ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A recent meeting with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-digital-niaga-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34881:1" rel="noopener">Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ)</a> looking at its longer-term strategy confirmed its differentiated standing, with a keen focus on an omnichannel strategy across key verticals.</li>
<li>The restructuring of its 1P business is yielding positive returns and higher margins, whilst its 3P business is being driven by strong performance from tiket.com, with offline stores performing well.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-digital-niaga-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34881:1" rel="noopener">BELI</a> recently opened a new 100,000 sqm distribution centre, which will further underpin its logistics excellence and improve delivery times even further. Valuations are attractive with profitability ahead in FY2025.</li>
</ul>


A recent meeting with Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ) looking at its longer-term strategy confirmed its differentiated standing, with a keen focus on an omnichannel strategy across key verticals.
The restructuring of its 1P business is yielding positive returns and higher margins, whilst its 3P business is being driven by strong performance from tiket.com, with offline stores performing well.

BELI recently opened a new 100,000 sqm distribution centre, which will further underpin its logistics excellence and improve delivery times even further. Valuations are attractive with profitability ahead in FY2025.


Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ) - Speeding the Horses to Profitability

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>JCI rose 3.8% wow, partly driven by foreign funds inflows particularly into INDF, ASII BREN, UNTR, and GOTO, which more than offset the persisting outflows from the big banks (i.e., BBRI, BBNI and to a lesser extent BBCA and BMRI).</li><li>These resulted in net inflow of US$67mn.</li><li>Within EM, India saw a big inflow of US$3bn during the week, while ASEAN EM peers still faced outflows albeit easing from prior weeks. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JCI rose 3.8% wow, partly driven by foreign funds inflows particularly into INDF, ASII BREN, UNTR, and GOTO, which more than offset the persisting outflows from the big banks (i.e., BBRI, BBNI and to a lesser extent BBCA and BMRI).These resulted in net inflow of US$67mn.Within EM, India saw a big inflow of US$3bn during the week, while ASEAN EM peers still faced outflows albeit easing from prior weeks. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the week – Nov24-end Domestic Fund Sector Positioning

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>PMK 88/2024 could add liquidity for the SOE banks, but with a CoF of c. 4.8%, we do not see it as plausible for the banks currently.</li><li>On the other hand, the SAL loans can add competition as other nonbank SOE could get a lower rate from SAL compared to bank loans.</li><li>BMRI and BBNI could be the biggest losers from SAL competition, while BBRI and BBTN could see potential benefits.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PMK 88/2024 could add liquidity for the SOE banks, but with a CoF of c. 4.8%, we do not see it as plausible for the banks currently.On the other hand, the SAL loans can add competition as other nonbank SOE could get a lower rate from SAL compared to bank loans.BMRI and BBNI could be the biggest losers from SAL competition, while BBRI and BBTN could see potential benefits.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banks: Expansion of SAL utilization: for better or worse? (OVERWEIGHT)

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sariguna-primatirta-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33584:1" rel="noopener">Sariguna Primatirta Tbk PT (CLEO IJ)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siloam-international-hospitals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:878:1" rel="noopener">Siloam International Hospitals (SILO IJ)</a>
</li>
<li>There were also insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aspirasi-hidup-indonesia-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12808:1" rel="noopener">Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia (ACES IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thailand-pcl-98806732-8ac4-42b2-a565-ba32673d1e5a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)</a>, the upcoming index rebalancing in Thailand, and top picks in the Philippines from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/sameer-taneja-a0539e0c-84dd-4e66-9c40-6e598edfb4c5" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:352" rel="noopener">Sameer Taneja</a>. </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ), Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ), Sariguna Primatirta Tbk PT (CLEO IJ), and Siloam International Hospitals (SILO IJ)

There were also insights on Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia (ACES IJ), Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB), the upcoming index rebalancing in Thailand, and top picks in the Philippines from Sameer Taneja. 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - BCA's Slower Expectations, BRI's Ultra Attractive, and ACES

<ul>
<li>A company visit with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)</a> in Jakarta revealed a more cautious view on loan growth looking into 2025, with expectations for high-single-digit YoY growth.</li>
<li>There is increasing caution amongst customers around the soft economy and the risk of more aggressive tax collection in 2025, reflected in strong growth in holdings of government bonds.</li>
<li>A company visit with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)</a> in Jakarta revealed a more cautious view on loan growth looking into 2025, with expectations for high-single-digit YoY growth.</li>
</ul>


A company visit with Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) in Jakarta revealed a more cautious view on loan growth looking into 2025, with expectations for high-single-digit YoY growth.
There is increasing caution amongst customers around the soft economy and the risk of more aggressive tax collection in 2025, reflected in strong growth in holdings of government bonds.
A company visit with Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) in Jakarta revealed a more cautious view on loan growth looking into 2025, with expectations for high-single-digit YoY growth.


Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) - Tempering 2025 Expectations

Indonesia

PT Bank Central Asia Tbk provides banking and related services.  The Bank also provides custodianship, trusteeship, and management of pension funds of financial institutions.  Through its subsidiaries, the Bank also provides leasing and consumer financing services.

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Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)

Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ) - Speeding the Horses to Profitability

A recent meeting with Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ) looking at its longer-term strategy confirmed its differentiated standing, with a keen focus...

Angus Mackintosh

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the week – Nov24-end Domestic Fund Sector Positioning

JCI rose 3.8% wow, partly driven by foreign funds inflows particularly into INDF, ASII BREN, UNTR, and GOTO, which more than offset the persisting...

BRI Danareksa Research

Banks: Expansion of SAL utilization: for better or worse? (OVERWEIGHT)

PMK 88/2024 could add liquidity for the SOE banks, but with a CoF of c. 4.8%, we do not see it as plausible for the banks currently.

BRI Danareksa Research

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - BCA's Slower Expectations, BRI's Ultra Attractive, and ACES

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) - Tempering 2025 Expectations

A company visit with Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) in Jakarta revealed a more cautious view on loan growth looking into 2025, with expectations for...

Angus Mackintosh

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