Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

Woori Financial Group  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-fire-marine-insuranc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27499:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Fire &amp; Marine Insurance (000815 KS)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woori-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27995:1" rel="noopener">Woori Financial Group (316140 KS)</a> Price-Ratio has deviated two standard deviations from its one-year average, highlighting a potential tactical opportunity.</li>
<li>Statistical and fundamental arguments are provided for and against a relative value trade in this pair that derives from two different industries.</li>
<li>Trade setup, statistical properties, factor exposure, risk management strategies, and key events are discussed.</li>
</ul>


The Samsung Fire &amp; Marine Insurance (000815 KS) vs. Woori Financial Group (316140 KS) Price-Ratio has deviated two standard deviations from its one-year average, highlighting a potential tactical opportunity.
Statistical and fundamental arguments are provided for and against a relative value trade in this pair that derives from two different industries.
Trade setup, statistical properties, factor exposure, risk management strategies, and key events are discussed.


Samsung Fire & Marine Ins (000815 KS) Vs. Woori Financial (316140 KS): A Pair Trade Investigation

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>As reported by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/sanghyun-park" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:354" rel="noopener">Sanghyun Park</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> 's phase 2 buyback disposal plan appears to be virtually finalized (or will be finalized soon - not official yet).</li>
<li>As always, we’ll assess what our tactical models suggest about the trend from here—interpreted alongside the latest catalysts.</li>
<li>We have been monitoring <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> for a while: the stock has been bottoming, then flat for a while, rallied modestly, now a minor pullback... time to BUY? 
</li>
</ul>


As reported by Sanghyun Park, Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) 's phase 2 buyback disposal plan appears to be virtually finalized (or will be finalized soon - not official yet).
As always, we’ll assess what our tactical models suggest about the trend from here—interpreted alongside the latest catalysts.
We have been monitoring Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) for a while: the stock has been bottoming, then flat for a while, rallied modestly, now a minor pullback... time to BUY?  



Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Tactical Outlook Amid Rumored Phase 2 Buyback Confirmation

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>If ₩500B comes from common shares, about 40M shares retire, raising Samsung Life and Fire stakes to 10.07%, requiring a ₩0.23T block sale to trim excess.</li>
<li>Slightly smaller than last time but still notable, the insurers acted fast in February. Expect a ~0.07% block trade soon, though price impact was mild previously.</li>
<li>Watch for preferred share outperformance as phase two buyback hits 0.66% common vs. 0.81% preferred (effective buyback assuming cancellation); similar dynamics may repeat in the larger ₩4T phase three buyback.</li>
</ul>


If ₩500B comes from common shares, about 40M shares retire, raising Samsung Life and Fire stakes to 10.07%, requiring a ₩0.23T block sale to trim excess.
Slightly smaller than last time but still notable, the insurers acted fast in February. Expect a ~0.07% block trade soon, though price impact was mild previously.
Watch for preferred share outperformance as phase two buyback hits 0.66% common vs. 0.81% preferred (effective buyback assuming cancellation); similar dynamics may repeat in the larger ₩4T phase three buyback.


Samsung Electronics’ Phase 2 Buyback Disposal Plan Virtually Finalized: Two Key Trading Implications

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Seoul Guarantee Insurance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seoul-guarantee-insurance-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40123:1" rel="noopener">Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS)</a> raised around US$125m in its Korean IPO. </li>
<li>Seoul Guarantee Insurance (SGI) is a guarantee insurance firm operating predominantly in Korea.</li>
<li>We have looked at the firm’s past performance and discussed our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS) raised around US$125m in its Korean IPO. 
Seoul Guarantee Insurance (SGI) is a guarantee insurance firm operating predominantly in Korea.
We have looked at the firm’s past performance and discussed our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO Trading - KDIC Stake Overhang Remains, Yield Might Help

<ul>
<li>As reported by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/douglas-kim" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:342" rel="noopener">Douglas Kim</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-life-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:510:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Life Insurance</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-fire-marine-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:511:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Fire &amp; Marine Insurance</a> plan to sell shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> in block deal sales. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> has been in a flat, bottoming behavior, since November 2024. We have <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/samsung-electronics-005930-ks-primed-for-a-rally-key-profit-targets" target="_blank" rel="noopener">previously discussed</a> the possibility that the stock may start to rally. </li>
<li>At the moment the stock has been down for 3 weeks in a row, our model is indicating a WEEKLY oversold condition that may trigger a (short-term) rally.
</li>
</ul>


As reported by Douglas Kim, Samsung Life Insurance and Samsung Fire &amp; Marine Insurance plan to sell shares of Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) in block deal sales. 

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) has been in a flat, bottoming behavior, since November 2024. We have previously discussed the possibility that the stock may start to rally. 
At the moment the stock has been down for 3 weeks in a row, our model is indicating a WEEKLY oversold condition that may trigger a (short-term) rally.



Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Outlook After 278B Won Shares Block Deal Sale

South Korea

Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co., Ltd. provides insurance services. The Company offers auto, fire, marine, casualty, health, leisure, and retirement products and services. Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance serves customers in South Korea.

Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance (000810 KS)

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Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance (000810 KS)

Samsung Fire & Marine Ins (000815 KS) Vs. Woori Financial (316140 KS): A Pair Trade Investigation

Statistical analysis highlights potential for a tactical opportunity. Statistical and fundamental arguments in favor and against a relative value...

Gaudenz Schneider

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Tactical Outlook Amid Rumored Phase 2 Buyback Confirmation

Tactical outlook and analysis of Samsung Electronics’ trend patterns—and whether it’s time to buy—amid rumors that Phase 2 of the buyback disposal...

Nico Rosti

Samsung Electronics’ Phase 2 Buyback Disposal Plan Virtually Finalized: Two Key Trading Implications

This post covers the virtual finalization of Samsung Electronics’ Phase 2 buyback disposal plan and highlights two key trading implications.

Sanghyun Park

Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO Trading - KDIC Stake Overhang Remains, Yield Might Help

Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS) raised around US$125m in its Korean IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dymanics.

Sumeet Singh

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Outlook After 278B Won Shares Block Deal Sale

Shares of Samsung Electronics are soon going to be sold in block deal sales. The stock is oversold and has been "bottoming" since November 2024, we...

Nico Rosti

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