Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>As reported by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/sanghyun-park" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:354" rel="noopener">Sanghyun Park</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> 's phase 2 buyback disposal plan appears to be virtually finalized (or will be finalized soon - not official yet).</li>
<li>As always, we’ll assess what our tactical models suggest about the trend from here—interpreted alongside the latest catalysts.</li>
<li>We have been monitoring <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> for a while: the stock has been bottoming, then flat for a while, rallied modestly, now a minor pullback... time to BUY? 
</li>
</ul>


As reported by Sanghyun Park, Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) 's phase 2 buyback disposal plan appears to be virtually finalized (or will be finalized soon - not official yet).
As always, we’ll assess what our tactical models suggest about the trend from here—interpreted alongside the latest catalysts.
We have been monitoring Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) for a while: the stock has been bottoming, then flat for a while, rallied modestly, now a minor pullback... time to BUY?  



Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Tactical Outlook Amid Rumored Phase 2 Buyback Confirmation

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>If ₩500B comes from common shares, about 40M shares retire, raising Samsung Life and Fire stakes to 10.07%, requiring a ₩0.23T block sale to trim excess.</li>
<li>Slightly smaller than last time but still notable, the insurers acted fast in February. Expect a ~0.07% block trade soon, though price impact was mild previously.</li>
<li>Watch for preferred share outperformance as phase two buyback hits 0.66% common vs. 0.81% preferred (effective buyback assuming cancellation); similar dynamics may repeat in the larger ₩4T phase three buyback.</li>
</ul>


If ₩500B comes from common shares, about 40M shares retire, raising Samsung Life and Fire stakes to 10.07%, requiring a ₩0.23T block sale to trim excess.
Slightly smaller than last time but still notable, the insurers acted fast in February. Expect a ~0.07% block trade soon, though price impact was mild previously.
Watch for preferred share outperformance as phase two buyback hits 0.66% common vs. 0.81% preferred (effective buyback assuming cancellation); similar dynamics may repeat in the larger ₩4T phase three buyback.


Samsung Electronics’ Phase 2 Buyback Disposal Plan Virtually Finalized: Two Key Trading Implications

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Seoul Guarantee Insurance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seoul-guarantee-insurance-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40123:1" rel="noopener">Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS)</a> raised around US$125m in its Korean IPO. </li>
<li>Seoul Guarantee Insurance (SGI) is a guarantee insurance firm operating predominantly in Korea.</li>
<li>We have looked at the firm’s past performance and discussed our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS) raised around US$125m in its Korean IPO. 
Seoul Guarantee Insurance (SGI) is a guarantee insurance firm operating predominantly in Korea.
We have looked at the firm’s past performance and discussed our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO Trading - KDIC Stake Overhang Remains, Yield Might Help

<ul>
<li>As reported by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/douglas-kim" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:342" rel="noopener">Douglas Kim</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-life-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:510:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Life Insurance</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-fire-marine-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:511:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Fire &amp; Marine Insurance</a> plan to sell shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> in block deal sales. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> has been in a flat, bottoming behavior, since November 2024. We have <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/samsung-electronics-005930-ks-primed-for-a-rally-key-profit-targets" target="_blank" rel="noopener">previously discussed</a> the possibility that the stock may start to rally. </li>
<li>At the moment the stock has been down for 3 weeks in a row, our model is indicating a WEEKLY oversold condition that may trigger a (short-term) rally.
</li>
</ul>


As reported by Douglas Kim, Samsung Life Insurance and Samsung Fire &amp; Marine Insurance plan to sell shares of Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) in block deal sales. 

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) has been in a flat, bottoming behavior, since November 2024. We have previously discussed the possibility that the stock may start to rally. 
At the moment the stock has been down for 3 weeks in a row, our model is indicating a WEEKLY oversold condition that may trigger a (short-term) rally.



Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Outlook After 278B Won Shares Block Deal Sale

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>The majority of the investors placed orders at 26,000 won, which is the lower end of the IPO price range (26,000 won to 31,800 won).</li>
<li>SGIC held internal discussions to set the public offering price at 26,000 won. The final price (which is likely to be 26,000 won) will be revealed on 4 March. </li>
<li>Our updated base case valuation of SGIC is base case target price of 28,925 won per share. Given the lack of upside, we have a negative view of this deal.</li>
</ul>


The majority of the investors placed orders at 26,000 won, which is the lower end of the IPO price range (26,000 won to 31,800 won).
SGIC held internal discussions to set the public offering price at 26,000 won. The final price (which is likely to be 26,000 won) will be revealed on 4 March. 
Our updated base case valuation of SGIC is base case target price of 28,925 won per share. Given the lack of upside, we have a negative view of this deal.


Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO Bookbuilding Results Analysis

South Korea

Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co., Ltd. provides insurance services. The Company offers auto, fire, marine, casualty, health, leisure, and retirement products and services. Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance serves customers in South Korea.

Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance (000810 KS)

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Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance (000810 KS)

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Tactical Outlook Amid Rumored Phase 2 Buyback Confirmation

Tactical outlook and analysis of Samsung Electronics’ trend patterns—and whether it’s time to buy—amid rumors that Phase 2 of the buyback disposal...

Nico Rosti

Samsung Electronics’ Phase 2 Buyback Disposal Plan Virtually Finalized: Two Key Trading Implications

This post covers the virtual finalization of Samsung Electronics’ Phase 2 buyback disposal plan and highlights two key trading implications.

Sanghyun Park

Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO Trading - KDIC Stake Overhang Remains, Yield Might Help

Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS) raised around US$125m in its Korean IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dymanics.

Sumeet Singh

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Outlook After 278B Won Shares Block Deal Sale

Shares of Samsung Electronics are soon going to be sold in block deal sales. The stock is oversold and has been "bottoming" since November 2024, we...

Nico Rosti

Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO Bookbuilding Results Analysis

Seoul Guarantee Insurance Corp held internal discussions to set the public offering price at 26,000 won. The final price (which is likely to be...

Douglas Kim

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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