Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Mandatory treasury cancellation isn’t in the current bill, but FSC and MOJ have started internal reviews; enforcement decree could drop as early as Q4.</li>
<li>An internal policy paper suggests mandatory cancellation will apply only to newly acquired treasury shares, with tight limits on existing ones to curb owner control abuse.</li>
<li>Lack of retroactive cancellation weakens the bull case, and while holdco sentiment stays upbeat, momentum may fade, opening the door to a tactical pullback.</li>
</ul>


Mandatory treasury cancellation isn’t in the current bill, but FSC and MOJ have started internal reviews; enforcement decree could drop as early as Q4.
An internal policy paper suggests mandatory cancellation will apply only to newly acquired treasury shares, with tight limits on existing ones to curb owner control abuse.
Lack of retroactive cancellation weakens the bull case, and while holdco sentiment stays upbeat, momentum may fade, opening the door to a tactical pullback.


Korea Holdco Rerating Pullback Risk: No Retroactive Treasury Cancellation

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the preferred shares of five major holding companies and how the share price gap relative to their common counterparts could decrease. </li>
<li>There is a relatively easy way to improve shareholder value of these holding companies which is to cancel the entire preferred shares that trade at discount to their common counterparts.</li>
<li>The common shares of these five companies have experienced an average share price appreciation of 33.2% YTD versus 28.7% appreciation for their preferred shares counterparts.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss the preferred shares of five major holding companies and how the share price gap relative to their common counterparts could decrease. 
There is a relatively easy way to improve shareholder value of these holding companies which is to cancel the entire preferred shares that trade at discount to their common counterparts.
The common shares of these five companies have experienced an average share price appreciation of 33.2% YTD versus 28.7% appreciation for their preferred shares counterparts.


Preferred Shares of Five Major Korean Holdcos - Likely to Close the Gap Further With Common Shares

<ul>
<li>Holding companies have been the best performing asset class in the Korean stock market in the past month.</li>
<li>In this insight, we provide updated NAV valuations of the top five, largest "pure" holdcos in Korea including SK Square, SK Inc, LG Corp, Hanjin KAL, and HD Hyundai.</li>
<li>The NAVs of these five holdcos are about 18% higher than their current prices on average. </li>
</ul>


Holding companies have been the best performing asset class in the Korean stock market in the past month.
In this insight, we provide updated NAV valuations of the top five, largest "pure" holdcos in Korea including SK Square, SK Inc, LG Corp, Hanjin KAL, and HD Hyundai.
The NAVs of these five holdcos are about 18% higher than their current prices on average. 


NAV Valuations of Top Five Largest "Pure" Holdcos in Korea

<ul>
<li>Local traders are betting SK Inc will preemptively announce a treasury share cancellation before the June election, positioning it as the center of the regime change momentum play.</li>
<li>From a trading perspective, SK Inc could rally as a "buyback stock" and offer NAV gap trading opportunities.</li>
<li>Another option could be an event-driven hedge strategy: go long on SK and short index futures post-election. If Lee Jae-myung wins, SK could outperform, but the broader market may drop.</li>
</ul>


Local traders are betting SK Inc will preemptively announce a treasury share cancellation before the June election, positioning it as the center of the regime change momentum play.
From a trading perspective, SK Inc could rally as a "buyback stock" and offer NAV gap trading opportunities.
Another option could be an event-driven hedge strategy: go long on SK and short index futures post-election. If Lee Jae-myung wins, SK could outperform, but the broader market may drop.


Next Target After Hanwha for Regime Change Momentum Play: SK Inc's Share Cancellation

<ul>
<li><em><strong>Lee Jae-Myung (who is leading in most election polls) has mentioned cancellation of treasury shares as one of the key campaign pledges to improve the corporate governance in Korea.</strong></em></li>
<li>If the cancellation of these shares becomes mandatory, the SK Group and Lotte Group will be most affected. </li>
<li>We provide a list of 21 stocks in KOSPI200 that have the highest ratios for treasury shares/total outstanding shares. These stocks could receive more attention in the next several months. </li>
</ul>


Lee Jae-Myung (who is leading in most election polls) has mentioned cancellation of treasury shares as one of the key campaign pledges to improve the corporate governance in Korea.
If the cancellation of these shares becomes mandatory, the SK Group and Lotte Group will be most affected. 
We provide a list of 21 stocks in KOSPI200 that have the highest ratios for treasury shares/total outstanding shares. These stocks could receive more attention in the next several months. 


Lee Jae-Myung's Campaign Pledge - Cancellation of Treasury Shares

South Korea

SK Holdings Co., Ltd. is a holdings company that is engaged in various industries including energy, chemicals, information technology, semiconductors, marketing, and services businesses in South Korea and internationally.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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SK Inc (034730 KS)

Korea Holdco Rerating Pullback Risk: No Retroactive Treasury Cancellation

This post covers the tactical pullback risk in Korea holdco rerating momentum, driven by the setback from non-retroactive mandatory treasury...

Sanghyun Park

Preferred Shares of Five Major Korean Holdcos - Likely to Close the Gap Further With Common Shares

There is a relatively easy way to improve shareholder value of these holding companies which is to cancel the entire preferred shares that trade at...

Douglas Kim

NAV Valuations of Top Five Largest "Pure" Holdcos in Korea

In this insight, we provide updated NAV valuations of the top five, largest "pure" holdcos in Korea including SK Square, SK Inc, LG Corp, Hanjin...

Douglas Kim

Lee Jae-Myung's Campaign Pledge - Cancellation of Treasury Shares

Lee Jae-Myung (who is leading in most election polls) has mentioned cancellation of treasury shares as one of the key campaign pledges to improve...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Korea Holdco Rerating Pullback Risk: No Retroactive Treasury Cancellation

This post covers the tactical pullback risk in Korea holdco rerating momentum, driven by the setback from non-retroactive mandatory treasury...

Sanghyun Park

Preferred Shares of Five Major Korean Holdcos - Likely to Close the Gap Further With Common Shares

There is a relatively easy way to improve shareholder value of these holding companies which is to cancel the entire preferred shares that trade at...

Douglas Kim

NAV Valuations of Top Five Largest "Pure" Holdcos in Korea

In this insight, we provide updated NAV valuations of the top five, largest "pure" holdcos in Korea including SK Square, SK Inc, LG Corp, Hanjin...

Douglas Kim

Next Target After Hanwha for Regime Change Momentum Play: SK Inc's Share Cancellation

This post investigates the movements in Korea's local trading scene as traders target the next play after Hanwha: SK Inc's treasury share...

Sanghyun Park

Lee Jae-Myung's Campaign Pledge - Cancellation of Treasury Shares

Lee Jae-Myung (who is leading in most election polls) has mentioned cancellation of treasury shares as one of the key campaign pledges to improve...

Douglas Kim