Equity Analyst

Steve Zhou, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> announced a set of in-line results for 1Q24.  Sales growth was 7% yoy, in-line with my 1Q24 preview.</li>
<li>Operating profit margin for the core JD retail business declined by 0.5ppt yoy to 4.1%, which is also in-line with my preview.  </li>
<li>The positive surprise was a big reduction in losses in the JD logistics business, which brought the overall non-GAAP net profit growth to 17% yoy for 1Q24. </li>
</ul>



JD.com (9618 HK) announced a set of in-line results for 1Q24.  Sales growth was 7% yoy, in-line with my 1Q24 preview.
Operating profit margin for the core JD retail business declined by 0.5ppt yoy to 4.1%, which is also in-line with my preview.  
The positive surprise was a big reduction in losses in the JD logistics business, which brought the overall non-GAAP net profit growth to 17% yoy for 1Q24. 


JD.com (9618 HK):  1Q24 Results On Track

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We do not forecast any constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in June but there could be capping changes for 7 stocks.</li>
<li>Capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 7.6% leading to a round-trip trade of US$2.4bn. 17 stocks will have over 0.5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a> will have the largest inflow while there will be big outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We do not forecast any constituent changes for the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in June but there could be capping changes for 7 stocks.
Capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 7.6% leading to a round-trip trade of US$2.4bn. 17 stocks will have over 0.5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.

Li Auto (2015 HK) will have the largest inflow while there will be big outflows from Meituan (3690 HK), Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK), JD.com (9618 HK) and Tencent (700 HK). 


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Round-Trip Trade of US$2.4bn in June

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> announced this week that it has repurchased 2.8% of the outstanding shares of the company in the first quarter of 2024. </li>
<li>Improved shareholder returns is a key thesis for the stock, given that there is little market expectation on such given limited track record.</li>
<li>A positive catalyst on full year performance could be the government's announced stimulus policy for home appliance in April this year (trading old for new).</li>
</ul>



JD.com (9618 HK) announced this week that it has repurchased 2.8% of the outstanding shares of the company in the first quarter of 2024. 
Improved shareholder returns is a key thesis for the stock, given that there is little market expectation on such given limited track record.
A positive catalyst on full year performance could be the government's announced stimulus policy for home appliance in April this year (trading old for new).


JD.com (JD US / 9618 HK):  Announced 2.8% Share Buyback In 1Q24 + My 1Q24 Preview

Independent Sell Side Equity Research Analyst, ChartSmarter

Douglas Busch

Independent Sell Side Equity Research Analyst

ChartSmarter

ChartSmarter is a service dedicated to the art of technical analysis.

On a daily basis we write up actionable ideas on a specific, major S&P sector on both the long and short side, in an easy yet thorough way. In the notes we give precise entries and exits, while looking to capture the "meat" of a trend.

Technical Analysis.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Spanning the globe for current best-in-breed auto players shows diverging action.</li>
<li>New pair suggestion: Long Tesla/Short Rivian. Bottom could be in on TSLA</li>
<li>Updated JD.com general status from last week's China/Japan Note encouraging.</li>
</ul>


Spanning the globe for current best-in-breed auto players shows diverging action.
New pair suggestion: Long Tesla/Short Rivian. Bottom could be in on TSLA
Updated JD.com general status from last week's China/Japan Note encouraging.


Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>JD.com's latest earnings showed a strong commitment to growth, navigating a mix of macro recoveries, seasonality factors and strategic refocus.</li><li>They delivered a growth in net revenues by 4% and recorded a non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders of RMB 8.4 billion.</li><li>Cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, and short term investments totaled RMB 198 billion.</li></ul>

JD.com's latest earnings showed a strong commitment to growth, navigating a mix of macro recoveries, seasonality factors and strategic refocus.They delivered a growth in net revenues by 4% and recorded a non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders of RMB 8.4 billion.Cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, and short term investments totaled RMB 198 billion.

JD.com Inc.: Market Share Expansion via Platform Ecosystem Improvements! - Key Drivers

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)

JD.com (9618 HK): 1Q24 Results On Track

JD.com (9618 HK) announced a set of in-line results for 1Q24. Sales growth was 7% yoy, while operating profit margin for the core JD retail...

Steve Zhou, CFA

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Round-Trip Trade of US$2.4bn in June

We do not forecast any constituent changes for the HSTECH in June but there could be capping changes for 7 stocks. Li Auto is the big buy; there...

Brian Freitas

International Automobile Analysis

China markets showing excellent resilience and could be a good sign for the global economy. Automobile plays that may benefit.

Douglas Busch

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JD.com (9618 HK): 1Q24 Results On Track

JD.com (9618 HK) announced a set of in-line results for 1Q24. Sales growth was 7% yoy, while operating profit margin for the core JD retail...

Steve Zhou, CFA

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Round-Trip Trade of US$2.4bn in June

We do not forecast any constituent changes for the HSTECH in June but there could be capping changes for 7 stocks. Li Auto is the big buy; there...

Brian Freitas

JD.com (JD US / 9618 HK): Announced 2.8% Share Buyback In 1Q24 + My 1Q24 Preview

JD.com will report 1Q24 results on May 16. Take advantage of the improving Hong Kong stock market sentiment, which should most immediately benefit...

Steve Zhou, CFA

International Automobile Analysis

China markets showing excellent resilience and could be a good sign for the global economy. Automobile plays that may benefit.

Douglas Busch

JD.com Inc.: Market Share Expansion via Platform Ecosystem Improvements! - Key Drivers

JD.com's latest earnings showed a strong commitment to growth, navigating a mix of macro recoveries, seasonality factors and strategic...

Baptista Research