Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Three major reasons why Samsung Electronics is our 2025 high conviction pick include attractive valuations, reduced concerns about inheritance tax overhang, and higher likely total shareholder returns.</li>
<li>Given that 2025 will be the last year of major inheritance tax payment for the Lee family, this reduced overhang could act as a positive sentiment on Samsung Electronics.</li>
<li>Pressures on Samsung to announce material improvement to shareholder returns are coming not just from existing shareholders but also from the Korean government due to Korea Corporate Value Up program.</li>
</ul>


Three major reasons why Samsung Electronics is our 2025 high conviction pick include attractive valuations, reduced concerns about inheritance tax overhang, and higher likely total shareholder returns.
Given that 2025 will be the last year of major inheritance tax payment for the Lee family, this reduced overhang could act as a positive sentiment on Samsung Electronics.
Pressures on Samsung to announce material improvement to shareholder returns are coming not just from existing shareholders but also from the Korean government due to Korea Corporate Value Up program.


2025 High Conviction: Samsung Electronics

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Sep 19th. The aggregated holding was USD718.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,529mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Samsung Elec (PREF), HYBE, Kakao.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Sep 19th. The aggregated holding was USD718.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,529mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Samsung Elec (PREF), HYBE, Kakao.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 19th): Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Samsung Elec (PREF), HYBE

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Sep 12th. The aggregated holding was USD694.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,835mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics, kakaopay, HANWHA AEROSPACE.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Sep 12th. The aggregated holding was USD694.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,835mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics, kakaopay, HANWHA AEROSPACE.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 12th): SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics, Kakaopay

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today’s FSS IFRS17 ruling is an accounting fix (equity vs. liability), not the Samsung Life Law, which is a regulatory cap on affiliate stakes based on market value.</li>
<li>The FSS ruling signals Samsung Life doesn’t need to treat its Samsung Electronics stake as a forced-sale liability, lowering near-term sale risk.</li>
<li>This eases the overhang, delays potential stake moves, and reinforces the relative underperformance setup on Samsung C&amp;T highlighted in earlier posts.</li>
</ul>


Today’s FSS IFRS17 ruling is an accounting fix (equity vs. liability), not the Samsung Life Law, which is a regulatory cap on affiliate stakes based on market value.
The FSS ruling signals Samsung Life doesn’t need to treat its Samsung Electronics stake as a forced-sale liability, lowering near-term sale risk.
This eases the overhang, delays potential stake moves, and reinforces the relative underperformance setup on Samsung C&amp;T highlighted in earlier posts.


Clearing up the FSS’s Sudden Call on Samsung Life’s Samsung Elec Stake Accounting Shift

<ul>
<li>KRX’s prelim review forced Biologics into tough commitments: no share swaps or carve-out IPOs for three years, effectively blocking any Samsung C&amp;T stake sell-down and overlapping-listing risks.</li>
<li>FSS appears satisfied with Biologics’ aggressive commitments, but may push for more—most likely a lock-up from Samsung C&amp;T preventing share sales in both parent and spinco for a set period.</li>
<li>Trading setup remains short Samsung C&amp;T; recent Life bill chatter is noise. Samsung governance reform is low-priority, and Biologics’ aggressive spinco lock-ups reinforce C&amp;T as the near-term underperformer.</li>
</ul>


KRX’s prelim review forced Biologics into tough commitments: no share swaps or carve-out IPOs for three years, effectively blocking any Samsung C&amp;T stake sell-down and overlapping-listing risks.
FSS appears satisfied with Biologics’ aggressive commitments, but may push for more—most likely a lock-up from Samsung C&amp;T preventing share sales in both parent and spinco for a set period.
Trading setup remains short Samsung C&amp;T; recent Life bill chatter is noise. Samsung governance reform is low-priority, and Biologics’ aggressive spinco lock-ups reinforce C&amp;T as the near-term underperformer.


Biologics Spinco Filing: Posts Far More Aggressive Post-Listing Share Swap Lock-Up Than Expected

South Korea

Samsung C&T Corporation conducts diversified business support services and resort operation activities. The Company offers a range of services in areas including clothing retail, construction, energy, real estate, food service, and resort accommodations. Samsung C&T also operates a resort with amusement rides, a zoo, water park, golf clubs, and restaurants.

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Samsung C&T (028260 KS)

2025 High Conviction: Samsung Electronics

According to industry sources, Samsung Electronics has reportedly passed NVIDIA's HBM3E 12-layer quality test and received a verbal order. So far,...

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 19th): Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Samsung Elec (PREF), HYBE

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Samsung Elec...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 12th): SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics, Kakaopay

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Clearing up the FSS’s Sudden Call on Samsung Life’s Samsung Elec Stake Accounting Shift

This post clarifies FSS's sudden call today and clears up misunderstandings about Samsung Life’s Samsung Electronics stake accounting change.

Sanghyun Park

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52-week Range

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2025 High Conviction: Samsung Electronics

According to industry sources, Samsung Electronics has reportedly passed NVIDIA's HBM3E 12-layer quality test and received a verbal order. So far,...

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 19th): Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Samsung Elec (PREF), HYBE

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Samsung Elec...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 12th): SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics, Kakaopay

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Clearing up the FSS’s Sudden Call on Samsung Life’s Samsung Elec Stake Accounting Shift

This post clarifies FSS's sudden call today and clears up misunderstandings about Samsung Life’s Samsung Electronics stake accounting change.

Sanghyun Park

Biologics Spinco Filing: Posts Far More Aggressive Post-Listing Share Swap Lock-Up Than Expected

This post covers Samsung Biologics’ spinco filing, which imposes a far-tougher-than-expected post-listing share swap lock-up.

Sanghyun Park