ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

XLSMART Telecom Sejahtera / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a> results were encouraging with +8% revenue growth driven by data (95.5% of service revenues), with stable ARPUs and price competition easing during 1Q2022.</li>
<li>The march towards being truly converged continues with the completion of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net</a> acquisition giving it a significant leg up and due for completion on 27th May.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata</a> remains our top pick amongst Indonesia's telcos, with the highest exposure to data and Indonesia's headlong growth into all things digital and compelling valuations.</li>
</ul>



XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) results were encouraging with +8% revenue growth driven by data (95.5% of service revenues), with stable ARPUs and price competition easing during 1Q2022.
The march towards being truly converged continues with the completion of the Link Net acquisition giving it a significant leg up and due for completion on 27th May.

XL Axiata remains our top pick amongst Indonesia's telcos, with the highest exposure to data and Indonesia's headlong growth into all things digital and compelling valuations.


XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) - Are You Converegent?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indosat-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5737:1" rel="noopener">Indosat (ISAT IJ)</a>'s recent results reflect a company going through a positive transition with sales up by +12.4% and EBITDA up +21.4% suggesting a turnaround in the making.</li>
<li>The company's acquisition of Hutchison's 3 looks astute, removing an aggressive competitor, propelling into the number two slot, as well as providing potential operational and scale-related synergies. </li>
<li>2022 will be the company's year of transition, with higher capex to realised synergies and keep improving the network quality. Valuations are appealing for long-term investors. </li>
</ul>



Indosat (ISAT IJ)'s recent results reflect a company going through a positive transition with sales up by +12.4% and EBITDA up +21.4% suggesting a turnaround in the making.
The company's acquisition of Hutchison's 3 looks astute, removing an aggressive competitor, propelling into the number two slot, as well as providing potential operational and scale-related synergies. 
2022 will be the company's year of transition, with higher capex to realised synergies and keep improving the network quality. Valuations are appealing for long-term investors. 


Indosat Tbk PT (ISAT IJ) - A Turnaround in the Making?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a> continues to see strong growth in data revenues and traffic with data -pricing improving in 4Q2021 and consumers taking more.</li>
<li>The company continues to stress its aim to be the number one convergent operator and the successful completion of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a> acquisition accelerates this move.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata</a> continues to raise data prices and will start to see synergies from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net</a> from 3Q2022, including potential cost and revenue benefits. Valuations are attractive. </li>
</ul>



XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) continues to see strong growth in data revenues and traffic with data -pricing improving in 4Q2021 and consumers taking more.
The company continues to stress its aim to be the number one convergent operator and the successful completion of the Link Net (LINK IJ) acquisition accelerates this move.

XL Axiata continues to raise data prices and will start to see synergies from Link Net from 3Q2022, including potential cost and revenue benefits. Valuations are attractive. 


XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) - Converging on Homes and Offices

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.</li>
<li>The past week saw insights on the rise of digital banks in Indonesia together with a look at Singapore Banks from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/daniel-tabbush" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:12" rel="noopener">Daniel Tabbush</a> and Thai Banks from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/companies/country-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="companies:965" rel="noopener">Country Group.</a>
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/sumeet-singh" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:4" rel="noopener">Sumeet Singh</a> also looks at Singapore's first SPAC listing and we discuss the changing the Buy Now Pay Later landscape together with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a> car sales and more. </li>
</ul>


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.
The past week saw insights on the rise of digital banks in Indonesia together with a look at Singapore Banks from Daniel Tabbush and Thai Banks from Country Group.


Sumeet Singh also looks at Singapore's first SPAC listing and we discuss the changing the Buy Now Pay Later landscape together with Astra International (ASII IJ) car sales and more. 


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Indonesian Digital Banks, Singapore's SPAC, and Thai Banks

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 31 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>We see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waskita-karya-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15739:1" rel="noopener">Waskita Karya (Persero) (WSKT IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harum-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1604:1" rel="noopener">Harum Energy (HRUM IJ)</a> as higher probability inclusions in the LQ45 Index.</li>
<li>Given the focus is on liquidity, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jasa-marga-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12747:1" rel="noopener">Jasa Marga (Persero) (JSMR IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumi-serpong-damai-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15498:1" rel="noopener">Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akr-corporindo-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13338:1" rel="noopener">AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ)</a> as higher probability deletion candidates.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 31 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.
We see Waskita Karya (Persero) (WSKT IJ), BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) and Harum Energy (HRUM IJ) as higher probability inclusions in the LQ45 Index.
Given the focus is on liquidity, we see Jasa Marga (Persero) (JSMR IJ), Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE IJ) and AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) as higher probability deletion candidates.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Feb 2022): Potential Changes Later This Month

Indonesia

PT Indosat Tbk is a telecommunication and information service provider in Indonesia that provides cellular services (prepaid and postpaid), fixed data services or MIDI (Multimedia, Internet & Data Communication) and fixed voice services including fixed wireless access services.

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Indosat Tbk PT (ISAT IJ)

XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) - Are You Converegent?

XL Axiata remains our top pick amongst Indonesia's telcos, with the highest exposure to data amongst telco peers and to Indonesia's headlong growth...

Angus Mackintosh