Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index / Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index (KOSPI INDEX)

<ul>
<li>The Constitutional Court approved President Yoon’s impeachment. The PM steps in as interim president, with a new election expected by May 28, 2025, before June 3.</li>
<li>The Democratic Party is the frontrunner, and if they win, expect a "regime change trade" with policy shifts toward green energy, welfare, public stimulus, and SME-focused initiatives.</li>
<li>Big-Cap builders, nuclear stocks, and major financials may struggle if the new regime focuses on public housing, anti-nuclear policies, and pro-SME, labor-friendly initiatives.</li>
</ul>


The Constitutional Court approved President Yoon’s impeachment. The PM steps in as interim president, with a new election expected by May 28, 2025, before June 3.
The Democratic Party is the frontrunner, and if they win, expect a "regime change trade" with policy shifts toward green energy, welfare, public stimulus, and SME-focused initiatives.
Big-Cap builders, nuclear stocks, and major financials may struggle if the new regime focuses on public housing, anti-nuclear policies, and pro-SME, labor-friendly initiatives.


Yoon’s Impeachment Confirmed: Key Timeline & Regime Change Trade

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

Bukwang Pharmaceutical / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>On 28 March, Bukwang Pharmaceutical (003000 KS) announced a capital raise of 100 billion won. Its share price fell by 13.3% today. </li>
<li>The company plans to issue 30.2 million new shares (44% of outstanding shares). Expected rights offering price is 3,310 won (15.1% lower than current price). </li>
<li>We are negative on Bukwang Pharm mainly due to excessive shareholding dilution from this rights offering as well as lack of valuation merits. </li>
</ul>


On 28 March, Bukwang Pharmaceutical (003000 KS) announced a capital raise of 100 billion won. Its share price fell by 13.3% today. 
The company plans to issue 30.2 million new shares (44% of outstanding shares). Expected rights offering price is 3,310 won (15.1% lower than current price). 
We are negative on Bukwang Pharm mainly due to excessive shareholding dilution from this rights offering as well as lack of valuation merits. 


Bukwang Pharm Announces A Capital Raise of 100 Billion Won

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P500 is up 27.7% YTD, outperforming KOSPI which is down 6.9% YTD. Global fund flow continues to pour into top quality US stocks such as Palantir, Tesla, and NVIDIA.</li>
<li>The top 20 best performing stocks in KOSPI 200 are up on average 106.8% YTD. However, the remaining 180 stocks in KOSPI 200 are down on average 9.2% YTD. </li>
<li>There is no large Palantir-like company that deals with AI/data analytics in Korea. However, large cap IT services and telcos in Korea are increasingly expanding their AI/data analytics related business.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P500 is up 27.7% YTD, outperforming KOSPI which is down 6.9% YTD. Global fund flow continues to pour into top quality US stocks such as Palantir, Tesla, and NVIDIA.
The top 20 best performing stocks in KOSPI 200 are up on average 106.8% YTD. However, the remaining 180 stocks in KOSPI 200 are down on average 9.2% YTD. 
There is no large Palantir-like company that deals with AI/data analytics in Korea. However, large cap IT services and telcos in Korea are increasingly expanding their AI/data analytics related business.


A Comparison of KOSPI 200 and S&P 500 Companies Performances in 2024

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 4Q 2024.</li>
<li>Volatility has been high in the Korean stock market in the past several weeks resulting in some interesting widening of some gaps among numerous holdcos and opcos in Korea. </li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 19 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months and the other 19 opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 4Q 2024.
Volatility has been high in the Korean stock market in the past several weeks resulting in some interesting widening of some gaps among numerous holdcos and opcos in Korea. 
Of the 38 pair trades, 19 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months and the other 19 opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period. 


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2024

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/green-cross-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2969:1" rel="noopener">Green Cross (006280 KS)</a> has gained access to 80% of privately insured members in the U.S. for blood product Alyglo, which has been included in formularies of three major insurers.</li>
<li>Green Cross targets to generate $50M revenue from Alyglo this year. The target seems to be conservative. The company further aims to sustain annual growth of 50%+, which is achievable.</li>
<li>The company reported sequential improvement in 2Q24, with 17% QoQ revenue growth and significant improvement in gross margin. Revenue growth of 7–8% is expected during 2024–2026.</li>
</ul>



Green Cross (006280 KS) has gained access to 80% of privately insured members in the U.S. for blood product Alyglo, which has been included in formularies of three major insurers.
Green Cross targets to generate $50M revenue from Alyglo this year. The target seems to be conservative. The company further aims to sustain annual growth of 50%+, which is achievable.
The company reported sequential improvement in 2Q24, with 17% QoQ revenue growth and significant improvement in gross margin. Revenue growth of 7–8% is expected during 2024–2026.


Green Cross (006280 KS): Alyglo Is Accelerating U.S. Market Entry; Base Business Shows Strength

South Korea

GC Biopharma is a biopharmaceutical company headquartered in Yongin, South Korea. It manufactures household medical drugs. The Company's product includes medicines for cold and fever, nutrition, antiseptic drug, and a lip balm.

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GC Biopharma Corp (006280 KS)

Yoon’s Impeachment Confirmed: Key Timeline & Regime Change Trade

Yoon’s impeachment confirmed: What is the immediate impact on the local stock market, and which sectors are likely to move.

Sanghyun Park

Bukwang Pharm Announces A Capital Raise of 100 Billion Won

On 28 March, Bukwang Pharmaceutical announced a capital raise of 100 billion won. The company plans to issue 30.2 million new shares (44% of...

Douglas Kim

A Comparison of KOSPI 200 and S&P 500 Companies Performances in 2024

There is no large Palantir-like company that deals with AI/data analytics in Korea. However, large cap IT services and telcos in Korea are...

Douglas Kim

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2024

In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in...

Douglas Kim

Green Cross (006280 KS): Alyglo Is Accelerating U.S. Market Entry; Base Business Shows Strength

Green Cross gains access to 80% of privately insured members in the U.S. for its maiden blood product Alyglo. The company is targeting a...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Yoon’s Impeachment Confirmed: Key Timeline & Regime Change Trade

Yoon’s impeachment confirmed: What is the immediate impact on the local stock market, and which sectors are likely to move.

Sanghyun Park

Bukwang Pharm Announces A Capital Raise of 100 Billion Won

On 28 March, Bukwang Pharmaceutical announced a capital raise of 100 billion won. The company plans to issue 30.2 million new shares (44% of...

Douglas Kim

A Comparison of KOSPI 200 and S&P 500 Companies Performances in 2024

There is no large Palantir-like company that deals with AI/data analytics in Korea. However, large cap IT services and telcos in Korea are...

Douglas Kim

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2024

In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in...

Douglas Kim

Green Cross (006280 KS): Alyglo Is Accelerating U.S. Market Entry; Base Business Shows Strength

​Green Cross gains access to 80% of privately insured members in the U.S. for its maiden blood product Alyglo. The company is targeting a...

Tina Banerjee

Green Cross gains access to 80% of privately insured members in the U.S. for its maiden blood product Alyglo. The company is targeting a...