence is in the stage of rapid growth and the trend of intensive procurement of IVD consumables could drive import substitution.</li>
<li>The wellness tourism market has a good development environment and a huge growth potential.</li>
</ul>2. Company news:News about the updated progress of COVID-19 vaccine and new drugs from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cansino-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27739:1" rel="noopener">CanSino Biologics Inc (6185 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/antengene-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29705:1" rel="noopener">Antengene (6996 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akeso-biopharma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28830:1" rel="noopener">Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK)</a>.3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 8.2%, while CSI 300 decreased 7.65% over the same period of time. 4. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

1. Industry viewpoints:
In the aspect of Chinese patent medicines, the main varieties of proprietary Chinese medicine are expected to be the first to be included in VBP, and medicines of stable quality are a higher priority.
Chemiluminescence is in the stage of rapid growth and the trend of intensive procurement of IVD consumables could drive import substitution.
The wellness tourism market has a good development environment and a huge growth potential.
2. Company news:News about the updated progress of COVID-19 vaccine and new drugs from CanSino Biologics Inc (6185 HK), Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK), Antengene (6996 HK), and Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK).3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 8.2%, while CSI 300 decreased 7.65% over the same period of time. 4. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

Price and RS uptrends for the MSCI EM index continues to underpin our bullish outlook for emerging market equities -- remain overweight. We continue to attribute much of EM’s outperformance to the intact downtrend in the US dollar (DXY). As long as weakness in the DXY persists we believe EM’s outperformance is likely to continue.

Price and RS uptrends for the MSCI EM index continues to underpin our bullish outlook for emerging market equities -- remain overweight. We continue to attribute much of EM’s outperformance to the intact downtrend in the US dollar (DXY). As long as weakness in the DXY persists we believe EM’s outperformance is likely to continue.

EM Remains Global Leadership -- Remain Overweight

China

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes medical equipment. The Company produces life information supporting, in vitro diagnostic, and medical imaging equipment equipment. Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics also produces supporting reagents.

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH)

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Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH)

Autobio Diagnostics (603658.CH) - The Turning Point Is Quietly Approaching

This article analyzed Autobio Diagnostics in terms of industry characteristics, business performance, the prospect of centralized procurement on...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Apr.16)

The article analyzed the investment opportunities in China medical device industry under VBP, future trend of cell and gene therapy, market...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.26)

The article analyzed healthcare industry viewpoints include a new version of regulations on medical devices, the CRO/CDMO industry, China TCM...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.26)

This article analyzed the VBP policy on Chinese patent medicines, the growth potential in the chemiluminescence and intensive procurement of IVD...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

EM Remains Global Leadership -- Remain Overweight

Price and RS uptrends for the MSCI EM index continues to underpin our bullish outlook for emerging market equities -- remain overweight.

Vermilion Research

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