Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 4th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Ali Health, CCB, Giant Biogene.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 4th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Ali Health, CCB, Giant Biogene.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Ali Health, CCB, Giant Biogene

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The policy turning point of high-value consumables/medical device industry is not far away. When a mature pricing mechanism is formed, it’s the time when industry expectations reverse and stabilize.</li>
<li>There’s rumor that AstraZeneca is in discussions for a US$15 billion partnership focused on ivonescimab. Although we understand that investors have been anticipating a big deal, we remain cautious.</li>
<li>After the outstanding IPO debut, IFBH’s share price continued to fall. The capital frenzy has led to the valuation to deviate seriously from the fundamentals. The outlook is not optimistic.</li>
</ul>


The policy turning point of high-value consumables/medical device industry is not far away. When a mature pricing mechanism is formed, it’s the time when industry expectations reverse and stabilize.
There’s rumor that AstraZeneca is in discussions for a US$15 billion partnership focused on ivonescimab. Although we understand that investors have been anticipating a big deal, we remain cautious.
After the outstanding IPO debut, IFBH’s share price continued to fall. The capital frenzy has led to the valuation to deviate seriously from the fundamentals. The outlook is not optimistic.


China Healthcare Weekly(Jul.13)- AstraZeneca-Summit $15bn Deal, IFBH Shares Decline Is Far from Over

Equity Bottom-Up

YiChang HEC ChangJiang Pharmaceutical / Equity Bottom-Up

YiChang HEC ChangJiang Pharmaceutical (1558 HK)

<ul>
<li>For the upcoming 11th national VBP, we think some core and big varieties could be included, involving companies such as Sunshine Lake Pharma, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huadong-medicine-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18522:1" rel="noopener">Huadong Medicine</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hansoh-pharmaceutical-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23675:1" rel="noopener">Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK)</a>, etc.</li>
<li>Anjoy’s IPO is fairly priced. Reasonable valuation range is 10-15x P/E.However, unfavorable factors have led us to take a conservative attitude towards the upside potential of stock price after IPO.</li>
<li>For Sunshine Lake Pharma's privatization of HEC Pharma, Composite Document was despatched. However, if investors truly understand "the essence" of HEC Pharma, they will be calm/rational about this absorption merger.</li>
</ul>


For the upcoming 11th national VBP, we think some core and big varieties could be included, involving companies such as Sunshine Lake Pharma, Huadong Medicine, Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK), etc.
Anjoy’s IPO is fairly priced. Reasonable valuation range is 10-15x P/E.However, unfavorable factors have led us to take a conservative attitude towards the upside potential of stock price after IPO.
For Sunshine Lake Pharma's privatization of HEC Pharma, Composite Document was despatched. However, if investors truly understand "the essence" of HEC Pharma, they will be calm/rational about this absorption merger.


China Healthcare Weekly (Jul.6)- Anjoy’s IPO Debut, HEC CJ Pharma's Merger with Sunshine Lake Pharma

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 20th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Baba, Chow Tai Fook, Za Online, Cspc Pharma, BOC, Petrochina.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 20th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Baba, Chow Tai Fook, Za Online, Cspc Pharma, BOC, Petrochina.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Chow Tai Fook, Za Online, Cspc Pharma, BOC, Petrochina

Innovent Biologics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The valuation bubble of innovative drug companies is about to burst as some founders/shareholders have started to reduce their holdings and cash out. We recommend investors to be rational.</li>
<li>Domestic innovative drugs market size would be about RMB600 billion by 2035. It is estimated the whole innovative drug industry's CAGR would be about 15% for the next decade.</li>
<li>Innovent announced Placement with the Placing price of HK$78.36/share. However, valuation is clearly at a high level. A more suitable option is to take profits rather than buy.</li>
</ul>


The valuation bubble of innovative drug companies is about to burst as some founders/shareholders have started to reduce their holdings and cash out. We recommend investors to be rational.
Domestic innovative drugs market size would be about RMB600 billion by 2035. It is estimated the whole innovative drug industry's CAGR would be about 15% for the next decade.
Innovent announced Placement with the Placing price of HK$78.36/share. However, valuation is clearly at a high level. A more suitable option is to take profits rather than buy.


China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.29) - Biotech Valuation Bubble Is About to Burst, Innovent's Placement

China

3SBio is a leading biotechnology company engaged in the research, development, manufacturing, and marketing of biopharmaceutical products. The company's diverse portfolio addresses therapeutic areas such as nephrology, oncology, supportive cancer care, inflammation, infectious diseases, autoimmune diseases, metabolism, and dermatology, with key products including EPIAO and TPIAO. 3SBio was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Shenyang, China.

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3SBio (1530 HK)

HK Short Interest Weekly: Ali Health, CCB, Giant Biogene

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 4th and highlight short interest changes in Ali Health, CCB, Giant...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Healthcare Weekly(Jul.13)- AstraZeneca-Summit $15bn Deal, IFBH Shares Decline Is Far from Over

High-value medical device industry is on the brink of a policy turning point. There's many uncertainties about AstraZeneca-Summit $15bn deal. IFBH...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Jul.6)- Anjoy’s IPO Debut, HEC CJ Pharma's Merger with Sunshine Lake Pharma

11th VBP may include big variety of Sunshine Lake Pharma/Huadong/Hansoh. Anjoy's IPO is fairly priced but shares upside is limited.HEC Pharma's...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Chow Tai Fook, Za Online, Cspc Pharma, BOC, Petrochina

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 20th and highlight short interest changes in Baba, Chow Tai Fook, Za...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.29) - Biotech Valuation Bubble Is About to Burst, Innovent's Placement

The valuation bubble of innovative drug companies may burst soon, with some founders/shareholders already cashing out. Innovent's Placing Price of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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