Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 7th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$946.1 million, led by information technology, health care, utilities sectors, and offset by consumer staples, financials, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Jinko Solar, Naura Technology, Will Semiconductor, China National Nuclear Power, Midea, Moutai, Bank Of Jiangsu, Wuliangye, Inovance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 7th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$946.1 million, led by information technology, health care, utilities sectors, and offset by consumer staples, financials, energy.
We highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Jinko Solar, Naura Technology, Will Semiconductor, China National Nuclear Power, Midea, Moutai, Bank Of Jiangsu, Wuliangye, Inovance.


Northbound Flows (Jun 7th): China Yangtze Power, Jinko Solar, Naura Technology, CNNP

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech / Index Rebalance

China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech

<ul>
<li>The June 2024 index review results for the SSE 50 and SSE 180 indices were announced after market close on Friday 31st May 2024.</li>
<li>There will be 5 changes for the SSE 50 index and 18 changes for the SSE 180 index.</li>
<li>These changes could collectively cause one-way index flows of ~US$1.8bn during the June 2024 index rebal event. In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations.</li>
</ul>


The June 2024 index review results for the SSE 50 and SSE 180 indices were announced after market close on Friday 31st May 2024.
There will be 5 changes for the SSE 50 index and 18 changes for the SSE 180 index.
These changes could collectively cause one-way index flows of ~US$1.8bn during the June 2024 index rebal event. In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations.


Quiddity SSE50/180 Jun 24 Rebalance: US$1.8bn One-Way Flow; LONGs up 8.6% Vs SHORTs in a Month

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The changes to the CSI All Share Investment Banking &amp; Brokerage Index were announced after market close on 31 May and will be implemented at the close on 14 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guosen-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27486:1" rel="noopener">Guosen Securities (002736 CH)</a> will be added to the index while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northeast-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6022:1" rel="noopener">Northeast Securities (000686 CH)</a> will be deleted from the index.</li>
<li>There is a lot of flow and impact for both stocks and the stocks could outperform/underperform their peers over the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the CSI All Share Investment Banking &amp; Brokerage Index were announced after market close on 31 May and will be implemented at the close on 14 June.

Guosen Securities (002736 CH) will be added to the index while Northeast Securities (000686 CH) will be deleted from the index.
There is a lot of flow and impact for both stocks and the stocks could outperform/underperform their peers over the next couple of weeks.


CSI All Share IB & Brokerage Index Rebalance: Couple of Large Flow & Impact Names

Bank of Communications   / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 5 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX)</a> that will be implemented at the close on 14 June. There is over 1x ADV to trade on most stocks.</li>
<li>The index committee has focused on sector balance with higher ranked stocks from the Financials sector ignored and lower ranked stocks from other sectors included.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last 6 months and positioning (especially on the surprises) could lead to further upside for a long/short trade.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 changes for the SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX) that will be implemented at the close on 14 June. There is over 1x ADV to trade on most stocks.
The index committee has focused on sector balance with higher ranked stocks from the Financials sector ignored and lower ranked stocks from other sectors included.
The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last 6 months and positioning (especially on the surprises) could lead to further upside for a long/short trade.


SSE50/SSE180 Index Rebalance: Heavy Focus on Sector Balance

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China International Capital Corporation / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)</a> is a laggard among the Chinese securities companies. With the rebound in HSI and Shanghai Composite, such divergence should narrow.</li>
<li>The investment banking business should recover following the rebound in the secondary market and equity valuations. HK's IPO funds raised are forecast to double in 2024.</li>
<li>At 0.4x 12-month P/B, the market has deeply discounted CICC's earnings outlook. However, as earnings recovery will be fast, its share price will react rapidly.</li>
</ul>



China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK) is a laggard among the Chinese securities companies. With the rebound in HSI and Shanghai Composite, such divergence should narrow.
The investment banking business should recover following the rebound in the secondary market and equity valuations. HK's IPO funds raised are forecast to double in 2024.
At 0.4x 12-month P/B, the market has deeply discounted CICC's earnings outlook. However, as earnings recovery will be fast, its share price will react rapidly.


China

Huatai Securities Co., Ltd. provides financial company. The Company provides securities brokerage services, research consulting services, investment banking and direct investment services, fixed-income services and asset management services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Huatai Securities Co Ltd (H) (6886 HK)

Northbound Flows (Jun 7th): China Yangtze Power, Jinko Solar, Naura Technology, CNNP

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Jinko Solar, Naura Technology,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity SSE50/180 Jun 24 Rebalance: US$1.8bn One-Way Flow; LONGs up 8.6% Vs SHORTs in a Month

On average, the LONGs are up 5.6% and the SHORTs are down 3.0% since the pair trades were suggested (on 6th May 2024). Some of these have to be...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

SSE50/SSE180 Index Rebalance: Heavy Focus on Sector Balance

There are 5 changes for the SSE50 Index that will be implemented at the close on 14 June. Sector balance was a big consideration at the review....

Brian Freitas

CICC (3908 HK): Soon to Be Its Time

CICC is a laggard among Chinese securities companies. With the market rebound, its earnings and share price are set to improve rapidly. Its 0.4x P...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Northbound Flows (Jun 7th): China Yangtze Power, Jinko Solar, Naura Technology, CNNP

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Jinko Solar, Naura Technology,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity SSE50/180 Jun 24 Rebalance: US$1.8bn One-Way Flow; LONGs up 8.6% Vs SHORTs in a Month

On average, the LONGs are up 5.6% and the SHORTs are down 3.0% since the pair trades were suggested (on 6th May 2024). Some of these have to be...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI All Share IB & Brokerage Index Rebalance: Couple of Large Flow & Impact Names

Guosen Securities will be added to the index while Northeast Securities will be deleted. There is decent flow on both stocks and 4x ADV to trade...

Brian Freitas

SSE50/SSE180 Index Rebalance: Heavy Focus on Sector Balance

There are 5 changes for the SSE50 Index that will be implemented at the close on 14 June. Sector balance was a big consideration at the review....

Brian Freitas

CICC (3908 HK): Soon to Be Its Time

​CICC is a laggard among Chinese securities companies. With the market rebound, its earnings and share price are set to improve rapidly. Its 0.4x P...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CICC is a laggard among Chinese securities companies. With the market rebound, its earnings and share price are set to improve rapidly. Its 0.4x P...