Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yancoal-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4145:1" rel="noopener">Yancoal Australia (YAL AU)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woodside-energy-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13190:1" rel="noopener">Woodside Energy (WDS AU)</a> price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long Yancoal Australia (YAL AU) and short Woodside Energy (WDS AU) targets a 6% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Yancoal Australia (YAL AU) vs. Woodside Energy (WDS AU) price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: Going long Yancoal Australia (YAL AU) and short Woodside Energy (WDS AU) targets a 6% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Long Yancoal (YAL AU) Vs. Short Woodside (WDS AU): Proven Pair Trade Back in Play, Targeting 6%

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Asian Alpha Hedge Portfolio performance in 1Q26 was +17.83% versus its benchmark performance of +1.79% for an outperformance of 16.04%.</li>
<li>Over the last year, AAHP's Sharpe ratio is 4.39 with a mean excess annualized return of 69%.  The portfolio has a gross and net exposure of 132% and +30%, respectively.</li>
<li>The war has changed outlooks for economies and markets in the region.  Accordingly, we reduced risk in the portfolio and adjusted our long/short exposures to reflect this new reality.</li>
</ul>


The Asian Alpha Hedge Portfolio performance in 1Q26 was +17.83% versus its benchmark performance of +1.79% for an outperformance of 16.04%.
Over the last year, AAHP's Sharpe ratio is 4.39 with a mean excess annualized return of 69%.  The portfolio has a gross and net exposure of 132% and +30%, respectively.
The war has changed outlooks for economies and markets in the region.  Accordingly, we reduced risk in the portfolio and adjusted our long/short exposures to reflect this new reality.


Asian Alpha Hedge Portfolio (March, 2026)

<ul>
<li>So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the war enters its second month.</li>
<li>Asian countries are highly dependent on oil and gas shipments from the Middle East, with airlines, petrochemical companies, and gas distribution companies all negatively affected.</li>
<li>Iran now controls when the flow of energy from the Middle East starts and thereby when the war stops. Gulf countries will not allow Iran to be the Straits gatekeeper.</li>
</ul>


So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the war enters its second month.
Asian countries are highly dependent on oil and gas shipments from the Middle East, with airlines, petrochemical companies, and gas distribution companies all negatively affected.
Iran now controls when the flow of energy from the Middle East starts and thereby when the war stops. Gulf countries will not allow Iran to be the Straits gatekeeper.


OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
 Highlights: In Australia, currently four pair trade opportunities persist across two sectors.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

 Highlights: In Australia, currently four pair trade opportunities persist across two sectors.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (29 Sep 2026)

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Equity Capital Markets

Mahanadi Coalfields Limited / Equity Capital Markets

Mahanadi Coalfields Limited (0808507D IN)

<ul>
<li>This insight discusses about the broad structure of upcoming IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahanadi-coalfields-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:58636:1" rel="noopener">Mahanadi Coalfields Limited (0808507D IN)</a> .</li>
<li>It discusses about the company profile, key customers and financial snapshots.</li>
<li>Finally, we highlight the various points to look forward to in this IPO.</li>
</ul>


This insight discusses about the broad structure of upcoming IPO of Mahanadi Coalfields Limited (0808507D IN) .
It discusses about the company profile, key customers and financial snapshots.
Finally, we highlight the various points to look forward to in this IPO.


Australia

Yancoal Australia Ltd. provides mining services. The Company mines, sells, exports, and markets clean and coking coal. Yancoal operates internationally.

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Yancoal Australia (YAL AU)

Long Yancoal (YAL AU) Vs. Short Woodside (WDS AU): Proven Pair Trade Back in Play, Targeting 6%

Potential statistical arbitrage opportunity with a 6% return by going long YAL AU and short WDS AU. Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean...

Gaudenz Schneider

Asian Alpha Hedge Portfolio (March, 2026)

While we do not believe that the Iran conflict is close to a resolution, we believe that the U.S. side needs to reach one, and that will eventually...

David Mudd

OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the...

David Mudd

Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (29 Sep 2026)

Discover four pair trade opportunities across two sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Mahanadi Coalfields IPO – First Cut

This insight discusses about the broad structure of upcoming IPO of Mahanadi Coalfields Limited (0808507D IN) . It discusses about the company...

Sreemant Dudhoria

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Long Yancoal (YAL AU) Vs. Short Woodside (WDS AU): Proven Pair Trade Back in Play, Targeting 6%

Potential statistical arbitrage opportunity with a 6% return by going long YAL AU and short WDS AU. Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean...

Gaudenz Schneider

Asian Alpha Hedge Portfolio (March, 2026)

While we do not believe that the Iran conflict is close to a resolution, we believe that the U.S. side needs to reach one, and that will eventually...

David Mudd

OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the...

David Mudd

Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (29 Sep 2026)

​Discover four pair trade opportunities across two sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Mahanadi Coalfields IPO – First Cut

This insight discusses about the broad structure of upcoming IPO of Mahanadi Coalfields Limited (0808507D IN) . It discusses about the company...

Sreemant Dudhoria

Discover four pair trade opportunities across two sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.