ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)</a> released a robust set of 9M2022 results driven by loan growth across all segments together with low-cost CASA funding and falling provisioning.</li>
<li>The bank demonstrated its leadership in transactional banking with total transactions growing +48% YoY, with 89% in volume terms and 59% in value terms through mobile and internet banking. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)</a> continues to be a core holding and trades at a premium to its peers for good reason and it has already demonstrated its digital prowess.</li>
</ul>



Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) released a robust set of 9M2022 results driven by loan growth across all segments together with low-cost CASA funding and falling provisioning.
The bank demonstrated its leadership in transactional banking with total transactions growing +48% YoY, with 89% in volume terms and 59% in value terms through mobile and internet banking. 

Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) continues to be a core holding and trades at a premium to its peers for good reason and it has already demonstrated its digital prowess.


Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) - Demonstrating Digital Prowess

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Google, Temasek, and Bain&amp;Co just released their much-anticipated eConomy SEA 2022 report outlining recent trends and future expectations for South-East Asia's digital economy. </li>
<li>No doubt post-pandemic growth has been tapering but the long-term growth story remains intact. The key focus has switched to the path to profitability versus headline growth.</li>
<li>Major digital players in South-East Asia will release 3Q results next month with all eyes focused on take rates, contribution margins, and Adjusted EBITDA margins rather than headline growth.</li>
</ul>


Google, Temasek, and Bain&amp;Co just released their much-anticipated eConomy SEA 2022 report outlining recent trends and future expectations for South-East Asia's digital economy. 
No doubt post-pandemic growth has been tapering but the long-term growth story remains intact. The key focus has switched to the path to profitability versus headline growth.
Major digital players in South-East Asia will release 3Q results next month with all eyes focused on take rates, contribution margins, and Adjusted EBITDA margins rather than headline growth.


SEA EConomy - A Squall in 2022 with Rough Seas Ahead

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Float and capping changes will require passive trackers to sell <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elang-mahkota-teknologi-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7752:1" rel="noopener">Emtek (EMTK IJ)</a> while buying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telekomunikasi-indonesia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1051:1" rel="noopener">Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLKM IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>There will be passive changes to other stocks too, though the impact is not material on most of the stocks.</li>
<li>The passive buying on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> on Monday offers an avenue to exit the stock ahead of the huge lock-up expiry on 30 November.</li>
</ul>


Float and capping changes will require passive trackers to sell Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) and Emtek (EMTK IJ) while buying GoTo (GOTO IJ) and Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLKM IJ). 
There will be passive changes to other stocks too, though the impact is not material on most of the stocks.
The passive buying on GoTo (GOTO IJ) on Monday offers an avenue to exit the stock ahead of the huge lock-up expiry on 30 November.


IDX30/​LQ45/​IDX80 Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes on Monday

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>PT Global Digital Trade (BliBli) aims to raise up to US$530m in its Indonesian IPO.</li>
<li>BliBli provides e-commerce services across Indonesia to both retail consumers and institutions.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we have spoken about the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about valuations and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


PT Global Digital Trade (BliBli) aims to raise up to US$530m in its Indonesian IPO.
BliBli provides e-commerce services across Indonesia to both retail consumers and institutions.
In our previous notes, we have spoken about the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about valuations and run the deal through our ECM framework.


PT Global Digital Trade (BliBli) IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>PT Global Digital Trade (BliBli) aims to raise up to US$530m in its Indonesian IPO.</li>
<li>BliBli provides e-commerce services across Indonesia to both retail consumers and institutions</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


PT Global Digital Trade (BliBli) aims to raise up to US$530m in its Indonesian IPO.
BliBli provides e-commerce services across Indonesia to both retail consumers and institutions
In this note, we'll talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


PT Global Digital Trade (BliBli) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Online, Offline or Travelling to Nowhere?

Indonesia

PT Bank Central Asia Tbk provides banking and related services.  The Bank also provides custodianship, trusteeship, and management of pension funds of financial institutions.  Through its subsidiaries, the Bank also provides leasing and consumer financing services.

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Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)