External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Market review: JCI declined by -0.9% w-w, underperforming regional EM peers, driven by a correction in the banking sector (-5.9% w-w) following weaker-than-expected 4M25 earnings.</li><li>The metals sector (+10.3% w-w) continued to benefit from positive sentiment on a weaker USD outlook and expectations of resilient 2Q25 earnings. Performance across domestic sectors was mixed, with Telcos (+0.4% w-w) and Consumers (- 0.5% w-w) outperforming, while Retailers, Autos, and Cement lagged.</li><li>Foreign investor flows turned negative (-US$288mn), largely due to profittaking in large-cap banks (BBCA, BBRI, BMRI), bringing YTD outflows to - US$3,014bn. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Market review: JCI declined by -0.9% w-w, underperforming regional EM peers, driven by a correction in the banking sector (-5.9% w-w) following weaker-than-expected 4M25 earnings.The metals sector (+10.3% w-w) continued to benefit from positive sentiment on a weaker USD outlook and expectations of resilient 2Q25 earnings. Performance across domestic sectors was mixed, with Telcos (+0.4% w-w) and Consumers (- 0.5% w-w) outperforming, while Retailers, Autos, and Cement lagged.Foreign investor flows turned negative (-US$288mn), largely due to profittaking in large-cap banks (BBCA, BBRI, BMRI), bringing YTD outflows to - US$3,014bn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the week – Domestic Funds’ Positioning in Key Sectors

<ul><li>Market review: JCI outperformed the EM peers, up 1.5% w-w, amid strengthening of IDR (1.3% w-w).</li><li>The Indonesian equity market saw continuation of foreign funds inflow (US$131mn) while majority of EM markets experienced outflows during the week.</li><li>Sustained positive sentiment from the 25bps policy rate cut by Bank Indonesia have induced further inflows into large-cap banks particularly BBCA and BBRI. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Market review: JCI outperformed the EM peers, up 1.5% w-w, amid strengthening of IDR (1.3% w-w).The Indonesian equity market saw continuation of foreign funds inflow (US$131mn) while majority of EM markets experienced outflows during the week.Sustained positive sentiment from the 25bps policy rate cut by Bank Indonesia have induced further inflows into large-cap banks particularly BBCA and BBRI. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the Week – JCI Vs. IDR

<ul><li>Post 20% rally in the past 6 weeks, JCI valuation is back at -1SD. We think further rerating will now hinge on growth momentum.</li><li>While we slightly lowered our FY25 growth expectations to 3% (from 4.5% previously), data points in Apr25 offer hopes for recovery, particularly if we see revival of govt spending in 2Q25 onwards.</li><li>We retain our FY25-end JCI target of 7,350 for now (implying 13.7x PE). From our ‘value’ picks, we continue to like INTP, BBRI, CTRA, MIKA.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Post 20% rally in the past 6 weeks, JCI valuation is back at -1SD. We think further rerating will now hinge on growth momentum.While we slightly lowered our FY25 growth expectations to 3% (from 4.5% previously), data points in Apr25 offer hopes for recovery, particularly if we see revival of govt spending in 2Q25 onwards.We retain our FY25-end JCI target of 7,350 for now (implying 13.7x PE). From our ‘value’ picks, we continue to like INTP, BBRI, CTRA, MIKA.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Strategy: Tracking the Growth Momentum

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is 1 constituent change for the IDX30 Index and 2 changes for the IDX80 Index to be implemented at the close on 30 April.</li>
<li>The largest passive flows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-jago-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31094:1" rel="noopener">Bank Jago Tbk PT</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-mandiri-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:441:1" rel="noopener">Bank Mandiri Persero</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-tabungan-negara-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:731:1" rel="noopener">Bank Tabungan Negara Persero</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adaro-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6061:1" rel="noopener">Adaro Energy</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak-com-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak.com PT Tbk</a>.</li>
<li>There are only 4 days to implementation, so there could be relatively big moves on the changes to the IDX30 Index.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 constituent change for the IDX30 Index and 2 changes for the IDX80 Index to be implemented at the close on 30 April.
The largest passive flows are expected in Bank Rakyat Indonesia, Bank Jago Tbk PT, Bank Mandiri Persero, Bank Tabungan Negara Persero, Adaro Energy and Bukalapak.com PT Tbk.
There are only 4 days to implementation, so there could be relatively big moves on the changes to the IDX30 Index.


IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Few Changes

Dian Swastatika Sentosa / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index April rebalance ended 31 March. The changes should be announced later this week, becoming effective after the close on 30 April.</li>
<li>We highlight 4 potential inclusions and 3 potential exclusions for the index at the rebalance. The actual number of changes could be lower at 2-3 a side.</li>
<li>All the potential changes have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers and some stocks will be impacted more than others.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index April rebalance ended 31 March. The changes should be announced later this week, becoming effective after the close on 30 April.
We highlight 4 potential inclusions and 3 potential exclusions for the index at the rebalance. The actual number of changes could be lower at 2-3 a side.
All the potential changes have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers and some stocks will be impacted more than others.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Apr 2025): Identifying Potential Index Changes

Indonesia

PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk provides commercial banking activities and its related services. The Bank also provides banking activities based on shariah principles.

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Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ)

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the week – Domestic Funds’ Positioning in Key Sectors

JCI declined by -0.9% w-w, underperforming regional EM peers, driven by a correction in the banking sector (-5.9% w-w) following weaker-than...

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the Week – JCI Vs. IDR

The Indonesian equity market saw continuation of foreign funds inflow (US$131mn) while majority of EM markets experienced outflows during the week.

BRI Danareksa Research

Equity Strategy: Tracking the Growth Momentum

We retain our FY25-end JCI target of 7,350 for now (implying 13.7x PE). From our ‘value’ picks, we continue to like INTP, BBRI, CTRA, MIKA.

BRI Danareksa Research

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Few Changes

There is 1 constituent change for the IDX30 and 2 for the IDX80, nothing for the LQ45. Flow and impact are material for the IDX30 index changes.

Brian Freitas

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Apr 2025): Identifying Potential Index Changes

We have identified potential changes for the LQ45 Index in April. The potential adds have traded in line with the deletes. Historically, adds and...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the week – Domestic Funds’ Positioning in Key Sectors

JCI declined by -0.9% w-w, underperforming regional EM peers, driven by a correction in the banking sector (-5.9% w-w) following weaker-than...

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the Week – JCI Vs. IDR

The Indonesian equity market saw continuation of foreign funds inflow (US$131mn) while majority of EM markets experienced outflows during the week.

BRI Danareksa Research

Equity Strategy: Tracking the Growth Momentum

We retain our FY25-end JCI target of 7,350 for now (implying 13.7x PE). From our ‘value’ picks, we continue to like INTP, BBRI, CTRA, MIKA.

BRI Danareksa Research

IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Few Changes

There is 1 constituent change for the IDX30 and 2 for the IDX80, nothing for the LQ45. Flow and impact are material for the IDX30 index changes.

Brian Freitas

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Apr 2025): Identifying Potential Index Changes

We have identified potential changes for the LQ45 Index in April. The potential adds have traded in line with the deletes. Historically, adds and...

Brian Freitas

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Few Changes