Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>ASE opens its 5th factory in Penang, emphasizing AI-driven smart manufacturing to enhance production efficiency and quality.</li><li>Win Semiconductors plans to expand in optical communications by leveraging SiPh CPO technology, aiming to capitalize on growing market demand.</li><li>DRAM manufacturers are considering discontinuing production of DDR3 and DDR4 by the end of 2025, signaling a shift towards newer technologies.</li></ul>

ASE opens its 5th factory in Penang, emphasizing AI-driven smart manufacturing to enhance production efficiency and quality.Win Semiconductors plans to expand in optical communications by leveraging SiPh CPO technology, aiming to capitalize on growing market demand.DRAM manufacturers are considering discontinuing production of DDR3 and DDR4 by the end of 2025, signaling a shift towards newer technologies.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Feb-2025): ASE opens fifth factory in Penang, with AI-driven smart manufacturing.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Apple Increasing Chip Orders with TSMC -- Expecting iPhone 16 Sales to be Much Stronger Than iPhone 15 Thanks to AI</li>
<li>Google Said to be Shifting to TSMC from Samsung for Next Generation AI Mobile Phone Chips</li>
<li>This June 28th piece appears to be timely -- Memory Monitor: Micron's Shares May Be Falling But Results' Industry Implications Are Positive</li>
</ul>


Apple Increasing Chip Orders with TSMC -- Expecting iPhone 16 Sales to be Much Stronger Than iPhone 15 Thanks to AI
Google Said to be Shifting to TSMC from Samsung for Next Generation AI Mobile Phone Chips
This June 28th piece appears to be timely -- Memory Monitor: Micron's Shares May Be Falling But Results' Industry Implications Are Positive


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Hikes TSMC Orders on Strong IPhone 16 Hopes; Google Shifts AI Chip to TSMC

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>There's been a major disconnect between performance of the Philly Semiconductor Index and the Taiwan market recently.</li>
<li>Semi optimism has picked up substantially in U.S. markets and institutional favor towards the Taiwan market could improve as a result.</li>
<li>We indentify US$1bn+  market cap stocks most under-held by institutions, as well as those who may be most at risk of a short squeeze.</li>
</ul>


There's been a major disconnect between performance of the Philly Semiconductor Index and the Taiwan market recently.
Semi optimism has picked up substantially in U.S. markets and institutional favor towards the Taiwan market could improve as a result.
We indentify US$1bn+  market cap stocks most under-held by institutions, as well as those who may be most at risk of a short squeeze.


Taiwan Short Squeeze Ahead? Taiwan Market Significantly Lagging Philly SOX Index

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 403bn (US$12.8bn).</li>
<li>We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of 30.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$7.9bn.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last couple of weeks and we expect the adds to continue outperforming the deletes over the next few days.</li>
</ul>


The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 403bn (US$12.8bn).
We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of 30.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$7.9bn.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last couple of weeks and we expect the adds to continue outperforming the deletes over the next few days.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebal Preview: 8 Changes; US$8bn Trade

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 23rd. The aggregated holding was USD1,015.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD826mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Bizlink, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Yang Ming Marine, Wistron, Mediatek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 23rd. The aggregated holding was USD1,015.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD826mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Bizlink, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Yang Ming Marine, Wistron, Mediatek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 23rd): Bizlink, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Yang Ming Marine, Wistron

Taiwan

Innolux Corporation manufactures TFT-LCD, LCD models and LCD monitors. The company also provides research, development, manufacturing and retails business.

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Innolux Corp (3481 TT)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Feb-2025): ASE opens fifth factory in Penang, with AI-driven smart manufacturing.

ASE opens new factory in Penang, Win Semiconductors advances in optical communications tech, DRAM manufacturers phasing out DDR3 and DDR4, Apple...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Hikes TSMC Orders on Strong IPhone 16 Hopes; Google Shifts AI Chip to TSMC

Apple and Google are increasing chip orders with TSMC for AI capabilities. Micron's shares inititially fell after reporting results previously,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Short Squeeze Ahead? Taiwan Market Significantly Lagging Philly SOX Index

We indentify US$1bn+ market cap stocks most under-held by institutions, as well as those who may be most at risk of a short squeeze.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebal Preview: 8 Changes; US$8bn Trade

We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of 30.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$7.9bn....

Brian Freitas

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 23rd): Bizlink, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Yang Ming Marine, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Bizlink, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Yang Ming Marine,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

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Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Feb-2025): ASE opens fifth factory in Penang, with AI-driven smart manufacturing.

ASE opens new factory in Penang, Win Semiconductors advances in optical communications tech, DRAM manufacturers phasing out DDR3 and DDR4, Apple...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Hikes TSMC Orders on Strong IPhone 16 Hopes; Google Shifts AI Chip to TSMC

​Apple and Google are increasing chip orders with TSMC for AI capabilities. Micron's shares inititially fell after reporting results previously,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Short Squeeze Ahead? Taiwan Market Significantly Lagging Philly SOX Index

We indentify US$1bn+ market cap stocks most under-held by institutions, as well as those who may be most at risk of a short squeeze.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebal Preview: 8 Changes; US$8bn Trade

We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of 30.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$7.9bn....

Brian Freitas

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 23rd): Bizlink, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Yang Ming Marine, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Bizlink, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Yang Ming Marine,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Apple and Google are increasing chip orders with TSMC for AI capabilities. Micron's shares inititially fell after reporting results previously,...