Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Since October, Evergreen shares have performed well on rising spot rates</li>
<li>Over the same period, Maersk and ZIM shares fell on longer-term concerns</li>
<li>Pair trade idea: SHORT Evergreen vs LONG Maersk / ZIM position</li>
</ul>


Since October, Evergreen shares have performed well on rising spot rates
Over the same period, Maersk and ZIM shares fell on longer-term concerns
Pair trade idea: SHORT Evergreen vs LONG Maersk / ZIM position


Pair Trade Idea: Short Evergreen Against Long Maersk / ZIM

<ul>
<li>January pricing momentum improved, helped by more operating days &amp; re-routes</li>
<li>Throughput growth remained strong last month, including +18% into WC ports</li>
<li>Near term reality far rosier than downbeat view from industry giant Maersk</li>
</ul>


January pricing momentum improved, helped by more operating days &amp; re-routes
Throughput growth remained strong last month, including +18% into WC ports
Near term reality far rosier than downbeat view from industry giant Maersk


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | LNY Timing, Red Sea Re-Routes Boosted Revenue | (February 2024)

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Keisei Electric Railway Co / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)</a> share price has increased but not run ahead of its fundamentals.</li>
<li>Weak Yen, COVID rebound, friendlier visa policy by the Japanese government, and the potential for more Chinese tourists visiting Japan are tailwinds for Keisei.</li>
<li>Valuation may look expensive, but with the high growth rate, investors should consider to use PEG rather than PER or PBR.</li>
</ul>



Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) share price has increased but not run ahead of its fundamentals.
Weak Yen, COVID rebound, friendlier visa policy by the Japanese government, and the potential for more Chinese tourists visiting Japan are tailwinds for Keisei.
Valuation may look expensive, but with the high growth rate, investors should consider to use PEG rather than PER or PBR.


Keisei Electric Rail (9009): Can Be Higher

AP Moeller - Maersk A/S / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q423 earnings fell sharply, but were sufficient to hit FY23 guidance</li>
<li>FY24 guidance also lower, but allows for a very wide range of outcomes</li>
<li>Management raised concerns about Red Sea impact, L-T excess supply issues</li>
</ul>


Q423 earnings fell sharply, but were sufficient to hit FY23 guidance
FY24 guidance also lower, but allows for a very wide range of outcomes
Management raised concerns about Red Sea impact, L-T excess supply issues


Maersk FY23 Meets Guidance | But FY24 Guidance & Commentary Rock Hopeful 'Glass Half-Full' Investors

<ul>
<li>December was best reading from our momentum tracker since November 2022</li>
<li>Improvement driven by rising spot rates, new fees, and stronger volume growth</li>
<li>Even before Red Sea / Suez capacity squeeze, conditions were bottoming</li>
</ul>


December was best reading from our momentum tracker since November 2022
Improvement driven by rising spot rates, new fees, and stronger volume growth
Even before Red Sea / Suez capacity squeeze, conditions were bottoming


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Rate Momentum +ive | Throughput Up, Too | (January 2024)

Japan

Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd. operates marine cargo and passenger transportation around the world.  The Company provides ocean liner, bulk carrier, car carrier, unscheduled specialized carrier, and energy transportation services. The Company also offers insurance, warehousing, and land transportation services.  Items transported include automobile, grain, petroleum, coal, iron ore, and wood chip.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP)

Pair Trade Idea: Short Evergreen Against Long Maersk / ZIM

The divergent performances of container carriers Evergreen, Maersk, and ZIM since Q4 last year suggest a LONG Maersk/ZIM against SHORT Evergreen...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | LNY Timing, Red Sea Re-Routes Boosted Revenue | (February 2024)

Container shipping price momentum in January jumped on Red Sea re-routes and a Y/Y increase in operating days. We highlight a growing gap between...

Tracking Traffic

Keisei Electric Rail (9009): Can Be Higher

Keisei Electric Railway Co's share price is rising in line with positive fundamentals, driven by a weak Yen, COVID rebound, and potential increase...

Henry Soediarko

Maersk FY23 Meets Guidance | But FY24 Guidance & Commentary Rock Hopeful 'Glass Half-Full' Investors

Maersk's downbeat commentary appeared to surprise investors last week. It also revealed a mismatch between management's long-term views and...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Rate Momentum +ive | Throughput Up, Too | (January 2024)

Price momentum for deep-sea container rates is improving, and container volumes are also firming. Meanwhile, cheap fuel remains a slightly helpful...

Tracking Traffic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Pair Trade Idea: Short Evergreen Against Long Maersk / ZIM

The divergent performances of container carriers Evergreen, Maersk, and ZIM since Q4 last year suggest a LONG Maersk/ZIM against SHORT Evergreen...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | LNY Timing, Red Sea Re-Routes Boosted Revenue | (February 2024)

Container shipping price momentum in January jumped on Red Sea re-routes and a Y/Y increase in operating days. We highlight a growing gap between...

Tracking Traffic

Keisei Electric Rail (9009): Can Be Higher

​Keisei Electric Railway Co's share price is rising in line with positive fundamentals, driven by a weak Yen, COVID rebound, and potential increase...

Henry Soediarko

Maersk FY23 Meets Guidance | But FY24 Guidance & Commentary Rock Hopeful 'Glass Half-Full' Investors

Maersk's downbeat commentary appeared to surprise investors last week. It also revealed a mismatch between management's long-term views and...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Rate Momentum +ive | Throughput Up, Too | (January 2024)

Price momentum for deep-sea container rates is improving, and container volumes are also firming. Meanwhile, cheap fuel remains a slightly helpful...

Tracking Traffic

Keisei Electric Railway Co's share price is rising in line with positive fundamentals, driven by a weak Yen, COVID rebound, and potential increase...