Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q1’23 revenues of ¥109.9 billion, better than forecasted, down 6.4% QoQ but up 10% YoY.</li>
<li>Q2'23 forecasted flat sequentially, no full year 2023 forecast provided</li>
<li>There's a major headwind looming on the horizon for the broader silicon wafer segment...</li>
</ul>


Q1’23 revenues of ¥109.9 billion, better than forecasted, down 6.4% QoQ but up 10% YoY.
Q2'23 forecasted flat sequentially, no full year 2023 forecast provided
There's a major headwind looming on the horizon for the broader silicon wafer segment...


SUMCO Q1’23 Revenues of ¥109.9 Billion, -6.4% QoQ but up 10% YoY. Q2'23 Flat QoQ

<ul>
<li>Q1’23 revenues of €404.4 million, -14.3% QoQ and -3% YoY.</li>
<li>Q2'23 revenues forecasted flat sequentially with no prospect of a second half recovery.</li>
<li>Why no H2 recovery ? And why did GlobalWafers outperform Siltronic last quarter?</li>
</ul>


Q1’23 revenues of €404.4 million, -14.3% QoQ and -3% YoY.
Q2'23 revenues forecasted flat sequentially with no prospect of a second half recovery.
Why no H2 recovery ? And why did GlobalWafers outperform Siltronic last quarter?


Siltronic Q1'23 Revenue €404.4 Million, -14.3% QoQ And -3% YoY. Q2'23 Flat QoQ

<ul>
<li>Q1’23 revenues of NT$18.6 billion, up 14.2% YoY and up ~1% QoQ.</li>
<li>No specific Q2'23 forecast provided but we fully expect a sequential decline and the end of a 13 quarter growth streak </li>
<li>YTD silicon carbide revenues have already exceeded full year 2022 revenues, albeit coming from a low base.</li>
</ul>


Q1’23 revenues of NT$18.6 billion, up 14.2% YoY and up ~1% QoQ.
No specific Q2'23 forecast provided but we fully expect a sequential decline and the end of a 13 quarter growth streak 
YTD silicon carbide revenues have already exceeded full year 2022 revenues, albeit coming from a low base.


Globalwafers Q1'23 Revenues up 1% QoQ, 14.2% YoY

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  Choppy Session with SPX closing -0.2%;  Tech down again as reversal continues;  US 2Yr yield back above 4%, Alibaba +14% split to unlock value; Micron after hours-worst over?</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -1.0% vs Cash; USDJPY 130.9; US-Japan strikes deal on EV battery materials Under IRA; Japan's FTA fine with MSFT-ATVI, -ve Sony; Alibaba Split +ve Softbank</li>
<li>NUGGET. Panasonic - Potential beneficiary of new IRA related deal with the US. Could see IRA EV tax credit rise from ¥172bn/year to ¥228bn/year.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  Choppy Session with SPX closing -0.2%;  Tech down again as reversal continues;  US 2Yr yield back above 4%, Alibaba +14% split to unlock value; Micron after hours-worst over?
JAPAN. NKY Futs -1.0% vs Cash; USDJPY 130.9; US-Japan strikes deal on EV battery materials Under IRA; Japan's FTA fine with MSFT-ATVI, -ve Sony; Alibaba Split +ve Softbank
NUGGET. Panasonic - Potential beneficiary of new IRA related deal with the US. Could see IRA EV tax credit rise from ¥172bn/year to ¥228bn/year.


Good Morning Japan |Choppy Equities; Weak Tech; NUGGET: Panasonic-New US Tax Credit Opportunity?

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. Crisis Over !Bailouts from US to Europe, Stocks rally as Contagion fears wane; Major Banks rescue First Republic Bank; Swiss Central Bank protects Credit Suisse; ECB raises by 50bps</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs flat vs Cash; USDJPY 133.8; Expect Japan Equities to start the road to recovery with macro fears subsiding;  Japan-Korea move fwd on trade/security. </li>
<li>NUGGET. Orix - one of the Biggest Renewables Plays in Japan. Riding the Decarbonization MegaTrend</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. Crisis Over !Bailouts from US to Europe, Stocks rally as Contagion fears wane; Major Banks rescue First Republic Bank; Swiss Central Bank protects Credit Suisse; ECB raises by 50bps
JAPAN. NKY Futs flat vs Cash; USDJPY 133.8; Expect Japan Equities to start the road to recovery with macro fears subsiding;  Japan-Korea move fwd on trade/security. 
NUGGET. Orix - one of the Biggest Renewables Plays in Japan. Riding the Decarbonization MegaTrend


Good Morning Japan |VICTORY Declared as Bailouts Rule; NUGGET: ORIX-Riding the Zero-Carbon MegaTrend

Japan

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd. produces and distributes synthetic resins and other chemical products such as fertilizers. The Company also manufactures electronic materials such as semiconductor silicon, synthetic, and rare earth quartz. Shin-Etsu Chemical operates in Japan and overseas.

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Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP)

SUMCO Q1’23 Revenues of ¥109.9 Billion, -6.4% QoQ but up 10% YoY. Q2'23 Flat QoQ

Q1’23 revenues of ¥109.9 billion, better than forecasted, down 6.4% QoQ but up 10% YoY.Q2'23 forecasted flat sequentially, no full year 2023...

William Keating

Siltronic Q1'23 Revenue €404.4 Million, -14.3% QoQ And -3% YoY. Q2'23 Flat QoQ

Q1’23 revenues of €404.4 million, -14.3% QoQ and -3% YoY. Q2'23 revenues to be flat sequentially. No second half recovery. Why? And why did...

William Keating

Globalwafers Q1'23 Revenues up 1% QoQ, 14.2% YoY

Q1’23 revenues of NT$18.6 billion, up 14.2% YoY and up ~1% QoQ. No specific Q2'23 forecast provided but we fully expect a sequential decline and...

William Keating

Good Morning Japan |Choppy Equities; Weak Tech; NUGGET: Panasonic-New US Tax Credit Opportunity?

US Markets Choppy; Tech down again; Japan set to approve 114trill budget; US-Japan strikes deal on EV battery materials Under IRA; Japan's FTA fine...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |VICTORY Declared as Bailouts Rule; NUGGET: ORIX-Riding the Zero-Carbon MegaTrend

Expect Japan Equities to start the road to recovery with macro fears subsiding; Japan-Korea move fwd on trade/security. NUGGET: Orix - as a...

Mark Chadwick

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