Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 4Q 2023.</li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 18 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos YTD and 20 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.</li>
<li>We highlight 38 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 4Q 2023.
Of the 38 pair trades, 18 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos YTD and 20 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.
We highlight 38 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2023

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a> has reached a tipping point: the previous Bull run trend is cracking, there is a high chance the index will drop.</li>
<li>The current MRM WEEKLY pattern is bearish: if the index falls for more than 1 week it may tailspin into a 4-6 weeks correction in September.</li>
<li>Cover your LONG holdings, support can be found at 325 (Q2), 315 (Q3) and 297 (Inner Fence).</li>
</ul>


The KOSPI 200 INDEX has reached a tipping point: the previous Bull run trend is cracking, there is a high chance the index will drop.
The current MRM WEEKLY pattern is bearish: if the index falls for more than 1 week it may tailspin into a 4-6 weeks correction in September.
Cover your LONG holdings, support can be found at 325 (Q2), 315 (Q3) and 297 (Inner Fence).


EQD | KOSPI 200 Index's Decisive Week: New WEEKLY LONG Supports

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19029:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro (086520 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jyp-entertainment-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17598:1" rel="noopener">Jyp Entertainment (035900 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daewoo-shipbuilding-marine-engineering" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12531:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanmi-semiconductor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15587:1" rel="noopener">Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cj-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13964:1" rel="noopener">CJ Corp (001040 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/e-mart-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6993:1" rel="noopener">E Mart (139480 KS)</a> have been on investors/traders radars recently.</li>
<li>There will be liquidity demand on the stocks in a week and there is pre-positioning on a lot of the stocks.</li>
<li>Since 10 August, retail investors have net bought <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jyp-entertainment-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17598:1" rel="noopener">Jyp Entertainment</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/e-mart-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6993:1" rel="noopener">E Mart</a>, foreigners have net bought <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19029:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daewoo-shipbuilding-marine-engineering" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12531:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Ocean</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanmi-semiconductor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15587:1" rel="noopener">Hanmi Semiconductor</a>, while local institutions have net bought <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cj-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13964:1" rel="noopener">CJ Corp</a>.</li>
</ul>



Ecopro (086520 KS), Jyp Entertainment (035900 KS), Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS), Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS), CJ Corp (001040 KS) and E Mart (139480 KS) have been on investors/traders radars recently.
There will be liquidity demand on the stocks in a week and there is pre-positioning on a lot of the stocks.
Since 10 August, retail investors have net bought Jyp Entertainment and E Mart, foreigners have net bought Ecopro, Hanwha Ocean and Hanmi Semiconductor, while local institutions have net bought CJ Corp.


Korea - Positioning in Ecopro, JYP Entertainment, Hanwha Ocean, Hanmi Semi, CJ Corp, E-Mart

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.</li>
<li>We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 7 new adds to MidCap, and 17 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.
We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 7 new adds to MidCap, and 17 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Migrations to Attract Active Flows

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.</li>
<li>We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 6 new adds to MidCap, and 16 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.
We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 6 new adds to MidCap, and 16 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Overlap With Other Index Flows

South Korea

GS Retail Co., Ltd. operates a chain of retail stores. The Company provides beauty and skincare products, candles, gifts, perfumes, ornaments, bathroom accessories, and other products. GS Retail serves its customers in the Republic of South Korea.

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GS Retail (007070 KS)

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2023

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 4Q 2023. We highlight 38 pair trades that...

Douglas Kim

EQD | KOSPI 200 Index's Decisive Week: New WEEKLY LONG Supports

The KOSPI 200 Index may have reached the end of its 2023 rally: a correction is probable in September, read the MRM LONG support prices to know...

Nico Rosti

Korea - Positioning in Ecopro, JYP Entertainment, Hanwha Ocean, Hanmi Semi, CJ Corp, E-Mart

Since 10 Aug, retail investors have net bought Jyp Entertainment and E Mart, foreigners have net bought Ecopro, Hanwha Ocean and Hanmi...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Migrations to Attract Active Flows

We currently forecast 53 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices. There are stocks that are potential KOSPI200 adds in December and others that will...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Overlap With Other Index Flows

We currently forecast 52 changes for the KOSPI Size Indices. While there are few passive assets tracking these indices, they are used by active...

Brian Freitas

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